NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook: Weekend Edition June 1-2, 2013

[Pfishingruven]

The first weekend of June will start off nice and end rainy with a chance of thunderstorms.  Saturday will be dry, sunny, hot and likely humid with clouds increasing later in the day.  Highs will be in the upper 80's (lower to the north and along/on the water) with lows in the mid 60's.  Sunday will bring a chance of rain and thunderstorms mostly in the afternoon through the later evening.  Some of these storms could be strong to severe.  Highs will be in the mid 80's and lows in the mid 60's.  Water conditions Inshore for all locations will be good for most of Saturday, through the evening before winds increase to Small Craft Advisories.  Sunday will be cautious with Small Craft Advisories with SW/SSW winds to 25 knots building seas to 5 feet at 6 seconds.  However, the bays do not look too bad on Saturday Night or Sunday and will likely not have SCA's.  Midshore to Offshore will be cautious with Small Craft Advisories all weekend with SW/SSW winds to 30 knots and seas to 7 feet at 6 seconds. These increased winds are due to the passing high pressure.  Water temperatures for rivers and bays are in the mid 60's with inshore ocean waters in the low 60's and midshore to offshore in the upper 50's.  This continued SW/SSW winds could increase a southern swell and cause some upwelling, bringing temperatures down some this weekend.  Surf conditions will be normal around 1-2 feet, with gustier winds out of the SW on Saturday Night and Sunday.

For next week, Monday will continue with rain and possible thunderstorms then clear out for the remainder of the week.  Temperatures will be in the mid 70's and lows in the mid 50's after the cold front passes through.  Water conditions will continue with Small Craft Advisories for Monday and then return back to normal for the rest of the week.  Surf conditions looks normal all week, with a gusty wind on Monday.   

High pressure off the coast will move out to sea over the weekend.  Low pressure over the Great Lakes Region will push a cold front through the area by the end of the weekend or early in the week.

Saturday
Sky:  Sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  0% to slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Upper 80's
Low:   Mid 60's
Sunrise: 5:30am
Sunset: 8:18pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather- Very Good
Weather2Hunt.com- 37/50

Sunday
Sky:  Mostly sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  30% chance of showers/thunderstorms during the day, 50% chance of showers/thunderstorms at night
Temperatures
High:   Mid 80's
Low:   Mid 60's
Sunrise: 5:27am
Sunset: 8:24pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather-   Excellent
Weather2Hunt.com-  33/50

Friday Night Surface Analysis

]

Saturday Surface Analysis



Sunday Surface Analysis



Friday - Monday Precipitation Total



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts
Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature: 64°F
Saturday
Wind:   SW 5-10 knots
Seas:   1 foot or less
Saturday Night
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:   1 foot or less
Sunday
Wind:  S 10-15 knots
Seas:   1 foot or less
Sunday Night
Wind:  S 10-15 knots
Seas:   1 foot or less

Sandy Hook (Bay) Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  60°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: SW 10 to 14 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SSW 15 to 20 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Sunday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SSW 14 to 19 knots
Seas: SSE 4 feet at 6 seconds
Sunday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 18 to 25 knots
Seas: S 5 feet at 6 seconds

Manasquan Inlet Tides


 

Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  58°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: SW 12 to 17 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 15 to 21 knots
Seas: SSE 4 feet at 5 seconds
Sunday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 16 to 21 knots
Seas: SSE 4 feet at 6 seconds
Sunday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: S 18 to 25 knots
Seas: SSE 5 feet at 6 seconds

Cape May (Ocean) Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  66°F
Saturday
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Saturday Night
Wind:  S 10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet 
Sunday
Wind:  S 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet
Sunday Night
Wind:  S 10-15 knots
Seas:  3-4 feet

Delaware Bay (Ship John Shoal) Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  56°F
Saturday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SW 14 to 20 knots
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 6 seconds
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 17 to 23 knots
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 6 seconds
Sunday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 17 to 23 knots
Seas: SSW 6 feet at 6 seconds
Sunday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 20 to 27 knots
Seas: SSW 6 feet at 6 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures


   
NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperatures 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!

*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out!

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)

[Reel McCoy]

Thanks 

[Pfishingruven]

Here is the Severe Weather Risk for Sunday

There is a threat of severe thunderstorms with damaging winds, hail and even tornadoes.

I will update this throughout the weekend!

[Pfishingruven]

NWS PHI & OKX have already issued Small Craft Advisories for all NJ and NY Coastal Waters excluding New York Harbor/Raritan Bay and Delaware Bay from late Saturday Night through Sunday Evening.  The forecast for water conditions has not changed.

Small Craft Advisory
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
358 PM EDT FRI MAY 31 2013

SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE TO 20 NM OFFSHORE AND DELAWARE
BAY

ANZ454-455-010715-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
358 PM EDT FRI MAY 31 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

.TONIGHT...SW WINDS AROUND 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. SEAS
2 TO 4 FT. MAINLY IN S SWELL WITH A DOMINANT PERIOD OF 5 SECONDS.
.SAT...S WINDS AROUND 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. MAINLY IN S SWELL
WITH A DOMINANT PERIOD OF 5 SECONDS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
.SUN...S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 TO
6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. SEAS
4 TO 6 FT. A CHANCE OF TSTMS. SHOWERS LIKELY...MAINLY AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.MON...SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO
6 FT. SHOWERS LIKELY.
.MON NIGHT...SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING NW AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
.TUE...N WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.
.WED...NE WINDS AROUND 10 KT...BECOMING E. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.

WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN AND NEAR TSTMS.

$$
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
358 PM EDT FRI MAY 31 2013

SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE TO 20 NM OFFSHORE AND DELAWARE
BAY

ANZ450-451-010715-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
358 PM EDT FRI MAY 31 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. MAINLY IN S
SWELL WITH A DOMINANT PERIOD OF 6 SECONDS.
.SAT...SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. MAINLY IN S SWELL
WITH A DOMINANT PERIOD OF 7 SECONDS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...BECOMING SW 10 TO 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
.SUN...S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 TO
6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. SEAS
4 TO 7 FT. A CHANCE OF TSTMS. SHOWERS LIKELY...MAINLY AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.MON...SW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. SHOWERS LIKELY.
.MON NIGHT...SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT...
BECOMING NW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
.TUE...N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...BECOMING NW 5 TO 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THEN BECOMING N 10 TO 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS AROUND 3 FT.
.WED...N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...BECOMING E 5 TO 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING SE. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT.

WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN AND NEAR TSTMS.

$$
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
358 PM EDT FRI MAY 31 2013

SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE TO 20 NM OFFSHORE AND DELAWARE
BAY

ANZ452-453-010715-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
358 PM EDT FRI MAY 31 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

.TONIGHT...SW WINDS AROUND 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. SEAS
2 TO 4 FT. MAINLY IN S SWELL WITH A DOMINANT PERIOD OF 6 SECONDS.
.SAT...S WINDS AROUND 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO
4 FT. MAINLY IN S SWELL WITH A DOMINANT PERIOD OF 6 SECONDS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT.
.SUN...S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 TO
6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. SEAS
4 TO 7 FT. A CHANCE OF TSTMS. SHOWERS LIKELY...MAINLY AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.MON...SW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. SHOWERS LIKELY.
.MON NIGHT...SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...BECOMING NW AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
.TUE...N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...DIMINISHING TO 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO
3 FT.
.WED...NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...BECOMING E 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO
3 FT.

WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN AND NEAR TSTMS.

$$
URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
358 PM EDT FRI MAY 31 2013

ANZ450>455-010900-
/O.NEW.KPHI.SC.Y.0056.130602T0900Z-130603T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
358 PM EDT FRI MAY 31 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 8 PM EDT SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 8 PM EDT SUNDAY.

* WINDS...SOUTH 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...4 TO 6 FEET.

* TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS WILL BEGIN BY LATE
  MORNING SUNDAY, JUST AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

[Pfishingruven]

Today will be very much like the last two days...sunny, dry, hot and humid with some clouds moving in later today.  Temperatures will be in the upper 80's to 90's for most areas, except along and on the water will be in the 70's and 80's.  Lows will only get down into the upper 60's.  There are some Air Quality Alerts for northeastern NJ.  Inshore water conditions for today are good through late tonight.  Today SW winds 10-15 knots with some gusts up to 20 knots and seas 3 feet at 5 seconds.  Bays and Rivers will see the same winds with seas 1 foot or less then increasing 1-2 feet later in the day.  Tonight, conditions will deteriorate with gusts to 25 knots and seas increasing to 5 feet.  Small Craft Advisories will be in effect from tonight through Monday Morning.  Offshore is cautious all day with Small Craft Advisory conditions.  Surf conditions are normal at 2-3 feet with SW winds 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots.

Tomorrow chance of showers and thunderstorms with increasing chances in the afternoon and night.  There is a Slight and Generalized Risk of Severe Weather with strong to severe thunderstorms.  These storms could have damaging winds, heavy rains and dangerous lightning.  Hail and tornadoes cannot be ruled out either.  Water conditinos will be cautious all around with SCA's.  SW winds 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots and seas building 5-7 feet at 5 seconds.  Bay and River conditions will see the winds, but not the higher seas, obviously.  Surf conditions will be the same 2-3 feet with gusty SW winds to 25 knots.  If you are out on the beach, be cautious of any storms popping up bringing dangerous lightning.

There is a Risk of Severe Weather across central portions of the US, including the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys.  The National Hurricane Center has an Invest Area in the Bay of Campeche on a low pressure area that is remnants of Pacific Hurricane Barbara.

Have a good weekend!

[fluke - u]

 ...Thanks

[Pfishingruven]

Sunny and hot across most of the state with highs into the 80's today inland and 70's along/on the water.  Strong to severe thunderstorms will move in from the west ahead of a cold front later this afternoon or this evening.  A pop up storm is possible as well.  Most of the state is under a Slight Risk of severe storms with the main threat being damaging winds, heavy rains, dangerous lightning and the possibility of hail and/or tornadoes.  Northwestern NJ will likely see the worst of these storms.  Water conditions are cautious with Small Craft Advisories in effect with SW winds to 20-25 knots and seas 3-5 feet at 5 seconds.  Bay and Rivers are not included in the SCA's.  Surf conditions are moderate today with 3-4 foot waves, 4-5 foot SW swell and SW winds 15-20 knots with some higher gusts.  There is a moderate risk of rip currents today as well.

Tomorrow will have showers and thunderstorms with higher 70's temperatures and overnight lows down into the mid 50's.  Water conditions Inshore will be good while Midshore to Offshore will be cautious.  I will have more on the Week Outlook by this evening.

I will keep updated on the Severe Weather situation.  Be safe and enjoy the rest of the weekend.

[Pfishingruven]

The SPC has increased most of the state in a Slight Risk and has issued a Mesoscale Discussion for the area.  Thunderstorms will begin "popping" up ahead of the cold front and squall lines.  The main threat will be damaging winds, hail, heavy rains, and dangerous lightning.  A Watch may not be issued, so be aware!

Be safe!

SPC Mesoscale Discussion #937

[Pfishingruven]

There are some thunderstorms and showers popping up along a seabreeze front working east/southeast against the northwest winds.

[Pfishingruven]

Strong storms moving into the area and out to sea from Ocean and Monmouth Counties.  The storm in Ocean County dropped a little larger than pea size hail here in Toms River for about 30 seconds!

Be safe!