NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Apr 25-29, 2016

[Pfishingruven]

Another unsettled week with rain and thunderstorm chances and mixed water conditions leaning more towards borderline to cautious conditions. The remainder of Monday will have chances of scattered to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms. Thunderstorms will be capable of heavy rains, dangerous lightning, and some gustier winds. Tuesday will have chances of showers and again more thunderstorms. Tuesday showers will be more widely scattered to organized with some severe thunderstorms possible. Wednesday will be mainly dry, although late showers across southern areas is possible. Thursday will have a return of scattered to widely scattered showers all day. Friday looks mostly dry at this time. Highs will be in the 50’s to upper 70’s, with Monday and Tuesday the warmest with 70’s and then 50’s and 60’s for the rest of the week. Overnight lows will be in the upper 30’s to 50’s. Water conditions will be mixed with cautious conditions on Monday for all locations due to winds to 20+ knots. Tuesday will have cautious conditions for all locations except rivers and central and northern bays. Wednesday will range from good to cautious conditions during the day, then good to borderline for night. Thursday and Friday will have good conditions for rivers and bays, borderline conditions for ocean waters due to seas at 3-5 feet and midshore to offshore waters will be cautious. There marine forecasts are definitely more borderline than cautious, so don't write the week off. Water temperatures have warmed some into the 50’s and upper 50’s for rivers and bays. UV Index will be Low to Very High at 1-8/15.

A cold front will drop slowly southward across the area on Tuesday and Tuesday Night. High pressure will then build down from the northwest for Wednesday. Low pressure should approach from the west on Thursday before moving off the Mid Atlantic Coast on Thursday Night, then move out to sea on Friday. High pressure is expected to follow for Saturday with another low to approach on Sunday.

The weekend looks to be dry with a mix of sun and clouds. Sunday could see some chances of precipitation. Highs will be in the 60’s with overnight lows in the 40’s. Water, surf and beach conditions are looking good right now with calm to moderate winds and seas 1-3 feet.

Have a great week and thanks for reading! Sorry for the delay…

Monday
Sky:   Partly to mostly sunny becoming partly to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-60% chance showers and thunderstorms at night
Temperatures
High:    Low to mid 70’s inland, low to upper 60’s at the shore
Low:   Low to mid 50’s
UV Index:  6-7/15 (High - Very High)
Sunrise: 6:04am
Sunset: 7:44pm


Tuesday
Sky:  Cloudy
Precipitation:  20%-80% chance of showers all day (chances increase throughout the day and decrease during the overnight)
Temperatures
High:    Mid to upper 70’s inland, upper 60’s to low 70’s at the shore, mid 60’s northern areas
Low:   Upper 40’s to low 50’s inland, low 40’s northern areas
UV Index:  2-7/15 (Low – Very High)
Sunrise: 6:03am
Sunset: 7:45pm


Wednesday
Sky:  Partly sunny to sunny becoming partly to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%- 30% chance of showers (mainly across southern areas)
Temperatures
High:   Low to mid 60’s inland, upper 50’s at the shore
Low:   Mid 40’s inland, upper 40’s at the shore, upper 30’s northern areas
UV Index:  3-8/15 (Moderate-Very High)
Sunrise: 6:02am
Sunset: 7:46pm


Thursday
Sky:  Mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  40%- 50% chance of showers all day
Temperatures
High:   Upper 50’s to low 60’s
Low:   Mid to upper 40’s
UV Index:  1-4/15 (Low - Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:00am
Sunset: 7:47pm


Friday
Sky:  Partly sunny to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%- slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Upper 50’s to low 60’s
Low:   Low to upper 40’s
UV Index:  2-6/15 (Low - High)
Sunrise: 5:59am
Sunset: 7:48pm
Last Qtr: 11:30pm


Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Monday - Monday



Thunderstorms and Severe Weather for Monday & Tuesday








Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  58°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  S 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots late
Seas:  1 foot or less, then 1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  S 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  W 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  NE 10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  N 5-10 knots becoming SW in the afternoon
Seas:  1-2 feet, then 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots becoming N after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Thursday
Wind:  NE 5-10 knots becoming E
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  E 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday
Wind:  E 5-10 knots becoming S in the evening
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  S 5-10 knots becoming W after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                         



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  58°F
Monday Morning
Winds:
Seas:
Surf:
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
Winds: S 10 to 15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  3 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: NW 4 to 6 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: NNE 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 4 to 6 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: ENE 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: ESE 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: ENE 12 to 17 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 9 to 13 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  53°F
Monday Morning
Winds:
Seas: 
Surf: 
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
Winds: S 10 to 15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  S 3-5 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: WSW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 17 to 24 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: NE 8 to 10 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: E 4 to 6 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: ENE 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  ENE 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: E 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: ENE 12 to 17 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: E 9 to 13 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides
Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  58°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SSW 14 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
 Monday Night
Wind:  S 9-11 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  SW 9-13 knots
Seas:  2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Tuesday Night
Wind:  NNE 6-9 knot becoming 9-12 knots after midnight
Seas:  2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Wednesday
Wind:  NNE 8-11 knots becoming E in the afternoon
Seas:  2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Wednesday Night
Wind:  S 5-7 knots becoming variable and less than 5 knots after midnight
Seas:  1-2
Surf:  1 foot
Thursday
Wind:  E 7-9 knots
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  ENE 9 knots
Seas:  2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Friday
Wind:  ENE 10 knots
Seas:  2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Friday Night
Wind:  ENE 10 knots
Seas:  2 feet
Surf:  1 foot

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  51°F
Monday Morning
Winds:
Seas: 
Surf: 
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  S 2-4 feet building to 3-5 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: ENE 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  SE 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet   
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 9 to 13 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: ENE 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: E 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  ENE 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: ENE 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: E 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  58°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SE 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots becoming S
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots becoming NE 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots after midnight
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NE 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots becoming E 5-10 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Wednesday Night
Wind:  SE 5 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Thursday
Winds: E 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Thursday Night
Winds: E 10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday
Wind:  NE 10 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  NE 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Chicken Canyon
Water Temperature:  50°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
Winds: S to SW 5 to 15 knots increasing to 10 to 20 knots
Seas:  S 2-4 feet at 7 seconds
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 15 to 25 knots
Seas:  S 4-7 feet at 7 seconds
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  SSW 5 feet at 6 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  SSW 6 feet at 7 seconds
Wednesday Morning
Winds: NE 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  S 5 feet at 8 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 4 to 6 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 8 seconds
Thursday Morning
Winds: ENE 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 7 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: E 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Friday Morning
Winds: ENE 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 5 seconds
Friday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 6 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)

Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!

*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)

[Pfishingruven]

There is a threat of severe weather, stretching from the Midwest all the way into the Mid Atlantic. A Slight and Marginal Risk of severe thunderstorms is possible this afternoon into the overnight, with the greatest chances between 4PM and 8PM. As daytime heating continues with mostly clear skies and temperatures moving into the low 80's with dewpoints moving into the 60's, instability will exist as a cold front drops across the region. Rain will move in and thunderstorms develop, some of these storms will be strong to severe. Thunderstorms will be capable of heavy rains, dangerous lightning, damaging winds, and hail.

Be alert to changing conditions and have a way of receiving weather alerts. Be safe!!

[Pfishingruven]

The Storm Prediction Center has issued Severe Thunderstorm Watch #107 until 2100 hrs for Atlantic, Burlington, Camden, Cape May, Cumberland, Eastern Union, Essex, Gloucester, Hunterdon, Mercer, Middlesex, Monmouth, Morris, Ocean, Salem, Somerset, Sussex & Union Counties as well as all adjacent coastal waters and parts of Pennsylvania, Maryland, and Delaware.



SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch #107
**REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

[fluke - u]