Author Topic: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekend Edition: Feb 22-23, 2014  (Read 1153 times)

Offline Pfishingruven

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This weekend looks to be the most settled in some time, despite an active weather pattern. Rain and thunderstorms will move out during the overnight, with clearing skies.  Lingering flooding is possible, especially along rivers and streams and with snow melt occurring from the warmer temperatures. Saturday will be dry with sunny skies and mild temperatures in the upper 40’s to upper 50’s. Sunday will bring a chance of scattered showers during the day, however there should be more sun than clouds with again upper 40’s to upper 50’s. Sunday Night looks like the highest chances of showers becoming snow showers. These will be more widely scattered or widespread. Organized precipitation will not begin until later Sunday Night with snow after midnight or so. Lows overnight will be in the upper 20’s to upper 30’s. Water conditions will improve into Saturday with the potential of some gustier winds Saturday Afternoon and then subsiding for Sunday again before picking up on Sunday Night into Monday. Conditions look to remain below SCA criteria inshore. Offshore could see borderline winds and seas. Surf and beach conditions look good to ok, with some gustier winds on Saturday Afternoon, but surf will remain 1-3 feet or so. Water temperatures have increased a few degrees, now with inshore waters in the upper 30’s to low 40’s. Offshore waters are mostly unchanged in the upper 40’s still. UV Index will range from Low to Moderate at 1-4/15.

A warm front will gradually lift northward across much of the area Friday, followed by a strong cold front moving through the region later Friday. Weak high pressure will build to the south of the area tonight before another cold front crosses the area later Saturday Night and Sunday Morning. A weak low will develop Sunday Night along the front as it tracks to the east. High pressure across the Northern Plains will then extend toward the Mid Atlantic into early next week. Low pressure, however, may develop along a front to the south on Tuesday and Wednesday. A few cold fronts may then move through the area, one arriving later Wednesday and another on later Thursday.

Next week will return back to an unsettled weather pattern with Arctic Air moving in again around midweek. Precipitation chances are possible Tuesday and Wednesday, including potential snow. Snow could return again late in the week or into the weekend. Water, surf and beach conditions will be cautious on Monday and then again midweek and possibly late week. This will be a developing situation into the start of the week.

Have a great weekend!

Saturday
Sky:  Sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:     Low to upper 50’s inland and along the coast, upper 40’s across the north
Low:     Mid to upper 30’s inland and along the coast, upper 20’s across the north
UV Index:  2-4/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:40am
Sunset: 5:39pm
Last Qtr: 12:16pm


Sunday
Sky:  Partly sunny to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  20%-40% chance of rain before midnight/snow showers after midnight
Temperatures
High:     Low to upper 50’s inland and along the coast, upper 40’s across the north
Low:     Mid to upper 20’s inland, low 30’s along the coast, low 20’s across the north
UV Index:  1-3/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:39am
Sunset: 5:40pm


Friday Night Surface Analysis



Saturday Surface Analysis



Sunday Surface Analysis



Friday – Monday Precipitation Total



 Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts
Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  37°F
Saturday
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots increasing 10-15 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Saturday Night
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots  
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Sunday
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots  
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Sunday Night
Wind:  SW 5 knots becoming NW after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet

Sandy Hook (Bay) Tides

Sandy Hook Tides




Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  37°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: WSW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WSW 15 to 21 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet

Sunday Morning
Winds: W 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: SW 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  37°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: WSW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  SSE 1 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SW 15 to 21 knots
Seas:  SSE 1 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet

Sunday Morning
Winds: W 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  SSE 1 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  SSE 1 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay at Island Beach State Park
Water Temperature:  38°F
Saturday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SW 7-10 knots increasing to 11-14 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Saturday Night
Wind:  SW 8-11 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Sunday
Wind:  WSW 8-10 knots becoming SSW in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Sunday Night
Wind:  SSE 6-9 knots becoming N 10-13 knots after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides
   
Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  48°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: WSW 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet

Sunday Morning
Winds: SW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: SW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides

Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  34°F-41°F
Saturday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot

Saturday Night
Wind:  SW 10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Sunday
Wind:  SW 10 knots becoming SE in the afternoon
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Sunday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SW 10-15 knots with gusts to 25 knots after midnight
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet


Delaware Bay (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware Bay Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  48°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: W 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  S 5 feet at 8 seconds
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  S 5 feet at 7 seconds

Sunday Morning
Winds: W 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 7 seconds
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: SW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperatures 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)








Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!


*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out!

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)
« Last Edit: February 21, 2014, 11:44:57 AM by Pfishingruven »


 

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