Author Topic: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Jan 6-10, 2014  (Read 2631 times)

Offline Pfishingruven

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Another interesting week coming up!  Monday will start with precipitation.  It will be rain for most of the state, but northern areas could see freezing rain, mixed precipitation and/or snow.  Precipitation will clear out by later Monday and will remain dry through Thursday, before more precipitation moves in for Thursday Night and Friday before clearing out again for Friday Night.  Precipitation could be rain, mix and/or snow on Thursday and Friday.  High and low temperatures will vary quite a lot this week.  Monday’s high temperatures will occur overnight from Sunday into Monday with temperatures falling quickly during the day Monday as Arctic Air moves into the area.  Highs and lows on Monday Night and Tuesday will be in single digits to teens with some gusty winds making wind chills in the negatives!  Wednesday will see temperatures back into the teens and 20’s before moderating on Thursday and Friday into average temperatures in the 20’s-40’s with lows in the teens to 30’s.  Winds will be gusty on Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday before subsiding towards the end of the week.  Water conditions will be Cautious to Hazardous through Wednesday with Small Craft Advisories and Gale Warnings in effect for all marine waters.  Conditions will improve on Wednesday, likely later in the day and remaining good for the rest of the week.  Surf and beach conditions will be Cautious to Hazardous also on Monday, Tuesday and parts of Wednesday before improving for the end of the week.  Water temperatures are steady  from the weekend with 30’s and 40’s inland and low 50’s offshore.  UV Index will be Low at 0-2/15 for the week.

A cold front will cross the region from the west early on Monday.  An Arctic High Pressure will build across the area for late Monday through Wednesday before moving offshore Wednesday Night and Thursday.  A weak frontal boundary will move through Thursday Night into Friday.  High pressure will build across to the north of the area Friday and Saturday.  Another frontal boundary may affect the region over the weekend.

The weekend looks to have chances of precipitation, again from rain to a mix to snow.  Chances are low right now, but still a possibility.  Temperatures will be average to above average with 30’s to 50’s for highs and 20’s-30’s for lows.  Water and surf and beach conditions look good for Saturday before deteriorating on Saturday and Sunday again, with Cautious conditions due to winds and elevated seas.  

Have a great week!  Be careful of the extreme cold on Monday Night and Tuesday…be safe.

Monday
Sky:  Cloudy becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  80%-90% chance of rain/snow/mix during the day, 0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:    Low to  upper 40’s (overnight will be highest temps, dropping during the day)
Low:     Single digits (2-8 degrees) to low teens along the coast
UV Index:  0-1/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:18am
Sunset: 4:46pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather  - Poor
Weather2Hunt - 33/50

Tuesday
Sky:  Mostly sunny to sunny then mostly clear
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   10’s – 20’s
Low:   Single digits (2-10 degrees), low teens along the coast
UV Index:  1-2/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:18am
Sunset: 4:47pm
First Qtr: 10:40pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather – Poor
Weather2Hunt - 27/50

Wednesday
Sky:   Sunny becoming partly to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Low to upper 20’s
Low:   Upper teens to mid 20’s
UV Index:  1-2/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:18am
Sunset: 4:48pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather – Poor
Weather2Hunt - 37/50

Thursday
Sky:  Mostly cloudy becoming cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance during the day, 30%-40% chance of rain/snow/mix
Temperatures
High:   Upper 30’s to low 40’s with low 30’s across northern areas
Low:   Upper 20’s to low 30’s inland, mid to upper 30’s along the coast, mid 20’s across northern areas and higher elevations
UV Index:  1-2/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:18am
Sunset: 4:49pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather – Fair
Weather2Hunt - 37/50

Friday
Sky:  Mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-40% chance of rain/snow/mix during the day, 0%-slight chance at night
Temperatures
High:   Low to mid 40’s inland and along the coast , upper 30’s across northern areas
Low:   Low 30’s inland, mid to upper 30’s along the coast, mid 20’s across northern areas and higher elevations
UV Index:  0-1/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:18am
Sunset: 4:50pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather – Poor
Weather2Hunt - 33/50

Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Sunday - Sunday



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  37°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
GALE WARNING
Wind:  W 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet, Dense Fog, Visibility less than 1 nm
Surf (Ocean):  2-5 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
GALE WARNING
Wind:  W 20-25 knots with gusts to 40 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet, Freezing Spray
Surf (Ocean):  2-5 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
GALE WARNING
Wind:  W 20-25 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet, Freezing Spray
Surf (Ocean):  2-5 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
GALE WARNING
Wind:  W 15-20 knots with gusts 30 knots diminishing 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-5 feet

Wednesday
Wind: W 10-15 knots
Seas:  2 feet subsiding to 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  W 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Thursday
Wind:  NW 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  NE 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Friday
Wind:  NE 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less, Visibility 1-3 nm in the morning
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  NE 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less, Visibility 1-3 nm after midnight
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                            



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  37°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
GALE WARNING
Winds: S 20 to 27 knots
Seas:  SSE 5 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-5 feet
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
GALE WARNING
Winds: W 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  SE 5 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-5 feet

Tuesday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
GALE WARNING
Winds: W 24 to 32 knots
Seas:  W 4 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  2-5 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
GALE WARNING
Winds: W 22 to 30 knots
Seas:  W 4 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  2-5 feet

Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: W 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  WSW 2 feet at 3 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: W 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: WNW 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  SE 1 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: W 2 to 3 knots
Seas:  SE 1 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: W 3 to 4 knots
Seas:  SE 1 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: NW 5 to 6 knots
Seas:  SE 1 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  43°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
GALE WARNING
Winds: S 18 to 24 knots
Seas:  SSE 5 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-5 feet
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
GALE WARNING
Winds: W 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  SE 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-5 feet

Tuesday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
GALE WARNING
Winds: W 21 to 29 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  2-5 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
GALE WARNING
Winds: WSW 12 to 17 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-5 feet

Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: W 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: W 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: NW 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  SE 1 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 1 to 1 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: WSW 1 to 1 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: NNW 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  32°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
GALE WARNING
Wind:  SSW 14-17 knots becoming WNW 18-21 knots with gusts to 28 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
GALE WARNING
Wind:  W 20-23 knots with gusts to 31 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
GALE WARNING
Wind:  W 21 knots with gusts to 29 knots
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  W 13-18 knots with gusts to 24 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet

Wednesday
Wind:  W 9-11 knots   
Seas:  3 feet subsiding to 1 foot or less
Surf:  1-2 feet subsiding to 0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  W 5-8 knots becoming variable and less than 5 knots after midnight
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday
Wind:  Variable around 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday Night
Wind: Variable around 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday
Wind:  NE 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  NE 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet  

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  46°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
GALE WARNING
Winds: SSW 20 to 27 knots
Seas:  SE 6 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-5 feet
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
GALE WARNING
Winds: WNW 22 to 29 knots
Seas:  SE 5 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-5 feet

Tuesday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
GALE WARNING
Winds: WNW 26 to 35 knots
Seas:  WNW 5 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-5 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
GALE WARNING
Winds: WNW 24 to 33 knots
Seas:  WNW 5 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-5 feet

Wednesday Morning
Winds: WNW 9 to 13 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: W 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  SE 1 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: NE 3 to 4 knots
Seas:  SE 1 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: SE 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: ENE 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: NNE 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  37°F-42°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
GALE WARNING
Wind:  SW 15 knots becoming W in the late morning/afternoon increasing to 20-25 knots late
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
GALE WARNING
Wind:  W 25-30 knots with gusts to 40 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less increasing to 3-5 feet, Freezing Spray
Surf:  1 foot then 1-2 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
GALE WARNING
Wind:   W 25-30 knots diminishing to 20-25 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  3-5 feet, Freezing Spray
Surf:  1-2 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  W 15-20 knots with gusts to 20 knots diminishing to 10-15 knots after midnight, gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  3-5 feet, Freezing Spray
Surf:  1-2 feet

Wednesday
Wind:  W 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots diminishing to 5-10 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Wednesday Night
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Thursday
Wind:  W 5 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  1 foot
Thursday Night
Wind:  E 5 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  1 foot
Friday
Wind:  NW 5 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Friday Night
Wind:  NW 5 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  51°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
GALE WARNING
Winds: S 20 to 26 knots
Seas:  S 7 feet at 7 seconds

Monday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
GALE WARNING
Winds: WNW 21 to 29 knots
Seas:  S 8 feet at 7 seconds
Tuesday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
GALE WARNING
Winds: WNW 29 to 40 knots
Seas:  W 10 feet at 7 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
GALE WARNING
Winds: W 27 to 37 knots
Seas:  W 9 feet at 7 seconds

Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 19 to 26 knots
Seas:  W 5 feet at 5 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 15 to 21 knots
Seas:  W 4 feet at 5 seconds

Thursday Morning
Winds: NW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: NW 3 to 4 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Friday Morning
Winds: SSE 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Friday Afternoon
Winds: SSE 2 to 3 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)


 





Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!


*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)
« Last Edit: February 20, 2014, 12:01:06 AM by Pfishingruven »


Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: Briefing on Extreme Cold
« Reply #1 on: January 06, 2014, 04:14:44 PM »
Self-explanatory...it's going to be cold!  Single digits to below zero temperatures with wind chills that will make it feel even colder.  This is dangerously cold, so just be smart!

Be safe!

NWS Philadelphia Briefing on Extreme Cold


Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: Flooding Issues & Freezing Rain Advisories
« Reply #2 on: January 09, 2014, 04:31:55 PM »
Late Thursday Night into Friday will bring the start of rain with chances increasing into the weekend.  Rain chances will be around 40%-50% with likely scattered showers.  These showers could be freezing rain, causing icing on surfaces.  Snow showers are also possible for norther and centralwestern counties with less than an inch of accumulation.  Freezing Rain Advisories have been issued for Warren, Morris, Hunterdon, Somerset, Monmouth, Mercer, Salem, Gloucester, Camden, Burlington & Cumberland Counties.  

Flood Warnings for Mercer County and Flash Flood Watches for Mercer and Burlington Counties have been issued due to ice pack jams on rivers and rain potential of 2+ inches of rain this weekend, could cause additional flooding conditions.

Be safe!  Working on the Weekend Outlook...





« Last Edit: January 09, 2014, 04:46:48 PM by Pfishingruven »

 

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