Author Topic: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekend Edition: Feb 8-9, 2014  (Read 1354 times)

Offline Pfishingruven

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The weather will be wintry, but water conditions look calm this weekend. Overall, there will be a chance of snow both days, however accumulations should only be around 1-2 inches. Snow will come in bursts, with scattered showers. The two systems that were modeled to phase, is not going to happen. The coastal low to the south will remain south and east of the area, bringing only a glancing blow to southern areas. The second system coming across the center of the US, will move through the area, but will not bring the intensity or amount of snow it could have. Both systems are weak, with modest amounts of snow at best. So, despite the forecast being cloudy to mostly cloudy all weekend, there will not be continual snow. Temperatures will be cold, Saturday will be mainly below freezing in the teens to 30’s.  Some coastal and southern areas may see temperatures above the freezing mark. Sunday will see highs only a few degrees warmer, but most areas will see temperatures above freezing this day. Water conditions are good, with calm conditions. Winds will pick up late Sunday Night, mainly across southern waters. However, many rivers and bays are still covered in ice or ice packed in most places.  Surf and beach conditions will be good with calm winds and surf. Water temperatures have increased a few degrees with inshore waters all in the 30’s and offshore waters in the upper 40’s. UV Index will be Low at 1-2/15. The sun is slowly strengthening its presence with days becoming slightly longer. There are only 41 days until Spring!

High pressure will continue to build into the region through Saturday before moving off towards the northeast late Saturday. A coastal low pressure system will glance the area to the southeast on Saturday followed by a series of upper level waves through Monday. High pressure briefly returns on Tuesday as another coastal low pressure system moves through the region around Thursday!

The weather pattern looks very active and cold still. This week will be dry through Thursday, when some systems will move in. Temperatures look to be in the teens to 30’s with the possibility of snow. This is way too early to pinpoint anything down. Water conditions look cautious on Monday then good through Thursday before possibly deteriorating again.  Surf and beach conditions look good through Thursday. It is hard to get an accurate forecast this far in advance with Winter Systems.

Have a great weekend!

Saturday
Sky:  Cloudy
Precipitation:  Snow
Temperatures
High:     Upper 20’s to low 30’s, mid 30’s across southern coastal
Low:     Upper teens to mid 20’s
UV Index:  1-2/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 6:58am
Sunset: 5:23pm


Sunday
Sky:  Mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  Snow
Temperatures
High:     Upper 20’s to mid 30’s
Low:     Upper teens to low 20’s inland, mid 20’s along the coast, low to mid teens across the north
UV Index:  1-2/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:57am
Sunset: 5:24pm


Friday Night Surface Analysis



Saturday Surface Analysis



Sunday Surface Analysis



Friday – Monday Precipitation Total



 Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts
Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  34°F
Saturday
Wind:  NW 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Saturday Night
Wind:  N 5 knots 
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Sunday
Wind:  N 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Sunday Night
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet

Sandy Hook (Bay) Tides

Sandy Hook Tides




Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  34°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: WNW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 10 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 6 to 9 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds: W 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: W 8 to 10 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  38°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: WNW 8 to 10 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 4 to 6 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds: W 3 to 4 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: W 6 to 9 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay at Island Beach State Park
Water Temperature:  32°F
Saturday
Wind:  Variable winds less than 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Saturday Night
Wind:  Variable winds less than 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Sunday
Wind:  NE 5-8 knots becoming W in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Sunday Night
Wind:  WNW 10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides
   
Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  39°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: NNE 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 4 to 6 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds: NNW 1 to 2 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 1 to 2 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides

Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  32°F-37°F
Saturday
Wind:  NE 5 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet, then 1 foot or less
Surf:  1 foot
Saturday Night
Wind:  N 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less then 1-2 feet in the evening
Surf:  1 foot
Sunday
Wind:  N 5-10 knots becoming W in the afternoon
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Sunday Night
CAUTIOUS (late)
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1 foot


Delaware Bay (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware Bay Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  47°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: WNW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 10 seconds
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 11 seconds
Sunday Morning
Winds: W 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperatures 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)








Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!


*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out!

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)


Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: NWS PHI Briefing #9 for Weekend "Snow"
« Reply #1 on: February 07, 2014, 01:03:49 PM »


 

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