Author Topic: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekend Edition: Apr 9-10, 2016  (Read 2560 times)

Offline Pfishingruven

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A winter-like start to the weekend with most cautious water conditions again!  Saturday will have chances of rain and snow all day. Snow could accumulate up to 2 inches across northern parts of the state, with less than an inch or no accumulation across the southern half of the state. However, snow is still possible across this area with a rain/snow to wintry mix making a mess on the roads. Worst case scenario puts upwards of 3-4 inches of snow across the state. This forecast is likely to change over the next 24-36 hours. Highs on Saturday will be in the 30’s to 40’s with overnight lows in the 20’s and 30’s. Sunday will be mostly dry with some sun and slightly warmer temperatures. Rain or snow showers are possible on Sunday Night going into Monday, mainly across northern areas, but by Monday rain and snow chances cover the state. Highs will be in the 40’s and 50’s with 30’s and 40’s overnight. Winds will be brisk this weekend. Water conditions will be most cautious with some good conditions and some hazardous conditions depending on location. Winds will gust to 35 knots with seas 6 feet inshore and 15 feet midshore to offshore. Water temperatures range from the 40’s to 50’ still with some cooling on ocean waters. UV Index will be Low to High at 0-7/15.

A cold front crossed the area Thursday Afternoon. A weak clipper system will cross the region on Saturday, moving offshore and deepening as it moves off to the northeast. High pressure over the Ohio Valley will slide to the south of the region Sunday, moving offshore and to the east through Monday. A low pressure system will cross to the north off the area Tuesday, dragging a cold front across the region Tuesday Afternoon or evening. A large area of high pressure will build in from the west for the remainder of the week.

The week will start off wet with rain and snow chances on Monday and Tuesday. Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday look dry. Highs will be in the mid to upper 50’s with lows in the 30’s and 40’s. Water, surf and beach conditions will be borderline to cautious right now with some good conditions possibly on Wednesday.

Have a great weekend and thanks for reading!

Saturday
Sky:  Mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  60%-70% chance of rain/snow during the day, 30%-70% chance of rain/snow at night (chances decrease through the night)
Temperatures
High:     Upper 30’s to mid 40’s
Low:     Mid 20’s inland, upper 20’s at the shore, low 20’s northern areas
UV Index:  0-4/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:28am
Sunset: 7:28pm


Sunday
Sky:  Partly to mostly sunny becoming partly to mostly cloudy, Breezy
Precipitation:  30% chance of snow showers at night mainly for northern areas
Temperatures
High:     Mid 40’s to low 50’s
Low:     Mid 30’s inland, upper 30’s to low 40’s at the shore, low 30’s northern areas
UV Index:  5-7/15 (Moderate-High)
Sunrise: 6:26am
Sunset: 7:29pm


Friday Night Surface Analysis



Saturday Surface Analysis



Sunday Surface Analysis



Precipitation Totals



Severe Weather Risk for Saturday



Storm Tracks




Snowfall Totals




Snowfall Max




Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  48°F
Saturday
CAUTIOUS
Winds:  NE 5-10 knots becoming NW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1-2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet
Saturday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:  NW 20-25 knots diminishing to 15-20 knots after midnight
Seas:  2-3 feet, subsiding to 1-2 feet after midnight, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet

Sunday
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet, subsiding to 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-5 feet
Sunday Night
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less, then 1-2 feet after midnight
Surf (Ocean):  2-5 feet

Sandy Hook (Bay) Tides

Sandy Hook Tides




Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  48°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: ESE 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 17 to 23 knots
Seas: SSE 5 feet at 6 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet
Sunday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  2-5 feet
Sunday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: W 14 to 18 knots
Seas:  SW 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  2-5 Feet


Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  46°F
Saturday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ESE 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 20 to 27 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Sunday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  NE 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-5 feet

Sunday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-5 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay at Island Beach State Park
Water Temperature:  50°F
Saturdayg7
Wind:  S 8-13 knots becoming W in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Saturday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NW 21 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Sunday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NW 13-17 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Sunday Night
Wind:  WSW 8-10 knots becoming SSW after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides
   
Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  48°F
Saturday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 19 to 25 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  3-8 feet
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 21 to 28 knots
Seas:  W 5 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  3-8 feet
Sunday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNW 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  NNW 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  3-6 feet

Sunday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  ENE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  3-6 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides

Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  52°F
Saturday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  SW 10 knots becoming W 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots late in the morning, then increasing to 20-25 knots with gusts to 30 knots late
Seas:  2-4 feet, building to 4-5 feet late
Surf:  1-3 feet, building to 2-4 feet
Saturday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NW 20-25 knots with gusts to 35 knots
Seas:  4-5 feet
Surf:  2-4 feet
Sunday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NW 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet

Sunday Night
Wind:  SW 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet

Delaware Bay (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware Bay Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  45°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: ESE 12 to 17 knots
Seas:  SE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 21 to 28 knots
Seas:  SSW 6 feet at 6 seconds
Sunday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNW 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  NNW 6 feet at 6 seconds

Sunday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 14 to 18 knots
Seas:  ENE 4 feet at 8 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)







Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!



*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out!

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)


Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: Friday Night Update on Saturday Snow
« Reply #1 on: April 08, 2016, 10:18:16 PM »
A clipper system will move out of the Upper Midwest and move across the state. Statewide will see rain and snow tomorrow with accumulations from less than an inch to 4 inches for Western NJ. Expect rain changing over to a wintry mix and then snow. Changeovers could happen throughout the period and accumulations will be difficult to pin point. It is April, the ground is thawed, sun is strong and at a higher angle in the sky, which will warm roadways. This system will definitely make a mess overnight and Saturday, even if accumulations are low. Surfaces will be hazardous and roadways slippery. There is the possibility of freezing after sunset as well. Winds will be gusty most of the weekend. This will result is hazardous water conditions with winds gusting to 35+ knots and seas to 8 feet inshore and 15 feet offshore. Small Craft Advisories and Gale Warnings will be in effect.

Be safe!!

Storm Tracks




Snowfall Totals




Snowfall Maximums




Offline BigAl13

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Re: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekend Edition: Apr 9-10, 2016
« Reply #2 on: April 09, 2016, 09:57:39 AM »
thanks Matt  t^ can you please add warmth and sunshine to your next outlook  :P
Its better to sit in a boat and think about God, than to sit in a church and think about fishing.

Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekend Edition: Apr 9-10, 2016
« Reply #3 on: April 09, 2016, 01:56:53 PM »
thanks Matt  t^ can you please add warmth and sunshine to your next outlook  :P

I think we are paying for the warm start to Winter and all of those 60 and 70 degree days scattered throughout. I'm done with this cold ;D!


 

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