NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook: Week Edition Sept 24-28, 2012

[Pfishingruven]

First week of Fall.  The air is becoming crisp and the leaves are changing.  This week should be mostly dry with a chance of showers Wednesday and Wednesday Night.  Highs will be in the upper 60’s and 70’s with lows in the 40’s and 50’s.  Humidity will be lower this week.  We are approaching the season, where marine weather is constantly changing, even more than normal.  Water conditions are rated good for all locations, except for Wednesday in southern locations and midshore to offshore.  Gusty winds around 20 knots will start Tuesday and prevail into Wednesday with the passing front.  Seas could build to 5 feet Tuesday into Wednesday with a chance of Small Craft Advisories.  Surf will continue to be high/rough with moderate rip currents with waves 2-4 feet on Monday and 2-3 feet on Tuesday Morning.  Waves will begin to subside Tuesday Afternoon and should remain 1-3 feet for the rest of the week.

High pressure building in from the east will move into the region on Monday before moving offshore.  A cold front will approach our area on Wednesday afternoon and then cross the area Wednesday Night.  High pressure will them build in from the Great Lakes Region for the end of the week.

Monday
Sky:  Sunny becoming clear      
Precipitation:  0% to slight chance
High:  Upper 60’s to low 70’s
Low:  Low 40’s
Sunrise: 6:46am
Sunset: 6:51pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather-7/10
Weather2Hunt.com-33/50

Tuesday
Sky:  Sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  0% to slight chance
Temperatures
High:  Low 70’s
Low:  Mid 50’s
Sunrise: 6:47am
Sunset: 6:49pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather-5/10
Weather2Hunt.com-43/50

Wednesday
Sky:  Partly sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  30% chance of showers all day
Temperatures
High:  Mid to upper 70’s
Low:  Mid 50’s
Sunrise: 6:48am
Sunset: 6:48pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather-6/10
Weather2Hunt.com-37/50

Thursday
Sky:  Mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  0% to slight chance
Temperatures
High:  Low to mid 70’s
Low:  Low 50’s
Sunrise: 6:49am
Sunset: 6:46pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather-7/10
Weather2Hunt.com-43/50

Friday
Sky:  Mostly sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0% to slight chance
Temperatures
High:  Low to mid 70’s
Low:  Low to mid 50’s
Sunrise: 6:50am
Sunset: 6:44pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather-
Weather2Hunt.com-

Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis


Friday Surface Analysis



Total Accumulation of Rain from Sunday – Friday



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  69F
Monday Morning
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots with
Seas:  1 foot or less
Monday  Afternoon
Wind:  W 5-10 knots becoming SW at night and diminishing to 5 knots after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Tuesday Morning
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Tuesday Afternoon
Wind:  S 10-15 knots becoming S and diminishing to 5-10 knots at night
Seas:  1 foot or less
Wednesday Morning
Wind:  SW 10-15 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Wed Afternoon
Wind:  SW 10-15 knots becoming W 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Thursday Morning
Wind:  N 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Thursday Afternoon
Wind:  N 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Friday Morning
Wind: 
Seas: 
Friday Afternoon
Wind:
Seas: 

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)
                             


Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  71F
Monday Morning
Winds: NW 6 to 8 knots
Seas: E 3 feet at 10 sec.
Monday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 7 to 9 knots
Seas: E 2 feet at 10 sec.
Tuesday Morning
Winds: WSW 6 to 8 knots
Seas: E 2 feet at 9 sec.
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: SW 10 to 13 knots
Seas: E 2 feet at 9 sec.
Wednesday Morning
Winds: SW 12 to 16 knots
Seas: E 3 feet at 8 sec.
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: SW 13 to 18 knots
Seas: S 3 feet at 5 sec.
Thursday Morning
Winds: NE 9 to 13 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 8 sec.
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 6 to 7 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 9 sec.
Friday Morning
Winds: S 5 to 7 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 8 sec.
Friday Afternoon
Winds: S 11 to 14 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 8 sec.

Manasquan Inlet Tides



Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  70F
Monday Morning
Winds: NW 10 to 13 knots
Seas: E 3 feet at 10 sec.
Monday Afternoon
Winds: NW 9 to 12 knots
Seas: E 3 feet at 10 sec.
Tuesday Morning
Winds: WSW 6 to 8 knots
Seas: E 2 feet at 9 sec.
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 9 to 13 knots
Seas: E 2 feet at 9 sec.
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SW 14 to 19 knots
Seas: ESE 3 feet at 9 sec.
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SW 15 to 20 knots
Seas: S 3 feet at 4 sec.
Thursday Morning
Winds: NE 11 to 15 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 8 sec.
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 12 to 16 knots
Seas: ENE 3 feet at 4 sec.
Friday Morning
Winds: SSE 5 to 7 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 8 sec.
Friday Afternoon
Winds: S 11 to 15 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 8 sec.

Cape May (Ocean) Tides



Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  72F
Monday Morning
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Monday Afternoon
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots becoming SW 5 knots at night
Seas:  1-2 feet
Tuesday Morning
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots becoming S 10-15 knots at night
Seas:  1-2 feet building to 2-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Wind:  SW 15-20 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Wed Afternoon
Wind:  SW 10-15 knots becoming W after midnight
Seas:  2-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Wind: N 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Wind:  N 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Friday Morning
Wind: 
Seas: 
Friday Afternoon
Wind: 
Seas:

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides



Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Monday Morning
Winds: NNW 10 to 13 knots
Seas: E 4 feet at 10 sec.
Monday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 9 to 12 knots
Seas: E 4 feet at 10 sec.
Tuesday Morning
Winds: W 6 to 8 knots
Seas: E 3 feet at 9 sec.
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: SW 10 to 13 knots
Seas: E 3 feet at 9 sec.
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SW 15 to 21 knots
Seas: SW 4 feet at 5 sec.
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SW 18 to 25 knots
Seas: SW 5 feet at 5 sec.
Thursday Morning
Winds: NE 13 to 18 knots
Seas: NNE 4 feet at 4 sec.
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: NE 8 to 11 knots
Seas: ESE 3 feet at 9 sec.
Friday Morning
Winds: SE 6 to 7 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 8 sec.
Friday Afternoon
Winds: S 9 to 13 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 8 sec.



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!

*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out!

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)

[Pfishingruven]

I want to update some significant changes to the week forecast.

Currently there is a Small Craft Advisory in Effect through tonight from Sandy Hook, NJ to Fenwick Island, DE including New York Harbor, Raritan Bay and Delaware Bay.

Rain chances have increased this week from just tonight to chances of rain for the rest of the week through the weekend.  The cold front that is approaching the area today and that was supposed to move out by tomorrow, has slowed down and will eventually stall over the area.  It will allow a low pressure system to develop over the area later in the week and into the weekend before moving out.  This increases our chance of rain and even a thunderstorm.  Anywhere from 30% chance today to 60% chance on Friday.  However, water conditions and winds should remain good over the entire area for all locations.  After the winds subside today and seas lay down, the rest of the week should look good.

I will update the weekend tomorrow, however it looks like a good chance of rain.

Small Craft Advisory
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
937 AM EDT WED SEP 26 2012

SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE TO 20 NM OFFSHORE AND DELAWARE
BAY

ANZ450-451-270115-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
937 AM EDT WED SEP 26 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.REST OF TODAY...S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. SEAS
4 TO 6 FT. ISOLATED SHOWERS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND TSTMS LATE.
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...BECOMING W 10 TO 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
.THU...N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 2 TO
4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. A CHANCE OF
RAIN.
.FRI...E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 2 TO
3 FT. RAIN LIKELY.
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT...
BECOMING SE AROUND 5 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS AROUND 3 FT. RAIN
LIKELY.
.SAT...E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING NE 10 TO 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. RAIN LIKELY...MAINLY IN THE MORNING.
.SUN...N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 TO
4 FT. A CHANCE OF RAIN...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.


WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN AND NEAR TSTMS.

$$
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
937 AM EDT WED SEP 26 2012

SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE TO 20 NM OFFSHORE AND DELAWARE
BAY

ANZ452>455-270115-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
937 AM EDT WED SEP 26 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.REST OF TODAY...S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. SEAS
4 TO 6 FT. ISOLATED SHOWERS LATE.
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 TO 6 FT.
.THU...NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...BECOMING NE WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS AROUND 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. A CHANCE OF
RAIN.
.FRI...E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 2 TO
3 FT. A CHANCE OF RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. RAIN LIKELY.
.SAT...E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 TO
3 FT. RAIN LIKELY...MAINLY IN THE MORNING.
.SUN...NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. A CHANCE OF RAIN...
THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.

$$
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
937 AM EDT WED SEP 26 2012

SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE TO 20 NM OFFSHORE AND DELAWARE
BAY

ANZ431-270115-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
937 AM EDT WED SEP 26 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

.REST OF TODAY...SW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. SEAS
2 TO 3 FT. ISOLATED SHOWERS LATE.
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...BECOMING W 10 TO 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.
.THU...NW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
1 TO 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. A CHANCE OF
RAIN.
.FRI...E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. RAIN LIKELY...MAINLY
IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS AROUND 5 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. RAIN LIKELY.
.SAT...SE WINDS AROUND 5 KT...BECOMING E IN THE EVENING...THEN
BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. RAIN LIKELY...MAINLY
IN THE MORNING.
.SUN...NW WINDS AROUND 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. A CHANCE OF RAIN...
THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.

$$
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
937 AM EDT WED SEP 26 2012

SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE TO 20 NM OFFSHORE AND DELAWARE
BAY

ANZ430-270115-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
937 AM EDT WED SEP 26 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

.REST OF TODAY...SW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.
SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. ISOLATED SHOWERS LATE THIS MORNING AND EARLY
AFTERNOON...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED TSTMS LATE.
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT...BECOMING
W 5 TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
.THU...NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. A CHANCE OF
RAIN.
.FRI...E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT OR LESS. RAIN LIKELY.
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS AROUND 5 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT OR LESS. RAIN
LIKELY.
.SAT...E WINDS AROUND 5 KT...BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
1 FOOT OR LESS. A CHANCE OF RAIN.
.SUN...NW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. A CHANCE OF RAIN...
THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.

WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN AND NEAR TSTMS.

$$

Wednesday Surface Map



Friday Surface Map



Rainfall Totals Wednesday - Saturday

[Scott G.]

   THANK YOU   

[paul-e]