Author Topic: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Oct 10-14, 2016  (Read 2118 times)

Offline Pfishingruven

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A very settled week with some Fall weather and mostly cautious water conditions. Fall weather is starting to finally makes it appearance more known this week. The week will be mainly dry with highs in the 60’s and overnight lows in the 30’s to 50’s. The beginning of the week could see lows drop into the 30’s and northern areas could see frost overnight and in the morning. The beginning of the week will be breezy as well. Water conditions will be cautious to hazardous on Monday with gusty winds and seas to 10 feet possible. Tuesday through Friday will see cautious conditions and even some hazardous conditions on Friday. Rivers and bays will have a mix of good to borderline and some cautious conditions as well. Overall, not the best week on the water some due to winds and seas with Small Craft Advisories and other days due to high seas. Surf conditions will be cautious all week. Some areas will see high surf advisories as well. Water temperatures have dropped into the 60’s. UV Index will be Low to Moderate at 1-6/15.

High pressure builds in from the north and west starting tomorrow, moves nearly overhead on Tuesday before moving offshore Wednesday. A cold front is expected to slide through the region on Thursday. High pressure returns for the end of the week and into the weekend.

The weekend looks to be dry highs in the 60’s with lows in the 50’s and 60’s. Water, surf and beach conditions will be borderline to cautious for seas.

Post tropical storm Matthew has done enough damage and will head out to sea, not affecting land anymore. TS Nicole will strengthen into a hurricane and will affect Bermuda, then go out to sea.

Have a great week and thanks for reading!

Monday
Sky:  Sunny then clear, Breezy, Frost across northern areas overnight
Precipitation:  0% - Slight Chance
Temperatures
High:   Low 60’s
Low:   Upper 30’s to low 40’s inland, mid 40’s at the shore, low 30’s for northern areas
UV Index:  4-5/15 (Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:02am
Sunset: 6:25pm


Tuesday
Sky:  Sunny becoming partly cloudy, Areas of frost in the morning across northern areas
Precipitation:  0% - Slight Chance
Temperatures
High:   Low 60’s
Low:   Upper 40’s inland, low 50’s at the shore, low 40’s for northern areas
UV Index:  4-5/15 (Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:03am
Sunset: 6:24pm


Wednesday
Sky:  Mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  0% - Slight Chance
Temperatures
High:   Upper 60’s
Low:   Low to mid 50’s inland, upper 50’s at the shore, mid 40’s for northern areas
UV Index:  2-4/15 (Low - Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:04am
Sunset: 6:22pm


Thursday
Sky:  Mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy to mostly clear
Precipitation:  0% - Slight Chance
Temperatures
High:   Upper 60’s to low 70’s
Low:   Low to mid 50’s inland, upper 50’s at the shore, mid 40’s for northern areas
UV Index:  2-5/15 (Low - Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:05am
Sunset: 6:20pm


Friday
Sky:   Sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  0% - Slight Chance
Temperatures
High:   Low to mid 60’s
Low:   Mid to upper 40’s inland, low 50’s at the shore, low 40’s for northern areas
UV Index:  4-5/15 (Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:06am
Sunset: 6:19pm


Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Monday - Monday



Atlantic Tropics






Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  65°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:     N 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf (Ocean):  4-8 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:     S 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  3-8 feet

Tuesday
Wind:     NE 5-10 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet in the morning, then 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:     E 5-10 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Wednesday
Wind:     E 5 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:     SE 5 knots becoming W after midnight
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday
Wind:     W 5-10 knots becoming NW in the evening
Seas:     1 foot
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:     NW 5-10 knots becoming N 10-15 knots after midnight
Seas:     1 foot, then 2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday
Wind:     N 10-15 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Friday Night
Wind:     N 10-15 knots becoming NE 5-10 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                         



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  65°F
Monday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    N 22 to 30 knots
Seas:    SE 5 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:     4-8 feet

Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    N 16 to 22 knots
Seas:    SE 4 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:     3-8 feet

Tuesday Morning
Winds:    NNE 9 to 12 knots
Seas:    ESE 3 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds:    E 3 to 4 knots
Seas:    SE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds:    NE 4 to 6 knots
Seas:    SE 3 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds:    SSE 5 to 6 knots
Seas:    SE 3 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds:    W 4 to 5 knots
Seas:    SE 2 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds:    SW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:    SE 2 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    N 16 to 21 knots
Seas:    SE 3 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet

Friday Afternoon
Winds:    N 9 to 12 knots
Seas:    SE 3 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides
Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  67°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    N 21 to 29 knots
Seas:    ESE 7 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:     4-9 feet
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    N 15 to 21 knots
Seas:    E 5 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     3-7 feet

Tuesday Morning
Winds:    NNE 9 to 12 knots
Seas:    ESE 3 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:     2-5 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds:    ENE 6 to 9 knots
Seas:    ESE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds:    NNE 3 to 4 knots
Seas:    ESE 3 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds:    SE 4 to 5 knots
Seas:    ESE 3 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds:    W 4 to 5 knots
Seas:    ESE 3 feet at 12 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds:    SW 7 to 9 knots
Seas:    ESE 3 feet at 12 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Friday Morning
Winds:    N 13 to 17 knots
Seas:    ESE 4 feet at 12 seconds
Surf:     2-5 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds:    N 10 to 14 knots
Seas:    ESE 4 feet at 12 seconds
Surf:     2-5 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides
Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:
Monday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:     N 18-23 knots with gusts to 35 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet

Monday Night
Wind:  NNE 8-12 knots
Seas:     1 foot
Surf:     0-1 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:     NNE 8-10 knots becoming ENE in the afternoon
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet

Tuesday Night
Wind:     E 5-7 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Wednesday
Wind:     E 6 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:     Variable winds 5 knots or less
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Thursday
Wind:     Variable winds 5 knots or less
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Thursday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:     WNW 6-9 knots becoming N 11-16 knots after midnight with gusts to 22 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet

Friday
Wind:     N 10-15 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind:     N 10-15 knots becoming NE 5-10 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  66°F
Monday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    N 22 to 29 knots
Seas:    E 7 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     4-9 feet

Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    N 16 to 22 knots
Seas:    E 6 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     3-7 feet

Tuesday Morning
Winds:    NE 10 to 14 knots
Seas:    E 4 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     2-5 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds:    ENE 8 to 11 knots
Seas:    ESE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     2-5 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds:    NE 6 to 8 knots
Seas:    SE 3 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds:    E 6 to 8 knots
Seas:    SE 3 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds:    WNW 3 to 4 knots
Seas:    SE 3 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds:    WSW 4 to 6 knots
Seas:    SE 3 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds:    N 15 to 20 knots
Seas:    SE 4 feet at 12 seconds
Surf:     2-5 feet

Friday Afternoon
Winds:    N 10 to 13 knots
Seas:    SE 4 feet at 12 seconds
Surf:     2-5 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  66°F   
Monday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:     N 20-25 knots with gusts up to 35 knots diminishing to 10-15 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:     3-5 feet
Surf:     2-4 feet

Monday Night
Wind:     N 10-15 knots
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:     1-2 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:     NE 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots diminishing to 5-10 knots in the afternoon
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:     1-2 feet

Tuesday Night
Wind:     E 5-10 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf:     1 foot
Wednesday
Wind:     NE 5 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf:     1 foot
Wednesday Night
Wind:     NE 5 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf:     1 foot
Thursday
Winds:    Light and variable winds becoming NW 5 knots in the afternoon
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf:     1 foot
Thursday Night
Winds:    NW 5-10 knots becoming N 10-15 knots after midnight
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:     1-2 feet
Friday
Wind:     N 10-15 knots
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:     1-2 feet
Friday Night
Wind:     NE 5-10 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf:     1 foot

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Chicken Canyon
Water Temperature:  63°F
Monday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    N 24 to 33 knots
Seas:    E 11 feet at 9 seconds

Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    N 19 to 26 knots
Seas:    ENE 9 feet at 9 seconds

Tuesday Morning
Winds:    NE 10 to 14 knots
Seas:    E 5 feet at 10 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds:    NE 9 to 12 knots
Seas:    ESE 5 feet at 10 seconds
Wednesday Morning
Winds:    ENE 5 to 7 knots
Seas:    SE 4 feet at 11 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds:    E 4 to 5 knots
Seas:    SE 4 feet at 11 seconds
Thursday Morning
Winds:    ESE 1 to 2 knots
Seas:    SE 4 feet at 11 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
Winds:    WSW 5 to 7 knots
Seas:    SE 4 feet at 11 seconds
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds:    N 14 to 19 knots
Seas:    SE 5 feet at 12 seconds

Friday Afternoon
Winds:    NNE 10 to 14 knots
Seas:    SE 5 feet at 12 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!




*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)


Offline Down Deep Fleet

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Re: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Oct 10-14, 2016
« Reply #1 on: October 10, 2016, 06:11:26 AM »
chrz
DOWN DEEP BULL - 40' CUSTOM RP WILLIS BEAL -


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Offline Hunter 2

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Re: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Oct 10-14, 2016
« Reply #2 on: October 10, 2016, 08:17:05 AM »
Thanks Matt
Eddie "Hunter 2"
36' Topaz "Hallie Loren"    Charter boat sailing from Wagners Marina, Keyport NJ


 Life is short, Fish Hard.

 

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