Author Topic: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekend Edition: Aug 13-14, 2016  (Read 1331 times)

Offline Pfishingruven

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Bermuda High Pressure continues for the weekend with mostly cautious water conditions. Hot and humid air will continue, even peaking this weekend. Saturday and Sunday will have chances of showers and thunderstorms, some strong to severe. Temperatures will continue to soar in the 90’s with high humidity, making it feel like 105+. Saturday will be the peak, but temperatures will continue through early next week. Overnight lows in some areas may not drop out of the 80’s with upper 70’s for most locations and northern areas seeing low 70’s. Excessive Heat Warnings are in effect for all of NJ, as well as surrounding areas. Thunderstorms could bring heavy rains, dangerous lightning, and damaging winds as well. Water conditions will be good to cautious for rivers and bays and cautious for all ocean locations. Winds will gust to 20+ knots with seas to 6 feet. Sunday will be the better of the two days with the possibility of some slightly decreased winds and seas. Surf and beach conditions will be borderline with gusty winds and surf heights to 4 feet. Rip Current Risks will be Moderate to High. Water temperatures are steady in the 70’s and 80’s, except surf temperatures have dropped into the 60’s due to southerly upwellings. UV Index will be Very High at 8-9/15.

The summertime Bermuda high pattern will remain well established over the mid-Atlantic region for this weekend. This will maintain very hot and humid conditions over the area. A weak frontal system is forecast to slide south into the region early next week
providing only slight relief. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will likely develop each afternoon and evening.


The Atlantic Tropics are quiet.

Next week will have showers and thunderstorm chances all week, especially the first half. High temperatures continue to be in the upper 80’s and 90’s with high humidity through Tuesday before dropping into the low to mid 80’s by Wednesday and staying there for the rest of the week. Overnight lows will continue in the 60’s and 70’s. Water, surf and beach conditions will be good except for Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday could see borderline to cautious conditions.

Have a great weekend and thanks for reading!

Saturday
Sky:  Sunny, then partly cloudy to mostly clear
Precipitation:  0% - 50% chance of rain and thunderstorms all day
Temperatures
High:     Mid to upper 90’s inland, low to mid 90’s at the shore
Low:     Upper 70’s inland, low to mid 70’s northern areas
UV Index:  8-9/15 (Very High)
Sunrise: 6:06am
Sunset: 7:56pm


Sunday
Sky:  Partly sunny to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  20% - 50% chance of showers and thunderstorms
Temperatures
High:     Upper 80’s to mid 90’s
Low:     Mid to upper 70’s, low 70’s northern areas
UV Index:  8-9/15 (Very High)
Sunrise: 6:07am
Sunset: 7:55pm


Saturday Surface Analysis



Sunday Surface Analysis



Precipitation Totals



Severe Weather Risks for Saturday & Sunday





Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  81°F
Saturday
Winds:    SW 5-10 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Saturday Night
Winds:    SW 5-10 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Sunday
Wind:    SW 5-10 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Sunday Night
Wind:     NW 5 knots becoming N after midnight
Seas:     1 foot or less, then 1-2 feet after midnight, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet

Sandy Hook (Bay) Tides

Sandy Hook Tides




Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  81°F
Saturday Morning
Winds:    WSW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:    S 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Saturday Afternoon
Winds:    SSW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:    S 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds:    WSW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:    S 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds:    WSW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:    S 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  76°F
Saturday Morning
Winds:    WSW 9 to 13 knots
Seas:    SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:    2-4 feet
Saturday Afternoon
Winds:    SSW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:    SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds:    WSW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:    S 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds:    WSW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:    S 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay at Island Beach State Park
Water Temperature:  75°F - 80°F
Saturday
Wind:     SW 6-9 knots increasing to 9-12 knots in the afternoon
Seas:     1 foot
Surf:     0-1 feet
Saturday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:     SSW 14 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf:     1 foot

Sunday
Wind:     SSW 10-13 knots
Seas:     1 foot
Surf:     0-1 feet
Sunday Night
Wind:     SW 9-11 knots
Seas:     1 foot
Surf:     0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides
   
Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  81°F
Saturday Morning
Winds:    WSW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:    SSE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Saturday Afternoon
Winds:    SSW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:    S 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Sunday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds:    WSW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:    S 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet

Sunday Afternoon
Winds:    WSW 10 to 13 knots
Seas:    S 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides

Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  81°F - 83°F
Saturday
Wind:     S 5-10 knots
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:     1-2 feet
Saturday Night
Wind:     SW 10-15 knots
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:     1-2 feet
Sunday
Wind:     SW 10 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf:     1 foot
Sunday Night
Wind:     SW 10 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf:     1 foot

Delaware Bay (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware Bay Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  77°F
Saturday Morning
Winds:    WSW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:    SSW 4 feet at 6 seconds
Saturday Afternoon
Winds:    SW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:    SSW 4 feet at 6 seconds
Sunday Morning   
CAUTIOUS
Winds:    WSW 15 to 20 knots
Seas:    SSW 5 feet at 6 seconds
Sunday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds:    SW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:    SSW 5 feet at 6 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)







Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!



*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out!

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)


 

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