I hope you like unsettled, Winter weather because this weekend will not be any different than the last several weeks. Another weaker coastal low pressure system will move along the coast with an associated cold front moving through bringing snow during the overnight and morning hours before changing to a mix or rain for most parts of Central and Southern NJ. Snow accumulations will be in the 1-3 inch range. Winds will also continue to be gusty with the system and passing front. Precipitation and clouds will clear out for the overnight, leaving very cold air in its place. Sunday will be clear with more sun than clouds, but highs will not likely reach the freezing mark. Temperatures will be in the 20’s and 30’s with lows in the single digits to 20’s with colder temperatures from south to north. Water conditions look to be poor with Cautious to Hazardous conditions due to gusty winds and building seas. Small Craft Advisories will eventually replace the current Gale Warnings for the weekend. BW Forecasts are on the lower side of the guidance, so if needed check both NOAA and BW. Surf and beach conditions will be ok to cautious. Tides are still running a little higher, not flooding higher, but higher on the beach. Beach erosion was likely the last few days, so be careful for any changes in the beach contours. Surf conditions will not be as rough or high, as winds will be from the northwest, primarily. However winds will gust 20-30 knots! UV Index will be Low on Saturday and Low to Moderate on Sunday.
A cold front will move through the area tonight behind the coastal low pressure system that is lifting to the northeast. A surface low associated with the cold front will bring chances of snow to the region Friday Night into Saturday. This is a much weaker coastal low, than came through Wednesday and Thursday. High pressure will then build into the region on Sunday and Monday. The active weather pattern continues next week as another low is expected to cross the region on Tuesday!
The look ahead shows the potential of a system with snow on Monday Night into Tuesday, with clear conditions the remainder of the week. Temperatures will also begin to moderate by Monday, as the frigid air will retreat back to the north. Highs will range from the 30’s to the 50’s with lows in the 20’s and 30’s. Inshore water, surf and beach conditions look mainly good, but offshore will be iffy through Wednesday or Thursday.
Have a great weekend!
SaturdaySky: Cloudy becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation: Rain/Mix/Snow during the day, 0%-slight chance at night
Temperatures
High: Low to mid 30’s
Low: Mid teens to low 20’s inland and along the coast, upper single digits across the north
UV Index: 0-2/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 6:50am
Sunset: 5:31pm
SundaySky: Partly to mostly sunny becoming mostly clear
Precipitation: 0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High: Upper 20’s inland and along the coast, low 20’s across the north
Low: Upper single digits to low teens inland, upper teens along the coast, low single digits across the north
UV Index: 2-3/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:48am
Sunset: 5:32pm
Friday Night Surface Analysis
Saturday Surface Analysis
Sunday Surface Analysis
Friday – Monday Precipitation Total
Low Tracks and Snowfall Totals
Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) ForecastsRaritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy HookWater Temperature: 34°F
Saturday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: N 5-10 knots increasing 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots in the afternoon
Seas: 1 foot or less, then 1-2 feet late morning
Surf (Ocean): 2-4 feet
Saturday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: NW 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas: 2-4 feet
Surf (Ocean): 1-2 feet
Sunday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: W 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feetSunday NightWind: NW 10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet
Sandy Hook (Bay) TidesSandy Hook Tides
Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NYWater Temperature: 34°F
Saturday Morning Winds: E 10 to 13 knots
Seas: SE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf (Ocean): 2-4 feet
Saturday AfternoonWinds: ENE 12 to 17 knots
Seas: SE 3 feet at 10 seconds
Surf (Ocean): 2-4 feet
Sunday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 19 to 25 knots
Seas: SE 4 feet at 10 seconds
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet
Sunday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 17 to 22 knots
Seas: SE 3 feet at 10 seconds
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet Coney Island, NY TidesConey Island Tides
Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat InletWater Temperature: 36°F
Saturday MorningWinds: E 11 to 15 knots
Seas: ESE 1 feet at 11 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Saturday AfternoonWinds: E 9 to 12 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 11 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Sunday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 17 to 23 knots
Seas: SE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Sunday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 15 to 21 knots
Seas: ESE 1 feet at 10 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feetManasquan Inlet TidesManasquan Inlet Tides
Barnegat Bay at Island Beach State ParkWater Temperature: 32°F
Saturday
CAUTIOUS
Wind: ENE 8-11 knots becoming N 14-17 in the afternoon with gusts to 23 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Saturday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: WNW 18-21 knots with gusts to 28 knots
Seas: 1 foot
Surf: 0-1 feet
Sunday
CAUTIOUS
Wind: W 11-16 knots with gusts to 22 knots
Seas: 1 foot
Surf: 0-1 feetSunday NightWind: W 11 knots becoming NW after midnight
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides Barnegat Bay Tides
Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)Water Temperature: 39°F
Saturday MorningWinds: SSE 10 to 14 knots
Seas: SE 3 feet at 10 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Saturday AfternoonWinds: NNW 5 to 6 knots
Seas: ESE 3 feet at 10 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Sunday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 19 to 26 knots
Seas: ESE 4 feet at 10 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Sunday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WNW 15 to 20 knots
Seas: ESE 3 feet at 10 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feetCape May (Ocean) TidesCape May Tides
Delaware BayWater Temperature: 32°F-37°F
Saturday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: E 10 knots becoming NE with gusts to 20 knots late morning, then N 15-20 with gusts to 30 knots in the afternoon
Seas: 2-4
Surf: 1-2 feet
Saturday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: NW 20-25 knots diminishing to 15-20 knots late
Seas: 3-5 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Sunday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: NW 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots becoming W 10 knots in the afternoon
Seas: 2-4 feet
Surf: 1-2 feetSunday NightWind: NW 10 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Delaware Bay (Ship John Shoal) TidesDelaware Bay Tides
Offshore WatersMidshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)Water Temperature: 47°F
Saturday MorningWinds: ESE 13 to 18 knots
Seas: SSE 5 feet at 10 seconds
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NE 16 to 21 knots
Seas: ESE 5 feet at 11 secondsSunday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 24 to 33 knots
Seas: NW 9 feet at 6 secondsSunday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 19 to 26 knots
Seas: SSE 6 feet at 10 secondsSea Surface TemperaturesSurface
20 Meters (≈65 feet)
NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperatures 3 Day LoopNWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day LoopOcean CurrentsSurface
20 Meters (≈65 feet)
Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution! 
*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations. Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only. Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling. Every boat and captain has different operating values. You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out!*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)
