NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: May 9-13, 2016

[Pfishingruven]

Another mixed week for weather, but better water conditions. Scattered showers are possible all week over different parts of the state. There should be less cumulative rain this week, than last week, but still a chance or threat all week. Friday could see some thunderstorms mixed in with the showers. Temperatures will be warmer this week. Highs will be in the 60’s and 70’s with overnight lows in the 40’s to 50’s. 40’s will be less prominent this week. Water conditions will be improved, with inshore waters cautious on Monday with Small Craft Advisories possible, then improving for Monday Night or Tuesday. Conditions will be good for the rest of the week. Midshore to offshore waters will be cautious Monday and then borderline to cautious for Tuesday, borderline to good for Wednesday and Thursday, then borderline to cautious on Friday. Even borderline and cautious conditions are only in the 3-5 foot range with 6 feet possible on Friday. Surf and beach conditions will be good, except for some gusty winds on Monday to 20 knots and surf heights to 4 feet. Water temperatures have warmed some again in the 50’s inshore and upper 40’s to low 50’s offshore. UV Index will be Low to Very High at 2-9/15.

High pressure will build across the area Sunday Night and remain for Monday. A weak front to the south will try to move north Tuesday and Wednesday. More high pressure will move towards the area Wednesday Night through Thursday Night. A low and its associated front will affect the weather for Friday and into next weekend.

The weekend will have shower chances for Saturday. Sunday could have some chances at showers also. Highs will be in the 60’s and 70’s with overnight lows in the 40’s and 50’s. Water, surf and beach conditions will be good for Saturday Day, then winds and seas pickup for Saturday Night and Sunday becoming borderline to cautious.

Have a great week and thanks for reading!

Monday
Sky:   Mostly sunny to sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-30% chance showers all day (mainly across southern areas)
Temperatures
High:    Upper 60’s to low 70’s
Low:   Upper 40’s inland, low 50’s at the shore, low 40’s northern areas
UV Index:  4-7/15 (Moderate - High)
Sunrise: 5:47am
Sunset: 7:58pm


Tuesday
Sky:  Partly sunny to cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-40% chance of scattered showers all day
Temperatures
High:    Upper 60’s inland, low 60’s at the shore
Low:   Low 50’s inland, mid 50’s at the shore, mid 40’s northern areas
UV Index:  2-3/15 (Low - High)
Sunrise: 5:46am
Sunset: 7:59pm


Wednesday
Sky:  Partly sunny becoming partly to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%- 20% chance of scattered showers during the day (mainly southern areas)
Temperatures
High:   Upper 60’s to low 70’s inland, low to mid 60’s at the shore
Low:   Mid 50’s inland and at the shore, upper 40’s northern areas
UV Index:  6-9/15 (High – Very High)
Sunrise: 5:45am
Sunset: 8:00pm


Thursday
Sky:  Partly sunny becoming mostly cloudy, Patchy Fog at night
Precipitation:  30%- 40% chance of showers at night
Temperatures
High:   Mid 60’s to low 70’s
Low:   Mid to upper 50’s inland and at the shore, low 50’s northern areas
UV Index:  8-9/15 (Very High)
Sunrise: 5:44am
Sunset: 8:01pm


Friday
Sky:  Mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  30%-60% chance of showers and thunderstorms all day
Temperatures
High:   Low to upper 60’s
Low:   Mid 50’s inland and at the shore, low 50’s northern areas
UV Index:  4-7/15 (Moderate - High)
Sunrise: 5:43am
Sunset: 8:02pm
First Qtr: 1:03pm


Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Monday - Monday



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  55°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  W 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  W 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots becoming NE 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  N 5 knots becoming SW in the afternoon
Seas:  1-2 feet, then 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  SW 5 knots becoming W after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  N 5 knots becoming E in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  SE 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday
Wind:  E 5 knots becoming SE
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  SE 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday
Wind:  SE 5-10 knots becoming N in the evening
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  N 5-10 knots becoming W after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                         



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  55°F
Monday Morning
Winds: W 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: ENE 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: SW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: N 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: S 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: W 1 to 2 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: S 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: S 11 to 14 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: S 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  50°F
Monday Morning
Winds: WSW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WSW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: E 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: E 2 to 3 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: NNE 6 to 9 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: E 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: ENE 2 to 2 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: SSE 9 to 12 knot
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
 Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: S 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: S 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides
Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  58°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  WSW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
 Monday Night
Wind:  W 5-9 knots becoming N after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  Variable winds 5 knots or less
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  SSW 6 knots becoming variable and less than 5 knots after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  Variable winds 5 knots or less
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  SE 6 knots becoming variable and less than 5 knots after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday
Wind:  Variable winds less than 5 knots becoming ESE 5-7 knots in the morning
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  SE 8 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less, Patchy fog
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday
Wind:  SE 5-10 knots becoming N in the evening
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  N 5-10 knots becoming W after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  52°F
Monday Morning
Winds: SW 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 3 to 4 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: ENE 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: NNE 6 to 9 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: E 4 to 6 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: E 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: ESE 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: SSE 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  60°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots becoming W 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  W 5-10 knots becoming N after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Tuesday
Wind:  E 5 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Tuesday Night
Wind:  SE 5 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Wednesday
Wind:  SE 5 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Wednesday Night
Wind:  SE 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Thursday
Winds: E 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Thursday Night
Winds: SE 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet, Patchy fog
Surf:  1 foot
Friday
Wind:  S 5-10 knots becoming SW in the afternoon
Seas:  1-2 feet, Patchy fog
Surf:  1 foot
Friday Night
Wind:  W 5-10 knots becoming NW after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Chicken Canyon
Water Temperature:  48°F-50°F
Monday Morning
Winds: WSW 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  SE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WSW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  SE 4 feet at 10 seconds
Tuesday Morning
Winds: E 8 to 10 knots
Seas:  SE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: NE 3 to 3 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Wednesday Morning
Winds: NW 5 to 6 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: NNE 3 to 3 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Thursday Morning
Winds: WNW 2 to 2 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: S 2 to 3 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Friday Morning
Winds: S 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Friday Afternoon
Winds: S 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)

Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!

*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)

[Pfishingruven]

Clouds will continue to increase with scattered showers becoming more widespread rain this afternoon. Some of these showers could have thunderstorms embedded. Thunderstorms will be capable of heavy rains, dangerous lightning, and gusty winds. Rain will then become widely scattered with the possibility of thunderstorms tonight.

Be aware of changing weather conditions!!