NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: July 11-15, 2016

[Pfishingruven]

Another unsettled week with mixed weather and water conditions. Monday and Tuesday will be controlled by high pressure, with dry conditions and average temperatures and humidity. Highs on Monday and Tuesday will be in the low to mid 80’s with overnight lows in the 60’s and 70’s and moderate humidity. Wednesday will bring a lifting warm front with chances of scattered showers and thunderstorms for the rest of the week. Highs will lift into the upper 80’s and low 90’s (cooler at the shore by a few degrees) and overnight lows into the 60’s and upper 70’s. Dew points will not be much lower than these overnight lows with the hot and moist air moving into the region. It will be muggy and sticky with high humidity. Water conditions will be very mixed by day, time and location. Overall more borderline than cautious conditions and inshore waters will probably see good conditions over borderline. Winds will be the main concern at 10-15 knots with some gusts to 20 knots, making seas build to 4 feet at points. Friday may have seas to 5 feet in areas. Winds and seas will be for short periods, as opposed to long durations. Any thunderstorms could bring additional winds and seas. Surf and beach conditions look good overall. Rip Current Risks will be Low with surf heights 1-3 feet. A Low Risk does not mean NO risk and conditions could change daily. Water temperatures are steady in the 70’s and pushing 80’s in some places. UV Index will be Very High at 9-10/15.
 
High pressure will continue to slowly build towards our region, shifting over our region by Monday and off shore sometime Tuesday. A warm front lifts through our region Wednesday, bringing hot and humid conditions for Thursday. Another cold front is expected to slide south and stall over the Mid Atlantic this weekend.


The weekend will be mostly dry with continuation of hot temperatures, but maybe some relief from a cold front. With the cold front showers and thunderstorms are possible. Right now, highs will be in the 80’s and 90’s with 60’s and 70’s overnight. Water, surf and beach conditions look good right now.

The tropics are quiet still!

Have a great week and thanks for reading!

Monday
Sky:   Sunny then partly cloudy to mostly clear
Precipitation:  0% - Slight Chance
Temperatures
High:   Low to mid 80’s
Low:   Mid to upper 60’s inland, upper 60’s to low 70’s at the shore, low 60’s northern areas
UV Index:  9-10/15 (Very High)
Sunrise: 5:37am
Sunset: 8:26pm
First Qtr: 8:53pm


Tuesday
Sky:  Mostly sunny to sunny becoming partly cloudy to mostly clear
Precipitation:  0% - Slight Chance
Temperatures
High:   Low to mid 80’s
Low:   Upper 60’s to low 70’s inland and at the shore, mid 60’s northern areas
UV Index:  9-10/15 (Very High)
Sunrise: 5:38am
Sunset: 8:26pm


Wednesday
Sky:  Partly to mostly sunny becoming partly to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0% - 20% chance of showers and thunderstorms during the day
Temperatures
High:   Upper 80’s to low 90’s inland, Low to mid 80’s at the shore
Low:   Low 60’s inland, mid to upper 60’s at the shore, mid 50’s northern areas
UV Index:  9-10/15 (Very High)
Sunrise: 5:39am
Sunset: 8:25pm


Thursday
Sky:  Partly to mostly sunny becoming partly to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  30% - 40% chance of showers and thunderstorms all day
Temperatures
High:   Upper 80’s to mid 90’s inland, mid to upper 80’s at the shore
Low:   Low to mid 70’s inland, mid to upper 70’s at the shore, upper 60’s northern areas
UV Index:  9-10/15 (Very High)
Sunrise: 5:40am
Sunset: 8:25pm


Friday
Sky:  Partly to mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  0% - 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms during the day
Temperatures
High:   Upper 80’s to low 90’s
Low:   Low 70’s inland, low to mid 70’s at the shore, mid 60’s northern areas
UV Index:  9-10/15 (Very High)
Sunrise: 5:40am
Sunset: 8:24pm


Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Monday - Monday



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  72°F
Monday
Wind:     N 5-10 knots becoming NE in the afternoon
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Monday Night
Wind:     S 5-10 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Tuesday
Wind:     S 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots in the afternoon
Seas:     1 foot or less, then 1-2 feet in the afternoon
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:     S 10-15 knots becoming SW 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Wednesday
Wind:     SW 5-10 knots becoming S 10-15 knots in the afternoon
Seas:     1 foot or less, then 1-2 feet in the afternoon
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:     S 10-15 knots diminishing to 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday
Wind:     SW 5-10 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet, then 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:     SW 5-10 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday
Wind:     W 5-10 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday Night
Wind:     W 5-10 knots becoming NW after midnight
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                         



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  72°F
Monday
Winds:    N 10 knots becoming NE in the afternoon
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:     1-3 feet
Monday Night
Winds:    S 5-10 knots
Seas:     2 feet
Surf:     1-3 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
Winds:    S 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots in the afternoon
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:     1-3 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Winds:    S 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:     1-3 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
Winds:    SW 5-10 knots becoming S 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots in the afternoon
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:     1-3 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Winds:    S 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:     3 feet
Surf:     1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds:    SW 10-15 knots
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:     1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds:    SW 10-15 knots
Seas:    2-3 feet
Surf:     1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds:    SW 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots in the afternoon and evening
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:     1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds:    SW 10-15 knots becoming NW 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:     1-3 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides
Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  73°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
Winds:    N 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots, diminishing to 5-10 knots in the early afternoon, then E late
Seas:     S 2-3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Monday Night
Winds:    S 5-10 knots
Seas:     NE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
Winds:    S 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots in the afternoon
Seas:     E 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Tuesday Night
Winds:    S 10-15 knots
Seas:     2 feet
Surf:     1-3 feet
Wednesday
Winds:    S 10-15 knots
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:   1-3 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Winds:    S 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:     3 feet
Surf:     1-3 feet
Thursday
Winds:    S 10-15 knots
Seas:     3-4 feet
Surf:     1-3 feet
Thursday Night
Winds:    SW 10-15 knots
Seas:     3-4 feet
Surf:     1-3 feet
Friday
Winds:    SW 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots in the afternoon
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:     1-3 feet
Friday Night
Winds:    SW 10-15 knots becoming NW 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:     1-3 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides
Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  72°F
Monday
Wind:     N 8-11 knots becoming ENE 5-8 knots in the afternoon
Seas:     1 foot
Surf:     0-1 feet
Monday Night
Wind:     SSE 8-10 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Tuesday
Wind:     SSE 7-11 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:     S 8-10 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Wednesday
Wind:     S 6-9 knots increasing to 10-13 knots in the afternoon
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:     S 8-12 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Thursday
Wind:     S 7-10 knots increasing to 10-13 knots in the afternoon
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:     SSW 8-11 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Friday
Wind:    W 5-10 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind:     W 5-10 knots becoming NW after midnight
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  77°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
Winds:    N 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots becoming NE 5-10 knots in the afternoon, then E late
Seas:     S 2-3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Monday Night
Winds:    SE 5-10 knots
Seas:     NE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Tuesday
Winds:    SE 10 knots
Seas:     E 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Tuesday Night
Winds:    S 10 knots
Seas:     2 feet
Surf:     1-3 feet
Wednesday
Winds:    S 10-15 knots
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:     1-3 feet
Wednesday Night
Winds:    S 10-15 knots
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:     1-3 feet
Thursday
Winds:    S 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots in the afternoon
Seas:     3 feet
Surf:     1-3 feet
Thursday Night
Winds:    SW 10-15 knots
Seas:     3 feet
Surf:     1-3 feet
Friday
Winds:    SW 10-15 knots
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:     1-3 feet
Friday Night
Winds:    W 10-15 knots
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:     1-3 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  75°F-79°F
Monday
Wind:     N 10 knots diminishing to 5 knots early in the afternoon, then S late
Seas:     1-2 feet, then 1 foot or less
Surf:     1 foot
Monday Night
Wind:     S 5-10 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less, then 1-2 feet early in the evening
Surf:     1 foot
Tuesday
Wind:     SE 10 knots
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:     1-2 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:     S 5-10 knots
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:     1-2 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:     S 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:     1-2 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:     S 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:     1-2 feet
Thursday
CAUTIOUS
Winds:    S 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:     1-2 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:    SW 5-10 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf:     1 foot
Friday
Wind:     W 5-10 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf:     1 foot
Friday Night
Wind:     S 5-10 knots becoming NW after midnight
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:     1-2 feet

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Chicken Canyon
Water Temperature:  72°F
Monday
Winds:    N-NW 10-15 knots becoming N
Seas:    2-4 feet
Monday Night
Winds:    E-SE 5-10 knots
Seas:    2-3 feet
Tuesday
Winds:    E-SE 5-10 knots becoming S-SE 5-15 knots
Seas:    2-3 feet
Tuesday Night
Winds:    S-SE 10-15 knots diminishing to 5-10 knots
Seas:    2-3 feet
Wednesday
Winds:    S-SE 5-10 knots becoming S 5-15 knots
Seas:    2-3 feet
Wednesday Night
Winds:    S 10-15 knots
Seas:    2-3 feet
Thursday
Winds:    S 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots
Seas:    2-3 feet
Thursday Night
Winds:    S-SW 5-15 knots
Seas:    3-4 feet
Friday
CAUTIOUS
Winds:    SW 10-20 knots
Seas:    3-5 feet
Friday Night
CAUTIOUS
Winds:    W-SW 10-20 knots becoming W less than 10 knots
Seas:    3-5 feet

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!

*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)

[Down Deep Fleet]

As always, thank you for the service you provide to many here 

[Hotrod]

 

[Pfishingruven]

Very welcome !

[Pfishingruven]

Today (Wednesday) starts the lifting of a warm front across the state. Today's highs will only be in the mid 80's inland, but already the dew point/humidity is higher than yesterday. Overnight lows tonight will not drop out of the 70's most places with moderate to high humidity. Tomorrow will see temperatures in the upper 80's and 90's with dew points in the 70's all day and heat indices into the 100's with high humidity. These temperatures combined with the humidity will make for dangerous conditions, especially in the young, elderly, and sick. Also, remember, animals can be affected too... Heat Watches have been issued for Mercer, NW Burlington, Camden, and Gloucester Counties, as well as urban and surrounding suburban areas of Philadelphia!

Weather Ready Nation Heat Safety

In addition to the heat, rain and thunderstorms are possible the next three days. There is a Generalized Risk of thunderstorms today. There is also a Flash Flooding Risk for South and Western parts of the state due to rain coming from the southwest. 2+ inches of rain locally could fall this afternoon/evening. Thursday will see a Marginal Risk of Severe Weather and Friday will be another Generalized Risk. Thunderstorms could quickly move in or easily pop-up, so be aware of changing weather conditions and have a way of receiving alerts!

WPC Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion #0461

[Pfishingruven]

With the heat and humidity and even a weak approaching front, it will signal the potential for strong to severe thunderstorms today. With dew points in the mid to upper 70's statewide, it is very humid with heat indices near or above 100 degrees today. Northern parts of the state are in a Slight Risk for Severe Weather and Sussex & Warren Counties...Bergen, Morris & Passaic have also been added as of 1430 hours are in a Severe Thunderstorm Watch until 1900 hours. This area is also at risk for Flash Flooding from any heavy rains. A line of storms is moving into this area from PA. The rest of the state is in a Marginal Risk and extreme Cape May County is only in a Generalized Risk. The main threats today are organized clusters/squall lines of thunderstorms capable of heavy rains, dangerous lightning, damaging winds, and hail. Supercells are possible and with these could come isolated tornadoes, but these are not the main threats today!

In addition to thunderstorms, Excessive Heat Warnings are in effect for Philadelphia Urban and Suburban Areas including Mercer, NW Burlington, Camden & Gloucester Counties. The rest of the state is in a Heat Advisory and Air Quality Alerts.

Be aware of changing weather conditions and have a way of receiving weather alerts. Do not drive through flooded roadways. Try and stay cool!

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch #383[/color][/b][/size]


WPC Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion #465[/color][/b][/size]

[Pfishingruven]

There is a Generalized Risk of thunderstorms today, likely scattered this afternoon through night. Excessive Heat Warnings are in effect for Mercer, NW Burlington, Camden & Gloucester Counties. Temperatures will be in the 90's again with dew points in the low to mid 70's, making high humidity and heat indices around the 100 mark! Thunderstorms will be capable of heavy rains, dangerous lightning, and gusty winds. Don't discredit the potential for strong to even isolated severe storms today. Be aware of changing weather conditions and have a way of receiving weather alerts!