NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: August 1-5, 2016

[Pfishingruven]

Another unsettled week with moving fronts causing mixed weather and mixed water conditions. Drier air definitely did not make it to the area this weekend, in fact, though temperatures were cooler, the humidity was extremely high making it very muggy and sticky and quite uncomfortable most of the weekend. Rain and thunderstorms held true, with flooding in many areas. Some areas are currently seeing some later afternoon/evening thunderstorms again with some heavier rain! Monday and Tuesday will continue the rain and thunderstorms chances with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Thunderstorms will be capable of heavy rains causing flooding, dangerous lightning, and gusty winds. Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday Day look dry. Friday Night will usher back in chances of showers and thunderstorms carrying over into Saturday. Temperatures will be in the upper 70’s to upper 80’s, even low 90’s by Friday. Monday and Friday will have the highest temperatures and also the most humidity. Tuesday will have less humidity and by Wednesday even less humidity staying for Thursday. Overnight lows will range from the 60’s to 70’s. This midweek will also see relief from the upper 80’s and 90’s, even though it is short-lived! Water conditions will not be the best. Monday will have good to borderline conditions for almost all areas. Tuesday will start good conditions for rivers and bays through Thursday. Ocean waters will be borderline to cautious for Tuesday through Friday. Rivers and bays will see borderline to cautious conditions for later Friday. Seas will be the main problem, seas to 5 feet inshore and 6-7 feet midshore to offshore. Winds should only be an issue later in the week on Friday and possibly to start the week on Monday. Surf and beach conditions will be good on Monday, Thursday, and Friday and borderline to cautious on Tuesday and Wednesday. Tuesday and Wednesday will have surf heights 2-5 feet with Moderate to High Risks of Rip Currents. The rest of the week will have surf heights at 1-3 feet with a Low to Moderate Risk of Rip Currents. Monday, Tuesday, and later Friday will also have thunderstorm chances. Thunderstorms will not only be dangerous due to lightning, but will also increase wind and sea forecasts locally! Water temperatures are steady in the 70’s and low 80’s. UV Index will be Moderate to Very High at 3-10/15.

A stationary front will remain over our region tonight before it slowly starts to slide south through the day tomorrow. High pressure builds over our region mid week, then shifts off shore by Thursday. The next cold front is due to arrive Friday or Saturday.




The weekend will have chances of showers and thunderstorms on Saturday and Sunday looks mostly dry. It will also bring back the 90’s with higher humidity inland and 80’s at the shore. Overnight lows in the 60’s and 70’s. Water conditions will be borderline to cautious on Saturday and improved for Sunday.

The Atlantic Tropics still has an invest, 97L.  96L has dissipated, but 97L has a 40% chance of formation in the next 2 days and a 70% chance of formation in 5 days. This system will most likely go off into the GOM and move from there. It still needs to be watched. There are several other disturbances on Africa, that could emerge into the Atlantic and potentially develop.

Have a great week and thanks for reading!

Monday
Sky:   Partly sunny to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  40% - 60% chance of showers and thunderstorms all day
Temperatures
High:   Upper 70’s to upper 80’s
Low:   Upper 60’s inland, low 70’s at the shore, mid 60’s northern areas
UV Index:  8-10/15 (Very High)
Sunrise: 5:55am
Sunset: 8:10pm


Tuesday
Sky:  Partly sunny to mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  20% chance of showers and thunderstorms during the day, 0% - 20% chance of showers and thunderstorms at night
Temperatures
High:   Upper 70’s to low 80’s
Low:   Mid 60’s inland, upper 60’s at the shore, low 60’s northern areas
UV Index:  3-10/15 (Moderate - Very High)
Sunrise: 5:56am
Sunset: 8:09pm
New Moon: 4:46pm


Wednesday
Sky:  Mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  0% - Slight Chance
Temperatures
High:   Upper 70’s to low 80’s
Low:   Upper 60’s inland, low 70’s at the shore, low 60’s northern areas
UV Index:  8-10/15 (Very High)
Sunrise: 5:57am
Sunset: 8:08pm


Thursday
Sky:  Mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy to mostly clear
Precipitation:  0% - Slight Chance
Temperatures
High:   Low to mid 80’s
Low:   Upper 60’s inland, low 70’s at the shore, low 60’s for northern areas
UV Index:  8-10/15 (Very High)
Sunrise: 5:58am
Sunset: 8:07pm


Friday
Sky:  Mostly sunny becoming partly to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0% - 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms at night
Temperatures
High:   Mid to upper 80’s
Low:   Low 70’s inland, mid 70’s at the shore, upper 60’s for northern areas
UV Index:  8-10/15 (Very High)
Sunrise: 5:59am
Sunset: 8:06pm


Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Monday - Monday



Severe Weather/Thunderstorm Risks Monday & Tuesday




Atlantic Tropics





Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  77°F
Monday
Wind:     E 5-10 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less, then 1-2 feet in the afternoon, Patchy fog in the morning, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Monday Night
Wind:     E 5-10 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet, Patchy fog, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Tuesday
Wind:     NE 5-10 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:     NE 5-10 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Wednesday
Wind:     E 5 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:     SW 5 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Thursday
Wind:     SW 5 knots increasing to 5-10 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:     SW 5-10 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday
Wind:     SW 5-10 knots increasing S 10-15 knots in the afternoon and evening
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday Night
Wind:     S 10-15 knots decreasing to SW 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                         



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  77°F
Monday Morning
Winds:    E 9 to 12 knots
Seas:    ESE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds:    ESE 9 to 13 knots
Seas:    SE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds:    ENE 14 to 18 knots
Seas:    ESE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds:    ENE 14 to 19 knots
Seas:    ESE 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds:    NE 9 to 12 knots
Seas:    ESE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds:    ESE 7 to 9 knots
Seas:    ESE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds:    NNE 1 to 1 knots
Seas:    ESE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds:    S 8 to 11 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds:    SW 6 to 8 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds:    SSW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides
Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  73°F
Monday Morning
Winds:    ESE 5 to 6 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds:    ESE 6 to 8 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds:    ENE 11 to 15 knots
Seas:    E 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:     3-5 feet
Tuesday Afternoon\
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    ENE 16 to 22 knots
Seas:    E 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:     3-5 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds:    NE 10 to 14 knots
Seas:    E 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:   2-4 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds:    E 9 to 12 knots
Seas:    E 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds:    ENE 2 to 2 knots
Seas:    E 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds:    SSE 7 to 9 knots
Seas:    E 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds:    SW 5 to 6 knots
Seas:    E 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds:    S 11 to 14 knots
Seas:    E 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides
Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  60°F-75°F
Monday
Wind:     Variable winds less than 5 knots becoming ESE 5-10 knots in the afternoon
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
 Monday Night
Wind:     Variable winds less than 5 knots becoming N 5-7 knots in the evening
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Tuesday
Wind:     N 8 knots becoming NNE in the afternoon
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:     NE 8 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Wednesday
Wind:     ENE 8 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:     ESE 5-7 knots becoming variable and less than 5 knots after midnight
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Thursday
Wind:     Variable winds less than 5 knots becoming SE 5-9 knots in the afternoon
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:     SE 5-9 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Friday
Wind:     SW 5-10 knots increasing S 10-15 knots in the afternoon and evening
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind:     S 10-15 knots decreasing to SW 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  76°F
Monday Morning
Winds:    SE 4 to 6 knots
Seas:    SSE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds:    WSW 2 to 3 knots
Seas:    SSE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds:    NNE 7 to 10 knots
Seas:    SSE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds:    NE 11 to 15 knots
Seas:    SSE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds:    ENE 12 to 16 knots
Seas:    E 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds:    ENE 10 to 14 knots
Seas:    E 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds:    E 5 to 7 knots
Seas:    E 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds:    ESE 5 to 7 knots
Seas:    E 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds:    SW 3 to 4 knots
Seas:    E 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds:    SSE 7 to 10 knots
Seas:    E 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  76°F - 83°F
Monday
Wind:     S 5 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf:     1 foot
Monday Night
Wind:     W 5 knots becoming NW after midnight
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf:     1 foot
Tuesday
Wind:     N 10 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf:     1 foot
Tuesday Night
Wind:     NE 5-10 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf:     1 foot
Wednesday
Wind:     E 5-10 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf:     1 foot
Wednesday Night
Wind:     SE 5-10 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf:     1 foot
Thursday
Winds:    SE 5-10 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf:     1 foot
Thursday Night
Winds:    S 5-10 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf:     1 foot
Friday
Wind:     S 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots in the afternoon
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:     1-2 feet
Friday Night
Wind:     S 10-15 knots
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:     1-2 feet

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Chicken Canyon
Water Temperature:  75°F - 78°F
Monday Morning
Winds:    ESE 8 to 11 knots
Seas:    SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Monday Afternoon
Winds:    ESE 6 to 8 knots
Seas:    SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Tuesday Morning
Winds:    ENE 12 to 17 knots
Seas:    ESE 4 feet at 5 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    ENE 17 to 23 knots
Seas:    E 5 feet at 6 seconds
Wednesday Morning
Winds:    ENE 12 to 16 knots
Seas:    E 5 feet at 6 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds:    ENE 11 to 15 knots
Seas:    ESE 4 feet at 7 seconds
Thursday Morning
Winds:    ESE 5 to 6 knots
Seas:    E 4 feet at 8 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
Winds:    SE 5 to 7 knots
Seas:    E 3 feet at 8 seconds
Friday Morning
Winds:    SW 3 to 4 knots
Seas:    E 3 feet at 7 seconds
Friday Afternoon
Winds:    SSW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 7 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)

Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!

*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)

[Pfishingruven]

Scattered to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible today with some areas already seeing storms. Most of the state is in a Generalized Risk with Western and Southwestern parts of the state in a Marginal Risk. Many northern parts of the state are in Flood Watches as well, still. Storms will be capable of heavy rains causing flooding, dangerous lightning, and damaging winds. Beaches from Sandy Hook south to Little Egg Inlet have a Moderate Risk for Rip Currents today.

Be aware of changing weather conditions and have a way of receiving weather alerts.

[Pfishingruven]

The NWS Philly has issued Coastal Flood Advisories for Coastal & Marine Areas of Atlantic, Burlington, Cape May, Cumberland, Monmouth, Middlesex, & Ocean Counties.

Minor Coastal Flooding is expected with tonight's high tides due to the New Moon. Tides are expected to run around a foot above High Astronomical Tide (HAT) levels, which will cause minor flooding. Areas that are prone to astronomical tide flooding and low lying areas should expect flooding. Tides will be above normal on the ocean fronts and any flooding there should be minimal, but flooding along bays and rivers will be more prominent with the lack of structure to hold water back!

Be prepared for flooding if you live or travel in these areas and avoid flood waters!

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
327 PM EDT TUE AUG 2 2016


DEZ002>004-NJZ012>014-020>027-030400-
/O.NEW.KPHI.CF.Y.0018.160802T2300Z-160803T0400Z/
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
327 PM EDT TUE AUG 2 2016

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT.

* LOCATION...THE NEW JERSEY SHORE AND ATLANTIC BEACHES...PRIMARILY
  ALONG THE OCEAN FRONT.

* COASTAL FLOODING...MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED.

* TIMING...HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 7:30 AND 8:30
  PM EDT ALONG THE OCEANFRONT...LATER ON BACK BAYS.

* SURGE...HIGH TIDE TONIGHT IS EXPECTED TO BE UP TO ONE FOOT ABOVE
  THE ASTRONOMICAL TIDE...FOR A TOTAL WATER LEVEL ABOVE MINOR
  FLOODING THRESHOLDS.

* WAVES...UP TO FOUR FEET ON THE OCEANFRONT.

* IMPACTS...LOCALIZED ROADWAY FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. IF DOWN AT THE
  SHORE THIS EVENING...MAKE SURE YOU CAR IS PARKED AWAY FROM
  TIDAL WATERWAYS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY MEANS THAT MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS
EXPECTED. MINOR TIDAL FLOODING OFTEN RESULTS IN SOME ROAD
CLOSURES. USUALLY...THE MOST VULNERABLE ROADWAYS WILL FLOOD.

DO NOT LEAVE YOUR VEHICLE AT A LOCATION THAT IS PRONE TO TIDAL
FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOOD WATERS. THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN YOU THINK IT IS. YOU WILL BE PUTTING
YOURSELF IN DANGER AND YOUR VEHICLE MAY BE DAMAGED...LEADING TO
COSTLY REPAIRS.

FOR A LIST OF THE IMPACT OF DIFFERENT TIDE HEIGHTS IN YOUR
COUNTY PLEASE GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/PHI/TIDES