Author Topic: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Aug 15-19, 2016  (Read 1972 times)

Offline Pfishingruven

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Not much relief from the heat and humidity this week with showers and thunderstorms most of the week, however, more good water conditions than cautious. Monday through Thursday will have chances of showers and thunderstorms. Some of these storms could be strong to severe with heavy rains, dangerous lightning, and damaging winds. Heat and humidity will continue through most of the week with 80’s and 90’s with overnight lows 60’s and 70’s. Temperatures do not look to break until late week into the weekend. Humidity will be High most of the week. Water conditions will be good for Monday, borderline to cautious for Tuesday and Wednesday, except for north and central rivers and bays, and then good again for Thursday and Friday. Only midshore to offshore waters will be cautious on Thursday. Surf and beach conditions will be good, except for Wednesday which will be borderline. Surf heights will be 1-3 feet with 2-4 feet on Wednesday. Rip Current Risks will be Low to Moderate. Water temperatures are steady in the 70’s and 80’s, surf temperatures are lower in the 60’s and 70’s. UV Index will be Moderate to Very High at 3-9/15.

High pressure entrenched off shore will result in continued hot and humid weather across our region. A very weak cold front will move into our region tonight before stalling Monday. Low pressure passing to our north during midweek will trail another cold front through the region. Weak high pressure follows for the end of the work week and it may continue to be our primary influence into next weekend.

The weekend will have chances of showers and thunderstorms both days. Highs will be in the low 80’s with overnight lows in the 60’s. Water, surf and beach conditions will be borderline to cautious.

The Atlantic Tropics have an invest area out in the Eastern Atlantic off of Africa which will need to be watched over the next few days.

Have a great week and thanks for reading!

Monday
Sky:   Partly to mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy, Patchy fog in the morning
Precipitation:  20% - 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms all day
Temperatures
High:   Upper 80’s to low 90’s
Low:   Mid to upper 70’s with upper 60’s northern areas
UV Index:  8-9/15 (Very High)
Sunrise: 6:08am
Sunset: 7:54pm


Tuesday
Sky:  Partly sunny to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  20% - 70% chance of showers and thunderstorms all day
Temperatures
High:   Upper 80’s to mid 90’s
Low:   Low to mid 70’s inland, mid to upper 70’s at the shore
UV Index:  8-10/15 (Very High)
Sunrise: 6:09am
Sunset: 7:52pm


Wednesday
Sky:  Partly sunny to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0% - 40% chance of showers and thunderstorms all day
Temperatures
High:   Mid 80’s to low 90’s
Low:   Low to mid 70’s with mid 60’s northern areas
UV Index:  4-9/15 (Moderate - Very High)
Sunrise: 6:10am
Sunset: 7:51pm


Thursday
Sky:  Partly sunny becoming partly to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0% - 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms mainly western and northern areas
Temperatures
High:   Mid 80’s to low 90’s
Low:   Upper 60’s to mid 70’s inland with low to mid 60’s northern areas
UV Index:  3-9/15 (Moderate - Very High)
Sunrise: 6:11am
Sunset: 7:49pm
Full Moon: 5:28am


Friday
Sky:  Mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  0% - Slight Chance
Temperatures
High:   Mid to upper 80’s
Low:   Low to mid 70’s with low to mid 60’s northern areas
UV Index:  8-10/15 (Very High)
Sunrise: 6:12am
Sunset: 7:48pm


Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Monday - Monday



Excessive Rainfall Outlook for Tuesday



Severe Weather Outlooks for Monday & Tuesday





Atlantic Tropics




Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  84°F
Monday
Wind:     N 5 knots becoming S in the afternoon
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Monday Night
Wind:     SW 5-10 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Tuesday
Wind:     SE 5-10 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:     SW 10-15 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Wednesday
Wind:     W 10-15 knots diminishing to 5-10 knots in the afternoon
Seas:     1-2 feet in the morning, then 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:     NW 5 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Thursday
Wind:     NW 5 knots becoming SW in the afternoon
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:     SW 5 knots becoming NW after midnight
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday
Wind:     N 5 knots becoming E in the afternoon, then becoming S
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday Night
Wind:     S 5 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                         



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  84°F
Monday Morning
Winds:    NNE 5 to 6 knots
Seas:    S 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds:    S 8 to 10 knots
Seas:    SE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds:    WSW 2 to 3 knots
Seas:    SE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds:    S 11 to 15 knots
Seas:    SE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds:    WSW 15 to 20 knots
Seas:    S 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds:    W 15 to 20 knots
Seas:    S 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet

Thursday Morning
Winds:    N 5 to 7 knots
Seas:    S 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds:    SW 2 to 3 knots
Seas:    S 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds:    WSW 3 to 5 knots
Seas:    S 1 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds:    S 8 to 10 knots
Seas:    SE 1 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides
Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  79°F
Monday Morning
Winds:    NW 6 to 8 knots
Seas:    SE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds:    E 6 to 9 knots
Seas:    ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds:    WNW 2 to 3 knots
Seas:    ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon\
Winds:    S 11 to 15 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds:    WSW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:    S 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:   2-4 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds:    W 15 to 20 knots
Seas:    S 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds:    N 5 to 7 knots
Seas:    S 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds:    SSE 1 to 1 knots
Seas:    S 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds:    WNW 4 to 5 knots
Seas:    SE 1 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds:    ESE 6 to 8 knots
Seas:    ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides
Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  70°F - 81°F
Monday
Wind:     Variable winds less than 5 knots becoming WSW 6 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
 Monday Night
Wind:     Variable winds less than 5 knots becoming S 5-9 knots in the afternoon
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Tuesday
Wind:     Variable winds less than 5 knots becoming S 5-9 knots in the afternoon
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:     SW 11 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Wednesday
Wind:     WSW 11-13 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:     Variable winds 5 knots or less
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Thursday
Wind:     Variable winds 5 knots or less
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:     Variable winds 5 knots or less
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Friday
Wind:     N 5 knots becoming E in the afternoon
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind:     E 5 knots becoming S
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  78°F
Monday Morning
Winds:    N 7 to 10 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds:    NNW 2 to 3 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds:    SSW 4 to 6 knots
Seas:    ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds:    SSE 11 to 14 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds:    WSW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:    S 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds:    WSW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:    S 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds:    NE 8 to 11 knots
Seas:    S 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds:    NNE 5 to 7 knots
Seas:    S 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds:    NE 7 to 10 knots
Seas:    ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds:    E 5 to 7 knots
Seas:    SSE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  78°F - 85°F
Monday
Wind:     NW 5 knots becoming SW in the afternoon
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf:     1 foot
Monday Night
Wind:     S 5 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     1 foot
Tuesday
Wind:     S 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots late
Seas:     1 foot or less, then 2-3 feet early in the morning
Surf:     0-1 feet, then 1-2 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:     SW 10-15 knots
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:     1-2 feet
Wednesday
Wind:     W 10-15 knots
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:     1-2 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:     W 5-10 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf:     1 foot
Thursday
Winds:    W 5-10 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf:     1 foot
Thursday Night
Winds:    W 5 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf:     1 foot
Friday
Wind:     N 5 knots becoming S in the afternoon
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf:     1 foot
Friday Night
Wind:     S 5-10 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf:     1 foot

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Chicken Canyon
Water Temperature:  78°F - 81°F
Monday Morning
Winds:    NNW 6 to 9 knots
Seas:    SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Monday Afternoon
Winds:    ENE 4 to 5 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Tuesday Morning
Winds:    SW 5 to 7 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds:    S 9 to 12 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    WSW 17 to 23 knots
Seas:    SW 6 feet at 6 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds:    WSW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:    SSW 5 feet at 6 seconds

Thursday Morning
Winds:    NNE 6 to 8 knots
Seas:    SSW 3 feet at 6 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
Winds:    SW 2 to 3 knots
Seas:    SSW 2 feet at 6 seconds
Friday Morning
Winds:    N 3 to 4 knots
Seas:    SSE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Friday Afternoon
Winds:    E 3 to 4 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!




*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)


 

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