A roller coaster of a week for weather and water conditions, right on par with the way this Winter has been going. Monday will start off dry, with snow developing late Monday Night/Early Tuesday Morning, lasting through mid Tuesday Afternoon. It will start off as snow statewide and could change over to a mix/rain/freezing rain during the day. Snow accumulations will range from less than an inch to 4 inches the farther north you go. This will clear out for Tuesday Night. Wednesday will return rain chances with possible freezing rain across the north/northwest. This will again clear out for Wednesday Night and be clear on Thursday before rain chances return for Thursday Night and Friday. With a heft snowpack across most of the state, rivers still with ice and this influx of precipitation this week, followed by warmer temperatures this week, flooding will be a major concern. River, small stream, localized and flash flooding is all likely this week. Temperatures will start off cold in the 20’s and 30’s increasing to the 40’s and 50’s by the middle to late week. Unfortunately, the mild temperatures will not last that long, but long term looks like the potential for a pattern change (warming trend). Water, surf and beach conditions will vary all week. Monday Morning, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday Night and Friday all have potential Cautious to Hazardous Conditions with Small Craft Advisories due to gusty winds causing elevated seas. Water temperatures are steady in the 30’s for inshore waters with mid to upper 40’s offshore. UV Index will vary from Low to Moderate this week.
Low pressure and a secondary cold front moving southeastward from the Mid-Atlantic States will be followed by Canadian High Pressure arriving on Monday. Low pressure over the Upper Ohio Valley Monday Evening redevelops over Long Island Tuesday Morning. This is followed by an East Coast Cold Frontal Passage Midday Wednesday and then a ridge of high pressure Thursday. A warm front passes through the region on Friday. A complex frontal system appears to be setting up for the Mid-Atlantic States next weekend.
The weekend looks like precipitation could return, including the possibility of snow. Temperatures will be average again and water, surf and beach conditions could be Cautious again, with passing, unsettled weather fronts and systems.
Have a great week!
Monday Sky: Sunny becoming cloudy
Precipitation: 0%-slight chance during the day, Snow late overnight/early morning hours (1-4 inches increasing to the west and north)
Temperatures
High: Low 30’s
Low: Mid 20’s inland, upper 20’s along the coast, low 20’s across the north
UV Index: 2-3/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:47am
Sunset: 5:34pm
Tuesday Sky: Cloudy becoming mostly clear
Precipitation: Snow/Mix/Rain during the day (through mid afternoon), 0%-slight chance at night, Fog across northern/northwestern areas
Temperatures
High: Mid to upper 40’s inland and along the coast, upper 30’s across the north
Low: Low 30’s inland, Mid to upper teens along the coast, low 20’s across the north
UV Index: 1-3/15 (Low - Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:46am
Sunset: 5:35pm
First Qtr: 10:40pm
Wednesday Sky: Partly sunny becoming mostly clear
Precipitation: 30% chance of rain (freezing rain across the north) during the day, 0%-slight chance at night
Temperatures
High: Low 50’s inland and along the coast, mid 40’s across the north
Low: Upper 20’s to low 30’s inland and along the coast, low 20’s across the north
UV Index: 1-2/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 6:45am
Sunset: 5:36pm
ThursdaySky: Partly sunny becoming cloudy
Precipitation: 0%-slight chance during the day, 30%-60% chance of rain and/or patchy fog at night
Temperatures
High: Low to mid 40’s
Low: Mid 30’s to low 40’s
UV Index: 1-3/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:43am
Sunset: 5:37pm
FridaySky: Mostly cloudy to cloudy
Precipitation: 30%-60% chance of rain showers all day
Temperatures
High: Upper 40’s to low 50’s
Low: Upper 20’s to low 30’s inland, mid to upper 30’s along the coast, mid 20’s across the north
UV Index: 1-2/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 6:42am
Sunset: 5:38pm
Monday Surface AnalysisTuesday Surface AnalysisWednesday Surface AnalysisThursday Surface AnalysisFriday SurfaceTotal Precipitation Monday - FridayTotal Precipitation Sunday - SundayMonday – Tuesday SnowCoastal Waters (out to 20nm) ForecastsRaritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy HookWater Temperature: 34°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
Wind: NW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots, diminishing 5-10 knots in the afternoon
Seas: 1-2 feet in the morning subsiding 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-2 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind: SE 5-10 knots increasing 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots after midnight
Seas: 1 foot or less, Visibility less than 1 nm
Surf (Ocean): 1-2 feetTuesdayWind: S 10-15 knots becoming W in the afternoon
Seas: 1-2 feet, Visibility less than 1 nm increasing to 1-3 nm in the afternoon
Surf (Ocean): 1-2 feet
Tuesday NightWind: SW 5-10 knots becoming S after midnight
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-2 feet
WednesdayWind: S 10 knots becoming W in the afternoon
Seas: 1 foot or less building to 1-2 feet in the afternoon, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean): 1-2 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind: W 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots, diminishing 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas: 1-2 feet diminishing to 1 foot or less after midnight
Surf (Ocean): 1-2 feetThursdayWind: W 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-2 feet
Thursday NightWind: S 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less, Patchy fog, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean): 1-2 feet
FridayWind: S 10-15 knots becoming W in the afternoon
Seas: 1-2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean): 2-5 feet
Friday NightWind: NW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean): 2-5 feet
Sandy Hook Tides (Bay) Sandy Hook Tides Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NYWater Temperature: 34°F
Monday MorningWinds: NW 12 to 17 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Monday AfternoonWinds: NW 7 to 9 knots
Seas: ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: S 17 to 23 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 20 to 27 knots
Seas: SSE 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: SSW 13 to 18 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WSW 14 to 19 knots
Seas: SSE 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feetThursday MorningWinds: WNW 9 to 12 knots
Seas: SSE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Thursday AfternoonWinds: SW 5 to 7 knots
Seas: SSE 1 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 20 to 27 knots
Seas: SSE 5 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 2-5 feet
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 18 to 24 knots
Seas: SSE 5 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 2-5 feetConey Island, NY Tides Coney Island TidesSandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat InletWater Temperature: 36°F
Monday MorningWinds: NW 13 to 18 knots
Seas: ESE 1 feet at 10 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Monday AfternoonWinds: NW 8 to 11 knots
Seas: ESE 1 feet at 10 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: S 16 to 21 knots
Seas: SSE 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 20 to 27 knots
Seas: SSE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SSW 14 to 19 knots
Seas: S 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WSW 14 to 19 knots
Seas: SSE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feetThursday MorningWinds: WNW 7 to 10 knots
Seas: ESE 1 feet at 12 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Thursday AfternoonWinds: SSW 6 to 8 knots
Seas: ESE 1 feet at 12 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 20 to 27 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 17 to 22 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feetManasquan Inlet Tides Manasquan Inlet TidesBarnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)Water Temperature: 32°F
MondayWind: NW 11-14 knots decreasing to 6-9 knots in the afternoon
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Monday NightWind: Variable winds less than 5 knots becoming S 5-9 knots in the evening
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 1 foot
TuesdayWind: NW 11-15 knots becoming W in the afternoon with gusts to 21 knots
Seas: 1 foot
Surf: 0-1 feet
Tuesday NightWind: WSW 5-7 knots becoming S after midnight
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
WednesdayWind: S 9-12 knots becoming W in the afternoon
Seas: 1 foot
Surf: 0-1 feet
Wednesday NightWind: WNW 7-12 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Thursday Wind: Variable 5 knots or less
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Thursday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind: S 6-9 knots increasing to 12-15 knots after midnight with gusts to 21 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feetFridayWind: S 10-15 knots becoming W in the afternoon
Seas: 1 foot
Surf: 0-1 feet
Friday NightWind: NW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) TidesBarnegat Bay TidesBarnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)Water Temperature: 38°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 16 to 21 knots
Seas: NNW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feetMonday AfternoonWinds: NNW 10 to 14 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 16 to 21 knots
Seas: SSE 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 18 to 25 knots
Seas: SSE 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 18 to 25 knots
Seas: S 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: W 15 to 20 knots
Seas: SSE 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feetThursday MorningWinds: NNW 3 to 4 knot
Thursday AfternoonWinds: SSE 9 to 12 knots
Seas: ESE 1 feet at 11 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Friday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 23 to 31 knots
Seas: S 6 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 2-5 feet
Friday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 21 to 29 knots
Seas: SSE 6 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 2-5 feetCape May (Ocean) Tides Cape May TidesDelaware BayWater Temperature: 32°F-38°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
Wind: NW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots becoming N 5-10 knots in the afternoon
Seas: 2-3 feet, Light freezing spray
Surf: 1-2 feetMonday NightWind: S 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less than 1-2 feet, Visibility 1 nm or less
Surf: 1 foot
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind: W 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots, diminishing 5-10 knots late
Seas: 2-3 feet, Visibility 1 nm or less increasing to 1-3 nm
Surf: 1-2 feetTuesday NightWind: S 5 knots becoming 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf: 1 foot
WednesdayWind: S 10-15 knots becoming W in the afternoon
Seas: 2-3 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf: 1-2 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind: NW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feetThursdayWind: N 5 knots becoming SE afternoon
Seas: 2-4 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Thursday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: S 10-15 increasing to 15-20 knots after midnight
Seas: 2-4 feet
Surf: 1-2 feetFriday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: SW 15-20 knots becoming 5-10 knots in the afternoon
Seas: 2-3 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf: 1-2 feetFriday NightWind: NW 5-10 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf: 1-2 feet
Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) TidesDelaware River TidesOffshore WatersMidshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)Water Temperature: 47°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 16 to 22 knots
Seas: NW 5 feet at 5 secondsMonday AfternoonWinds: NNW 13 to 17 knots
Seas: NNW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: S 17 to 23 knots
Seas: S 4 feet at 5 secondsTuesday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 24 to 32 knots
Seas: SW 7 feet at 6 secondsWednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 19 to 26 knots
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 5 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 18 to 25 knots
Seas: SSW 7 feet at 7 seconds
Thursday Morning
Winds: WNW 12 to 16 knots
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 6 secondsThursday AfternoonWinds: WSW 7 to 9 knots
Seas: ESE 3 feet at 12 seconds
Friday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 24 to 32 knots
Seas: SSW 9 feet at 7 seconds
Friday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 27 to 36 knots
Seas: SSW 11 feet at 8 seconds Sea Surface TemperaturesSurface20 Meters (≈65 feet)NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day LoopNWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day LoopOcean CurrentsSurface20 Meters (≈65 feet) Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution! *****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations. Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only. Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling. Every boat and captain has different operating values. You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]
*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)