Author Topic: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Apr 11-15, 2016  (Read 1901 times)

Offline Pfishingruven

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The unsettled weather continues with rain chances three days this week, windy conditions causing cautious to hazardous water conditions. Rain showers are possible on Monday with cloudy conditions. Showers will be scattered and chances increase from the south to the north. These chances will increase into the overnight and for Tuesday where showers will be more widely scattered to more widespread. Wednesday and Thursday will be dry with more sun than clouds, but rain chances will return for Friday and into Saturday Day. Temperatures will be average with highs in the 50’s and 60’s with lows in the 30’s and 40’s. It will be breezy to windy again most of the week. Water conditions will be mainly cautious to hazardous all week with winds to 35 knots again and seas to 5-8 feet increasing to more than 10 feet on Friday. Some pockets of good or borderline conditions are possible as well. Small Craft Advisories or greater are likely much of the week. If we could get into a true season without this transitional weather phases, we will get some more stabilized and settled conditions. Surf conditions will be ok to cautious with gusty winds and surf to 7 feet. Water temperatures are steady in the 40’s and 50’s. UV Index will be Low to Very High at 0-8/15.

High pressure located over the Mid Atlantic States will move offshore tonight. This will then be followed by a cold frontal boundary and associated low pressure entering the region for Monday and Tuesday from the Great Lakes. Another area of high pressure then will build southeast toward the region for the later half of the week with a lingering low pressure system offshore. This low pressure system may back westward toward the Mid Atlantic Coastline.

The weekend will be split right now for weather with chances of showers on Saturday, clearing out for Saturday Night, then dry for Sunday. Highs will be in the 50’s and 60’s with overnight lows in the 40’s. Water, surf and beach conditions will be cautious to hazardous with gusty winds and elevated seas. Small Craft Advisories are likely.

Have a great week and thanks for reading!

Monday
Sky:   Cloudy, Windy
Precipitation:  0%-70% chance showers all day (chance increase south to north)
Temperatures
High:    Upper 50’s to low 60’s
Low:   Upper 40’s to mid 50’s
UV Index:  1-4/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:25am
Sunset: 7:30pm


Tuesday
Sky:  Mostly cloudy to cloudy, Windy
Precipitation:  80% chance of showers during the day, 20%-60% chance of showers at night (chances decrease through the overnight)
Temperatures
High:    Low to mid 50’s
Low:   Upper 30’s inland, low 40’s at the shore, low 30’s northern areas
UV Index:  0-3/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:23am
Sunset: 7:31pm


Wednesday
Sky:  Partly to mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy, Windy
Precipitation:  0%- slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Low to mid 50’s
Low:   Mid 30’s to low 40’s
UV Index:  6-8/15 (Moderate-Very High)
Sunrise: 6:21am
Sunset: 7:32pm


Thursday
Sky:  Mostly sunny becoming partly to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%- slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Mid 50’s to low 60’s
Low:   Low 40’s inland, mid 40’s at the shore, upper 30’s northern areas
UV Index:  6-7/15 (High)
Sunrise: 6:20am
Sunset: 7:33pm
First Qtr: 12:01am


Friday
Sky:  Partly sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  30% chance of showers all day
Temperatures
High:   Low to upper 50’s
Low:   Low to mid 40’s
UV Index:  4-6/15 (Moderate-High)
Sunrise: 6:18am
Sunset: 7:34pm


Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Monday - Monday



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  47°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  S 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  S 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SW 10-15 knots becoming NW in the afternoon with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  3-6 feet

Tuesday Night
Wind:  N 10-15 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  3-6 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NE 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  3-6 feet

Wednesday Night
Wind:  NE 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  3-6 feet
Thursday
Wind:  NE 10-15 knots becoming N 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet, then 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  3-6 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  N 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  3-6 feet
Friday
Wind:  NE 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  3-6 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  NE 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  3-6 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                         



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  47°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 18 to 24 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 20 to 27 knots
Seas:  S 7 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  3-6 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NNW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  S 5 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  3-6 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NE 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  SE 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet

Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNE 18 to 24 knots
Seas:  ESE 5 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet

Thursday Afternoon
Winds: NE 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: NE 18 to 24 knots
Seas:  ESE 5 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: NE 12 to 17 knots
Seas:  ESE 5 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  46°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 17 to 24 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 19 to 26 knots
Seas:  S 5 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  3-6 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNW 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  3-6 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NE 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  ENE 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:   3-6 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  E 5 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  3-6 feet
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNE 19 to 25 knots
Seas:  E 6 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  3-6 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NE 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  E 6 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  3-6 feet
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NE 19 to 25 knots
Seas:  E 6 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  3-6 feet

Friday Afternoon
Winds: NE 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  E 6 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  3-6 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides
Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  46°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SSW 15-18 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  2 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
 Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SSW 14-17 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SSW 11-15 knots becoming NNW in the afternoon with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NNE 13-15 knots with gusts to 21 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NNE 18 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  ENE 11-14 knots becoming NNE after midnight with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NNE 12-17 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet

Thursday Night
Wind:  NNE 8-13 knots
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday
Wind:  NE 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  NE 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  48°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 18 to 24 knots
Seas:  SSW 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 18 to 24 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet

Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 18 to 25 knots
Seas:  S 5 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  3-6 feet[/color]
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: NW 12 to 17 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  3-6 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NE 18 to 24 knots
Seas:  ENE 5 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  3-6 feet   
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NE 20 to 27 knots
Seas:  ENE 6 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  3-6 feet
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNE 19 to 26 knots
Seas:  E 6 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  3-6 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NE 19 to 25 knots
Seas:  E 6 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  3-6 feet
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NE 20 to 27 knots
Seas:  E 7 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  3-6 feet
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NE 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  E 6 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  4-6 feet


Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  49°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  S 15-20 knots gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  S 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SW 10-15 knots becoming N in the afternoon with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NE 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NE 20-25 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  3-4 feet
Surf:  2-3 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NE 20-25 knots with gusts to 30 knots diminishing 10-15 knots with gusts 20 knots after midnight
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet

Thursday
Winds: N 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Night
Winds:  NE 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots after midnight
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday
Wind:  NE 10-15 knots
Seas:  3-4 feet
Surf:  2-3 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  NE 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Chicken Canyon
Water Temperature:  45°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  SW 4 feet at 5 seconds
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 17 to 22 knots
Seas:  SW 5 feet at 5 seconds
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 21 to 28 knots
Seas:  SSW 8 feet at 7 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 17 to 22 knots
Seas:  SSW 6 feet at 7 seconds
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NE 20 to 27 knots
Seas:  ENE 6 feet at 6 seconds

Wednesday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NE 21 to 29 knots
Seas:  ENE 8 feet at 7 seconds
Thursday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NE 22 to 30 knots
Seas:  ENE 8 feet at 8 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NE 23 to 31 knots
Seas:  ENE 9 feet at 8 seconds
Friday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NE 24 to 33 knots
Seas:  ENE 10 feet at 8 seconds
Friday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNE 23 to 32 knots
Seas:  ENE 10 feet at 9 seconds


Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!




*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)


 

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