NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Mar 31-Apr 4,2014

[Pfishingruven]

A wet week in the forecast with a poor start and end for water conditions. Rain showers will continue through Monday Night before clearing out. Monday Night through Tuesday Night look mostly clear, however northern areas could see some rain showers Tuesday Night. Wednesday will see a return of showers clearing out for Wednesday Night before returning for Thursday and Friday. Despite all of the rain in the forecast, it looks like less than 1.5 inches of rain for the entire week. This will equate to mostly scattered showers with some occasional widespread rain this week. Clouds will be mixed with sun and the week won’t be an entire wash out! Temperatures will be seasonable to even above average. It will be warm for us, so used to subfreezing temperatures since Fall. Highs will be in the 50’s and 60’s most of the week, with some 40’s and lows will be in the 30’s and 40’s, even some overnight 50’s. Flooding could be an issue as well, but hopefully showers will not be heavy enough to trigger any major events, unlike this weekend. A couple of days should allow rivers to return to normal and the ground to dry out some. Water conditions will be Hazardous to Cautious on Monday, clearing for Tuesday through Thursday, returning to Cautious for some areas on Friday and then Hazardous to Cautious on Saturday. Gale Warnings are likely to stay in place for areas on Monday. Surf and beach conditions will echo water conditions, with Cautious conditions on Monday with gusty winds, rough surf and wave heights 2-5 feet. Tuesday through the end of the week should see improving conditions before deteriorating Friday Night into Saturday. Monday could also see some minor coastal flooding and above normal tides. Water temperatures are in the upper 30’s to mid 40’s for all areas, with temperatures slowly warming the last few days. This week’s warmer temperatures could see bigger increases in temperatures in rivers, bays and even surf waters. UV Index will be Low to High with 2-6/15 likely this week.
    
A low pressure system east of NJ will slowly drift offshore Sunday Night. A high pressure system will then build in for Monday Night and Tuesday. Another low pressure system will track through the Great Lakes and Eastern Canada with its associated cold front passing across the area early Wednesday. The front is then forecast to stall just south of the area the rest of the week. Another low pressure system emerging from the Rockies should then move through the Great Lakes on Saturday with its cold front passing through the region later in the day. A high pressure system should then start building east on Sunday!

The weekend will start with chances of showers on Saturday clearing for Saturday Night and Sunday. Temperatures will be in the 50’s with 30’s and 40’s overnight. Water, surf and beach conditions look Cautious to Hazardous on Saturday improving for Sunday.

Have a great week and thanks for reading! Looking forward to the this weekend!!

Monday
Sky:  Cloudy then mostly clear
Precipitation:  Rain and snow/sleet chances across the north during the day, 0%-slight chance at night
Temperatures
High:   Low to upper 50’s
Low:   Low 30’s inland, mid 30’s along the coast, mid 20’s across the north
UV Index:  4-6/15 (Moderate-High)
Sunrise: 6:43am
Sunset: 7:19pm


Tuesday
Sky:  Mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance during the day, 20% chance of showers across the north at night
Temperatures
High:   Upper 50’s to low 60’s inland, low 50’s along the coast, low 60’s across the north
Low:   Mid 30’s to low 40’s
UV Index:  5-6/15 (Moderate-High)
Sunrise: 6:41am
Sunset: 7:20pm


Wednesday
Sky:   Partly sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  20%-40% chance of showers during the day, 0%-slight chance at night
Temperatures
High:   Upper 50’s to mid 60’s  
Low:   Upper 30’s to low 40’s  
UV Index:  3-6/15 (Low-High)
Sunrise: 6:40am
Sunset: 7:21pm


Thursday
Sky:  Mostly cloudy becoming cloudy
Precipitation:  30% chance of showers during the day, 50%-60% chance of showers at night
Temperatures
High:   Low 50’s to mid 60’s
Low:   Mid 30’s to low 40’s
UV Index:  4-6/15 (Moderate-High)
Sunrise: 6:38am
Sunset: 7:22pm


Friday
Sky:  Mostly cloudy becoming cloudy
Precipitation:  40% chance of showers during the day , 60%-70% chance of showers at night
Temperatures
High:   Mid to upper 50’s
Low:   Upper 30’s to mid 40’s
UV Index:  3-6/15 (Moderate-High)
Sunrise: 6:36am
Sunset: 7:23pm


Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Sunday - Sunday



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  43°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NW 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  N 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots diminishing to 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet subsiding to 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots becoming SW in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  S 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots becoming NE in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  SW 5 knots becoming NW after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Thursday
Wind:  NE 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  NE 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Friday
Wind:  E 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  E 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                            



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  43°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNW 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  SE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNW 16 to 21 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: NNW 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 5 to 6 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: NW 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: NW 9 to 13 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: N 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: NNE 2 to 3 knots
Seas:  E 1 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: ENE 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  ENE 2 feet at 3 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: E 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  39°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNW 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  ESE 5 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  2-5 feet
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NNW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: NNW 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: S 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: NW 4 to 6 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: NNW 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: N 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: NE 3 to 5 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 15 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: ENE 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 14 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: E 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  ENE 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  44°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NNW 18-21 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  N 10-14
Seas:  2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Tuesday
Wind:  N 6-8 knots becoming SE in the afternoon
Seas:  2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Tuesday Night
Wind:  S 5-7 knots
Seas:  2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Wednesday
Wind:  Variable winds 5 knots or less
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  Variable winds 5 knots or less
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday
Wind:  NE 6 knots becoming variable and less than 5 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  NE 6 knots becoming variable and less than 5 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday
Wind:  ENE 7 knots
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  ENE 7 knots
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  40°F
Monday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNW 23 to 31 knots
Seas:  N 5 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-5 feet
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 18 to 24 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: N 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: S 3 to 5 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: NW 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet   
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 2 to 2 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: NE 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: NE 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: ENE 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  ENE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: ENE 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  41°F-45°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NW 20-25 knots with gusts to 35 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  1-3 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NW 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots becoming N 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Tuesday
Wind: NE 5-10 knots becoming SE in the afternoon
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Tuesday Night
Wind:  S 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Wednesday
Wind:  NW 5 knots becoming NE in the afternoon
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Wednesday Night
Wind:  NE 5 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Thursday
Wind:  E 5 knots increasing to 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  E 5 knots increasing to 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday
Wind:  E 10-15 knots diminishing to 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas:  2-3 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  E 10-15 knots diminishing to 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas:  2-3 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  1-2 feet

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  44°F
Monday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: N 22 to 30 knots
Seas:  NNE 9 feet at 6 seconds
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNW 20 to 27 knots
Seas:  NNE 8 feet at 7 seconds
Tuesday Morning
Winds: N 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  E 6 feet at 9 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 3 to 4 knots
Seas:  ENE 5 feet at 10 seconds
Wednesday Morning
Winds: WSW 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  ENE 3 feet at 10 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: NW 9 to 13 knots
Seas:  ENE 3 feet at 10 seconds
Thursday Morning
Winds: NNE 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  ENE 3 feet at 10 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: NE 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  ENE 3 feet at 10 seconds
Friday Morning
Winds: ENE 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  ENE 3 feet at 10 seconds
Friday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  ENE 3 feet at 10 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)


 

Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
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*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)