NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook: Weekend Edition Nov 17-18, 2012

[Pfishingruven]

Weather conditions will be pleasant this weekend with mostly sunny skies, dry conditions and seasonal temperatures with highs in the low to mid 50's and lows in the upper 30's and 40's overnight.  Increased pressure gradients and a gusty northeasterly flow will continue throughout the weekend, even peaking on Saturday into Sunday.  Small craft advisories are likely with the possibility of gale force gusts over ocean waters and seas 4-6 feet.  Water conditions are rated good for most inshore locations for the weekend, noting winds to 20 knots and seas 4-5 feet, while midshore to offshore are rated good for Saturday and cautious for Sunday with winds to 25 knots and seas 5-6 feet.  Surf conditions will be high and rough with waves 4-5 feet subsiding 2-3 feet during period of calmer winds.  These conditions will likely persist through midweek, next week.  If you are planning to go out make sure you check specific locations before heading out for the day.

Talk of a possible nor'easter have subsided with the models taking any type of storm well out to sea.

High pressure will continue to dominate most of the weekend before shifting northeast sometime Sunday.  This will open up the region for a trough with low pressure tracking northeastward along it.  This low pressure should stay well off the coast (this low pressure was the possible nor'easter).

Saturday
Sky:  Sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  0% to slight chance
Temperatures
High:  Low to mid 50's
Low:   Upper 30's
Sunrise: 6:44am
Sunset: 4:39pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather-8/10
Weather2Hunt.com-40/50

Sunday
Sky:  Mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0% to slight chance
Temperatures
High:  Low to mid 50's
Low:  Low 40’s
Sunrise: 6:45am
Sunset: 4:38pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather-9/10
Weather2Hunt.com-40/50

Friday Night into Saturday Morning Surface Analysis



Saturday’s Surface Analysis



Sunday’s Surface Analysis



HPC Thursday - Sunday Quantitative Precipitation Forecast



HPC Sunday - Tuesday Quantitative Precipitation Forecast



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  
Saturday Morning
Wind: NE 10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Saturday  Afternoon
Wind:  NE 10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Sunday Morning
Wind:  NE 10-15 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Wind:  NE 10-15 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet

Sandy Hook (Bay) Tides





Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  54F
Saturday Morning
Winds: NNE 10 to 14 knots
Seas: ESE 4 feet at 11 sec.
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: NE 9 to 13 knots
Seas: ESE 4 feet at 11 sec.
Sunday Morning
Winds: ENE 13 to 17 knots
Seas: ESE 4 feet at 10 sec.
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 12 to 16 knots
Seas: E 5 feet at 7 sec.

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  53F
Saturday Morning
Winds: NNE 13 to 17 knots
Seas: ESE 4 feet at 11 sec.
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: NE 13 to 17 knots
Seas: ESE 4 feet at 10 sec.
Sunday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 17 to 23 knots
Seas: E 5 feet at 6 sec.
Sunday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 15 to 21 knots
Seas: E 6 feet at 7 sec.

Cape May (Ocean) Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  46F
Saturday Morning
Wind:  NE 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet  
Saturday Afternoon
Wind:  NE 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots becoming NE 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots at night
Seas:  2-3 feet becoming 2-4 feet at night
Sunday Morning
Wind:  NE 15-20 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Wind:  NE 15-20 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet

Delaware Bay (Ship John Shoal) Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  55F
Saturday Morning
Winds: NE 13 to 17 knots
Seas: ESE 6 feet at 11 sec.
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: NE 12 to 16 knots
Seas: ESE 5 feet at 10 sec.
Sunday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 17 to 23 knots
Seas: ESE 6 feet at 10 sec.
Sunday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 15 to 21 knots
Seas: E 6 feet at 7 sec.



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperatures 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!

*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out!

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)