NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: May 23-27, 2016

[Pfishingruven]

A unsettled week, but overall just rain and thunderstorm chances with cautious water conditions to start improving for midweek. Monday will have chances of showers and thunderstorms, mostly scattered, in the afternoon, with patchy fog in the morning. Tuesday will have shower chances during the day, with those chances decreasing throughout the day and almost nonexistent at night. Wednesday looks dry. Scattered shower chances return for Thursday and Friday, but will be regionalized. On Thursday, showers will mainly be across northern areas and Friday mainly along the coast and some northern areas. Temperatures will be seasonable. Highs will be in the 60’s to 80’s with as much as 5-10 degrees cooler at the shore. Overnight lows will be in the 50’s to 60’s, as we see the first biggest stretch of humidity moving in to the area. Water conditions will start off cautious on Monday and Tuesday for all ocean waters. Seas will be around 5 feet on Monday, Tuesday could see some gustier winds and seas to 4 feet. Rivers and bays will be mainly good, although Tuesday Afternoon into the overnight could see winds gust to 20+ knots. By Wednesday all waters will be good, except offshore will be cautious to borderline. Thursday and Friday all waters look good right now until late Friday Night when winds and seas could increase. Surf and beach conditions will be good. Monday could see surf heights to 5 feet, but average will be 2-4 feet. Tuesday will also see surf heights 2-4 feet and some gustier winds. Wednesday through Friday will have normal wave heights at 1-3 feet and winds to 15 knots. Winds could pick up later on Friday. Water temperatures are steady, with some shallower waters moving from 50’s up into the 60’s.  UV Index will be Low to Very High at 1-10/15.

A low is expected to develop off the coast of North Carolina and then slowly drift northeast, lingering just offshore of our region through Tuesday. A ridge will build over our region by mid week. The ridge will slowly shift east through the remainder of the week.


The weekend will have shower and thunderstorm chances for Saturday all day, then Sunday will be mainly dry. Highs will be in the 70’s and 80’s with overnight lows in the 60’s. Monday is looking to be like the rest of the weekend, but it is too early to really make a good call. Water, surf and beach conditions will be borderline on Saturday, then good for Sunday and Monday right now. 3 Day Memorial Weekend Outlook will be out for Thursday.

Have a great week and thanks for reading!

Monday
Sky:   Partly sunny to mostly cloudy becoming cloudy, Patchy fog in the morning
Precipitation:  30%-40% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms during the day, 40%-60% chance of showers at night
Temperatures
High:   Mid 70’s inland, upper 60’s at the shore
Low:   Mid 50’s
UV Index:  7-9/15 (High – Very High)
Sunrise: 5:35am
Sunset: 8:11pm


Tuesday
Sky:  Cloudy becoming partly to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  60%30% chance of showers during the day
Temperatures
High:   Upper 60’s to low 70’s
Low:   Upper 50’s inland and at the shore, low 50’s northern areas
UV Index:  1-7/15 (Low - High)
Sunrise: 5:34am
Sunset: 8:12pm


Wednesday
Sky:  Sunny becoming partly cloudy to mostly clear
Precipitation:  0%-Slight Chance
Temperatures
High:   Low 80’s inland, mid 70’s at the shore
Low:   Upper 50’s to low 60’s
UV Index:  5-9/15 (Moderate – Very High)
Sunrise: 5:33am
Sunset: 8:13pm


Thursday
Sky:  Partly to mostly sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-30% chance of showers during the day (mainly northern areas)
Temperatures
High:   Low 80’s inland, mid 70’s at the shore
Low:   Low to mid 60’s
UV Index:  6-10/15 (High - Very High)
Sunrise: 5:33am
Sunset: 8:14pm


Friday
Sky:  Partly sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-40% chance of showers all day
Temperatures
High:   Upper 70’s to low 80’s inland, mid 70’s at the shore
Low:   Low to mid 60’s
UV Index:  7-9/15 (High – Very High)
Sunrise: 5:32am
Sunset: 8:15pm


Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Monday - Monday



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  56°F
Monday
Wind:  N 5 knots  becoming E in the afternoon
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-5 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  E 5 knots becoming NW after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-5 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  W 5 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  W 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less, then 1-2 feet after midnight
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday
Wind:  S 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less, then 1-2 feet in the afternoon
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  S 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet, then 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday
Wind:  S 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  S 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less, then 1-2 feet after midnight
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                          



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  56°F
Monday Morning
Winds: N 6 to 9 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-5 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: SE 9 to 13 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-5 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: N 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: NW 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: WNW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 11 to 14 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: WSW 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: S 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: ESE 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: ESE 15 to 21 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  55°F
Monday Morning
Winds: N 6 to 9 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: E 8 to 10 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: NW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: NNW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: WNW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: W 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: ESE 2 to 3 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: SE 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: ESE 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides
Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  56°F
Monday
Wind:  NNE 5-8 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less, Patchy fog in the morning
Surf:  0-1 feet
 Monday Night
Wind:  Variable winds less than 5 knots becoming NW 6-11 knots in the evening
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  NW 11 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  WSW 5-8 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  W 7 knots becoming SSW in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  WSW 8-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday
Wind:  WSW 6-9 knots becoming S in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  S 6-9 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday
Wind:  S 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  S 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  54°F
Monday Morning
Winds: NE 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: WNW 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: W 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: WNW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 5 to 6 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: WSW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 3 to 4 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: SSW 6 to 9 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: SSE 10 to 13 knots
Seas: SE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  56°F -61°F
Monday
Wind:  N 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Monday Night
Wind:  NE 5 knots becoming NW after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Tuesday
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  W 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots after midnight
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  W 5-10 knots becoming SW in the afternoon
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Wednesday Night
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Thursday
Winds:  SW 5 knots becoming S in the afternoon
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday Night
Winds:  S 10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots becoming S 10-15 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  S 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Chicken Canyon
Water Temperature:  53°F
Monday Morning
Winds: NE 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  ESE 5 feet at 8 seconds
Monday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 11 to 14 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Tuesday Morning
Winds: NNW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Wednesday Morning
Winds: WNW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Thursday Morning
Winds: WSW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Friday Morning
Winds: ESE 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Friday Afternoon
Winds: ESE 12 to 17 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 7 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)

Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!

*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)

[Pfishingruven]

In addition to scattered showers, thunderstorms are possible Monday, Tuesday & Wednesday. Nothing looks to be severe, just typical thunderstorms capable of heavy rains, dangerous lightning, and gusty winds.

Be aware of changing conditions and have a way of receiving weather alerts!