Another Winter Week, with an unsettled weather pattern, potential Winter Storm/Nor’Easter, very cold air and Hazardous Water Conditions from midweek through the weekend. Monday will continue to be sunny and then clear, but cold. Tuesday will be a repeat of Monday with sunny and clear skies, temperatures mostly below freezing, and very cold overnight lows from negative temperatures to only mid teens. Wednesday will see cloudier skies building in throughout the day, with chances of snow showers during the day. Wednesday Night will bring the start of a potential Winter Storm/Nor’Easter. This will bring mainly snow to the state with coastal effects as well. The models and forecasts are leaning towards a strong storm to continue through Thursday Night before clearing out. This will be the storm to watch this week, with the potential for significant snowfall, again. Forecasts will be more solid by tomorrow for track, intensity, and snowfall totals. This storm could definitely bring coastal flooding and erosion as well. Updates to come! Temperatures from midweek into the weekend will be more along average to slightly above average with overnight lows along the same. With these milder temperatures, with precipitation in the forecast, many areas could see a variety of wintry precip to rain. Gusty winds will also start Wednesday and persist likely into the weekend. Friday will clear out and be the mildest day this week with the potential for some snow showers Friday Night. Water conditions will be good through Wednesday Night when conditions will begin to deteriorate. By Thursday, conditions will be Hazardous with Gale Warnings and Small Craft Advisories for winds to 30-40 knots and seas 10 feet. I expect, if the storm tracks along the coast, these forecasts will increase over the next 24-36 hours. Surf and beach conditions will be good through Wednesday Night before becoming Cautious to Hazardous through the weekend with surf to 10+ feet. Water temperatures are a couple of degrees colder with inshore waters in the 30’s and offshore waters in the mid to upper 40’s. UV Index will be Low to Moderate at 1-3/15.
Strong cold high pressure in the Upper Midwest will move to New England Wednesday. Low pressure along the Coastal Carolinas Wednesday Evening will pass to the east of the Delaware and NJ Coasts Thursday before reaching Nova Scotia late Thursday Night. A cold front from the West is forecast to arrive Friday Night. Another low and cold front may pass eastward through the Mid-Atlantic States next Sunday.
The weekend looks to be a mix of sun and clouds with the potential for some snow/snow showers both days. Sunday could bring more substantial snow, but that is too far out to call. Temperatures will be average. Water, surf and beach conditions look Cautious at this time. They may recover late Saturday to Sunday, but there will be frontal and low passages this weekend that could increase winds and seas.
Have a great week!
Monday Sky: Mostly sunny then mostly clear
Precipitation: 0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High: Upper 20’s
Low: 10-12 degrees inland, mid to upper teens along the coast, low single digits across the north
UV Index: 2-3/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:56am
Sunset: 5:25pm
Tuesday Sky: Sunny then mostly clear to clear
Precipitation: 0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High: Mid to upper 20’s
Low: Upper single digits inland, Mid to upper teens along the coast, Around -5 across the north
UV Index: 2-3/15 (Low - Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:55am
Sunset: 5:26pm
First Qtr: 10:40pm
Wednesday Sky: Sunny to mostly sunny becoming cloudy
Precipitation: 0%-slight chance of snow during the day, Snow/wintry precip at night
Temperatures
High: Mid 20’s to low 30’s
Low: Mid to upper 20’s inland and along the coast, mid teens across the north
UV Index: 2-3/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:53am
Sunset: 5:28pm
ThursdaySky: Cloudy
Precipitation: Rain/Mix/Snow
Temperatures
High: Mid to upper 30’s inland and along the coast, low 30’s across the north
Low: Mid 20’s to low 30’s inland and along the coast, low 20’s across the north
UV Index: 1-2/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 6:52am
Sunset: 5:29pm
FridaySky: Partly sunny to mostly cloudy
Precipitation: 0%-slight chance during the day, 30% chance of snow showers at night
Temperatures
High: Upper 30’s to low 40’s
Low: Mid 20’s to low 30’s inland and along the coast, low 20’s across the north
UV Index: 2/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 6:51am
Sunset: 5:30pm
Full Moon: 6:54pm
Monday Surface Analysis
Tuesday Surface Analysis
Wednesday Surface Analysis
Thursday Surface Analysis
Friday Surface
Total Precipitation Monday - Friday
Total Precipitation Sunday - Sunday
Wednesday’s Winter Storm
Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) ForecastsRaritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy HookWater Temperature: 34°F
MondayWind:
Seas:
Surf (Ocean):
Monday NightWind: NW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-2 feet
TuesdayWind: NW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-2 feet
Tuesday NightWind: N 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-2 feet
WednesdayWind: NE 5-10 knots becoming E in the afternoon
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-2 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: E 5-10 knots becoming NE 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots after midnight
Seas: 1 foot or less building to 2 feet after midnight, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feetThursdayWind: N 10-15 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean): 2-4 feet
Thursday NightWind: W 10-15 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean): 3-6 feet
FridayWind: SW 10-15 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean): 2-5 feet
Friday NightWind: W 5-10 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean): 2-5 feet
Sandy Hook Tides (Bay) Sandy Hook Tides 
Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NYWater Temperature: 34°F
Monday MorningWinds:
Seas:
Surf: 1-2 feet
Monday AfternoonWinds: WNW 11 to 15 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Tuesday MorningWinds: NW 9 to 12 knots
Seas: ESE 1 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Tuesday AfternoonWinds: WNW 9 to 13 knots
Seas: SE 1 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Wednesday MorningWinds: NNE 8 to 11 knots
Seas: ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Wednesday AfternoonWinds: E 5 to 7 knots
Seas: ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 16 to 21 knots
Seas: ESE 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NE 20 to 27 knots
Seas: ESE 5 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 3-6 feetFriday MorningWinds: WNW 12 to 16 knots
Seas: ESE 4 feet at 10 seconds
Surf: 2-5 feet
Friday AfternoonWinds: WSW 13 to 18 knots
Seas: ESE 3 feet at 10 seconds
Surf: 2-5 feet
Coney Island, NY Tides Coney Island Tides
Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat InletWater Temperature: 37°F
Monday MorningWinds:
Seas:
Surf: 1-2 feet
Monday AfternoonWinds: WNW 12 to 16 knots
Seas: ESE 1 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Tuesday MorningWinds: NW 8 to 11 knots
Seas: ESE 1 feet at 10 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Tuesday AfternoonWinds: WNW 9 to 12 knots
Seas: ESE 1 feet at 10 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Wednesday MorningWinds: N 7 to 9 knots
Seas: ESE 1 feet at 10 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Wednesday AfternoonWinds: ENE 6 to 8 knots
Seas: ESE 1 feet at 10 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 15 to 21 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNE 21 to 28 knots
Seas: ESE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 3-6 feetFriday MorningWinds: W 12 to 16 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf: 2-5 feet
Friday AfternoonWinds: WSW 12 to 16 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf: 2-5 feet
Manasquan Inlet Tides Manasquan Inlet Tides
Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)Water Temperature: 31°F
MondayWind:
Seas:
Surf: 0-1 feet
Monday NightWind: NW 7-9 knots
Seas: 2 feet subsiding to 1 foot or less
Surf: 1 foot
TuesdayWind: NW 6-11 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Tuesday NightWind: NW 7-10 knots becoming N after midnight
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
WednesdayWind: NNE 7-10 knots becoming E in the afternoon
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: NE 9-14 knots increasing to 16-21 knots with gusts to 29 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feetThursday
HAZARDOUS
GALE WARNING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: NNE 22-26 knots with gusts to 36 knots
Seas: 1 foot
Surf: 0-1 feetThursday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: N 15-18 knots becoming W 10-13 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas: 1 foot
Surf: 0-1 feetFridayWind: WSW 5-7 knots
Seas: 1 foot
Surf: 0-1 feet
Friday NightWind: WSW 5-7 knots
Seas: 1 foot
Surf: 0-1 feet
Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) TidesBarnegat Bay Tides
Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)Water Temperature: 38°F
Monday MorningWinds:
Seas:
Surf: 1-2 feet
Monday AfternoonWinds: NW 13 to 17 knots
Seas: NNW 2 feet at 3 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Tuesday MorningWinds: NNW 10 to 13 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Tuesday AfternoonWinds: NW 11 to 15 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Wednesday MorningWinds: NNE 12 to 16 knots
Seas: ENE 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Wednesday AfternoonWinds: ENE 9 to 13 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NE 21 to 28 knots
Seas: E 5 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 3-6 feetThursday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
GALE WARNING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNE 23 to 32 knots
Seas: ESE 8 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 5-10 feetFriday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: W 14 to 19 knots
Seas: ESE 5 feet at 10 seconds
Surf: 4-8 feet
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WSW 16 to 21 knots
Seas: ESE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 3-6 feetCape May (Ocean) Tides Cape May Tides
Delaware BayWater Temperature: 32°F-36°F
MondayWind:
Seas:
Surf: 1-2 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind: NW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots diminishing to 5-10 knots late then increasing again to 10-15 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet, Light freezing spray
Surf: 1-2 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind: NW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet, Light freezing spray
Surf: 1-2 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind: N 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet, Light freezing spray
Surf: 1-2 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind: NE 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet, Light freezing spray in the morning
Surf: 1-2 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: NE 15-20 knots increasing to 20-25 knots with gusts to 35 knots after midnight
Seas: 2-4 feet, building to 4-6 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf: 1-2 feet
Thursday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: N 20-25 knots becoming NW in the evening
Seas: 4-7 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf: 2-4 feet
Thursday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: W 15-20 knots
Seas: 3-5 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf: 1-3 feetFridayWind: SW 5-10 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Friday NightWind: W 5-10 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) TidesDelaware River Tides
Offshore WatersMidshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)Water Temperature: 46°F
Monday MorningWinds:
Seas:
Monday AfternoonWinds:
Seas:
Tuesday MorningWinds: NW 12 to 16 knots
Seas: NNW 2 feet at 4 seconds
Tuesday AfternoonWinds: NW 13 to 18 knots
Seas: NW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Wednesday Morning[/b
Winds: NNE 12 to 16 knots
Seas: NE 3 feet at 4 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 10 to 13 knots
Seas: NE 3 feet at 4 seconds
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 18 to 25 knots
Seas: E 6 feet at 6 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
GALE WARNING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NE 26 to 35 knots
Seas: ESE 10 feet at 8 seconds
Friday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 21 to 29 knots
Seas: ESE 11 feet at 10 seconds
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 17 to 23 knots
Seas: SE 8 feet at 10 seconds
Sea Surface Temperatures
Surface
20 Meters (≈65 feet)
NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop
NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop
Ocean Currents
Surface
20 Meters (≈65 feet)
Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution! 
*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations. Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only. Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling. Every boat and captain has different operating values. You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]
*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)
