NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Oct 17-21, 2016

[Pfishingruven]

A unsettled week with mainly cautious water conditions. Monday will have chances of showers, followed by Thursday Night showers and all day Friday showers. Tuesday and Wednesday look to be mostly dry. Temperatures will be above average for most of the week with 70’s and 80’s through midweek before dropping into the 70’s then 60’s for Thursday and Friday. Overnight lows will be in the 50’s and 60’s most of the week with some 40’s for northern areas on Friday. Humidity will be moderate to high most of the week. Winds will not be so bad this week, except for Monday and Tuesday, but high seas will continue most of the week. Water conditions will be good for rivers and bays all week, except on Tuesday for the Raritan. Inshore ocean waters will be cautious all week, except Thursday. Offshore waters will be cautious all week except for early on Thursday. Surf and beach conditions will be mixed good to cautious all week with surf heights to 5 feet possible. Water temperatures are still in the 60’s with offshore waters in the upper 60’s. Surf temperatures are still in the mid 60’s. This week certainly won’t change them much. UV Index will be Low to Moderate at 1-5/15.

High pressure will remain centered off the Mid Atlantic coast through the middle of the week. A weak cold front though from the northwest is forecast to drop into New York State and New England tonight before lifting back to the north Monday night. Another cold front is expected to arrive late in the week, passing through our region as low pressure rides along it. The system is anticipated to move out to sea over the weekend.

Showers are possible on Saturday, clearing for Saturday Night and Sunday. Highs will be in the 60’s with 40’s and 50’s overnight. Water, surf and beach conditions will be cautious.

Hurricane Nicole is finally out to sea and off to the northeast. There is an area of invest off the Southeast Coast that is being watched for development.

Have a great week and thanks for reading!

Monday
Sky:  Mostly sunny to mostly cloudy then partly cloudy to mostly cloudy, Patchy Fog late
Precipitation:  0% - 30% Chance of showers during the day
Temperatures
High:   Mid 70’s to low 80’s
Low:   Upper 50’s to mid 60’s
UV Index:  3-4/15 (Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:09am
Sunset: 6:14pm


Tuesday
Sky:  Sunny then mostly clear, Patchy fog in the morning and at night
Precipitation:  0% - Slight Chance
Temperatures
High:   Low to mid 80’s inland, upper 70’s at the shore
Low:   Low to mid 60’s
UV Index:  3-5/15 (Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:10am
Sunset: 6:13pm


Wednesday
Sky:  Mostly sunny to sunny becoming partly cloudy, Patchy fog in the morning and at night
Precipitation:  0% - Slight Chance
Temperatures
High:   Low to mid 80’s inland, upper 70’s at the shore
Low:   Low 60’s inland and at the shore with mid 50’s northern areas
UV Index:  3-5/15 (Low - Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:11am
Sunset: 6:12pm


Thursday
Sky:  Partly to mostly sunny becoming partly to mostly cloudy, Patchy fog in the morning and at night
Precipitation:  0% - 40% Chance of showers at night
Temperatures
High:   Mid to upper 70’s inland, low 70’s at the shore
Low:   Upper 50’s to low 60’s inland and at the shore, low 50’s for northern areas
UV Index:  3-4/15 (Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:12am
Sunset: 6:10pm


Friday
Sky:   Mostly cloudy to cloudy, Patchy Fog in the morning and at night
Precipitation:  40% - 50% Chance of showers all day
Temperatures
High:   Mid to upper 60’s
Low:   Low 50’s inland, mid 50’s at the shore, upper 40’s for northern areas
UV Index:  1-4/15 (Low - Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:13am
Sunset: 6:09pm


Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Monday - Monday



Atlantic Tropics





Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  61°F
Monday
Wind:     W 5-10 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Monday Night
Wind:     SW 5-10 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:     SW 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots in the afternoon
Seas:     1-2 feet in the morning, then 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:     SW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots, diminishing to 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Wednesday
Wind:     SW 5-10 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:     SW 5 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Thursday
Wind:     S 5 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:     S 5 knots becoming SE
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday
Wind:     N 5-10 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Friday Night
Wind:     N 5-10 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                          



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  61°F
Monday Morning
Winds:    WSW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds:    SW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 13 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds:    SW 9 to 13 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 13 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds:    SSW 14 to 18 knots
Seas:    SSE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds:    WSW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:    S 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds:    SW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:    S 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds:    W 1 to 1 knots
Seas:    S 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds:    SE 3 to 5 knots
Seas:    S 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds:    ENE 10 to 14 knots
Seas:    SE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds:    E 8 to 11 knots
Seas:    SE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides
Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  65°F
Monday Morning
Winds:    WSW 7 to 10 knots
Seas:    E 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds:    WSW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:    E 2 feet at 13 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds:    SW 10 to 13 knots
Seas:    E 2 feet at 12 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds:    SSW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:    E 3 feet at 12 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds:    WSW 11 to 14 knots
Seas:    S 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds:    SW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:    S 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds:    SW 6 to 8 knots
Seas:    S 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds:    SE 4 to 6 knots
Seas:    ESE 1 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds:    ENE 10 to 13 knots
Seas:    SE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds:    E 7 to 9 knots
Seas:    SE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides
Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:
Monday
Wind:     SW 8-10 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
 Monday Night
Wind:     SW 8 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Tuesday
Wind:     SSW 7-10 knots increasing to 10-13 knots in the afternoon
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:     SSW 10-12 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Wednesday
Wind:     SW 10 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf:     1 foot
Wednesday Night
Wind:     SSW 5-8 knots or less
Seas:     1 foot
Surf:     0-1 feet
Thursday
Wind:     Variable winds less than 5 knots becoming S 5-9 knots in the morning
Seas:     1 foot
Surf:     0-1 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:     S 6-9 knots
Seas:     1 foot
Surf:     0-1 feet
Friday
Wind:     N 5-10 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind:     N 5-10 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  64°F
Monday Morning
Winds:    WSW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:    ESE 3 feet at 14 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds:    WSW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:    ESE 3 feet at 14 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds:    SW 11 to 14 knots
Seas:    E 3 feet at 13 seconds
Surf:     2-5 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds:    SSW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:    E 3 feet at 13 seconds
Surf:     2-5 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds:    WSW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:    E 3 feet at 13 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds:    SW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:    E 3 feet at 12 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds:    SSW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:    E 2 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds:    S 10 to 13 knots
Seas:    E 2 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds:    NE 7 to 10 knots
Seas:    SE 3 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds:    NNW 4 to 6 knots
Seas:    SE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  64°F
Monday
Wind:     SW 10 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf:     1 foot
Monday Night
Wind:     SW 5-10 knots
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:     1-2 feet
Tuesday
Wind:     S 5-10 knots
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:     1-2 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:     SW 10 knots
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:     1-2 feet
Wednesday
Wind:     SW 5-10 knots
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:     1-2 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:     S 5-10 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf:     1 foot
Thursday
Winds:    S 5-10 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf:     1 foot
Thursday Night
Winds:    S 5-10 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf:     1 foot
Friday
Wind:     E 5 knots becoming NE in the afternoon
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:     1-2 feet
Friday Night
Wind:     N 5-10 knots
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:     1-2 feet

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Chicken Canyon
Water Temperature:  63°F - 69°F
Monday Morning
Winds:    WSW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:    E 4 feet at 12 seconds
Monday Afternoon
Winds:    WSW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:    E 4 feet at 13 seconds
Tuesday Morning
Winds:    SW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:    E 4 feet at 13 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    SW 15 to 21 knots
Seas:    E 4 feet at 13 seconds
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds:    WSW 15 to 20 knots
Seas:    SSW 5 feet at 6 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds:    SW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:    SSW 4 feet at 6 seconds
Thursday Morning
Winds:    SW 9 to 13 knots
Seas:    SE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
Winds:    SW 7 to 9 knots
Seas:    E 2 feet at 10 seconds
Friday Morning
Winds:    ESE 12 to 16 knots
Seas:    SE 4 feet at 10 seconds
Friday Afternoon
Winds:    SE 9 to 12 knots
Seas:    SE 6 feet at 9 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)

Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
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*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)