Author Topic: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Aug 4-8, 2014  (Read 1307 times)

Offline Pfishingruven

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Another mixed week with some far reaching effects of Tropical Storm Bertha. Showers, rain and thunderstorms are likely through late Wednesday before clearing out for Thursday and Friday. Storms could be generally strong to severe with heavy rains, dangerous lightning and damaging winds. Storms will be mainly scattered with widely scattered to widespread more likely on Wednesday. These chances are generally low this week for storms, so some may see storms and others nothing. High temperatures will be in the 70’s and 80’s with moderate to high humidity through the end of the week. Overnight lows will be in the 60’s and low 70’s. Water conditions will be good this week. Winds will be low to moderate, at most and varying from north and west before shifting to the east at the end of the week. Bertha will bring a long period swell on Tuesday and Wednesday and even into Thursday at 10-15 seconds. Offshore could see some higher waves, but closer or beyond the 20 nm mark based on the current track. Surf and beach conditions will be good to ok. Surf will begin to pick up on Tuesday with an extended period swell, rougher surf, wave heights to 3-5 even 4-6 feet and High Rip Current Risks. Surf could remain rougher and dangerous through the end of the week. Water temperatures are in the 60’s and 70’s. UV Index will be High to Very High.

An upper level low over Western Pennsylvania on Sunday will lift northeast into New England Sunday Night. A frontal boundary will remain off the East Coast early this week. Tropical Storm Bertha is forecast t track northward off the Southeast Coast Monday before curving to the northeast on Tuesday and remain well off the coast. A cold front will move through the region Wednesday. The front will stall just south of the area late in the week into next weekend as high pressure attempts to build in from the Great Lakes.


Tropical Storm Bertha is forecast to remain well off the coast, likely becoming a Hurricane between the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast. Well offshore will see seas to 15-20 feet with a long period swell of 10-15 seconds. For the immediate coastal waters and midshore to 20 nm offshore, the effects look to be a long period swell on Tuesday, Wednesday and even Thursday. Some higher seas offshore will be possible and surf along the coast will be rougher and increasing to 3-5 feet with High Risk of Rip Currents.

The weekend looks dry with highs in the upper 70’s and low 80’s with overnight lows in the low to mid 60’s with low to moderate humidity. Water, surf and beach conditions look good for the weekend, right now.

Have a great week and thanks for reading!

Monday
Sky:  Partly to mostly sunny becoming partly to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-30% chance of showers and/or thunderstorms all day
Temperatures
High:   Low to mid 80’s inland, mid 70’s along the coast
Low:   Upper 60’s to low 70’s inland and along the coast with low 60’s across the north
UV Index:  7-8/15 (High-Very High)
Sunrise: 5:57am
Sunset: 8:08pm


Tuesday
Sky:  Partly to mostly sunny becoming partly to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-40% chance of showers and/or thunderstorms
Temperatures
High:   Mid to upper 80’s inland, low 80’s along the coast
Low:   Upper 60’s to low 70’s inland and along the coast with low 60’s across the north
UV Index:  8-9/15 (Very High)
Sunrise: 5:58am
Sunset: 8:07pm


Wednesday
Sky:   Partly to mostly sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  30%-50% chance of showers and/or thunderstorms
Temperatures
High:   Low to upper 80’s
Low:   Mid to upper 60’s inland and along the coast with low 60’s across the north
UV Index:  7-8/15 (High-Very High)
Sunrise: 5:59am
Sunset: 8:05pm


Thursday
Sky:  Mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Low to mid 80’s inland, upper 70’s along the coast
Low:   Low 60’s inland, mid to upper 60’s along the coast, mid to upper 50’s across the north
UV Index:  7-9/15 (High-Very High)
Sunrise: 6:00am
Sunset: 8:04pm


Friday
Sky:  Mostly sunny to sunny becoming partly to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Low 80’s inland, mid to upper 70’s along the coast
Low:   Low 60’s inland, mid to upper 60’s along the coast, mid to upper 50’s across the north
UV Index:  7-9/15 (High-Very High)
Sunrise: 6:01am
Sunset: 8:03pm


Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Sunday - Sunday



Tropical Storm Bertha





Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  75°F
Monday
Wind:   W 5 knots becoming S in the afternoon
Seas:    1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  S 5-10 knots becoming W after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  N 5 knots becoming SE in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots becoming W after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  W 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  W 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Thursday
Wind:  NW 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  NW 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday
Wind:  N 5 knots becoming W in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  W 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                         



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  75°F
Monday Morning
Winds: W 4 to 6 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: WNW 2 to 3 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 12 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: S 3 to 5 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: N 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 2 to 3 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: N 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: NNW 3 to 4 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: N 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: N 2 to 2 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  69°F
Monday Morning
Winds: W 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: S 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: WNW 3 to 5 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 12 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: SSE 3 to 5 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: NNW 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 1 to 1 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: N 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: N 4 to 6 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: N 8 to 10 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: NNE 3 to 4 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  73°F
Monday
Wind:  Variable winds less than 5 knots becoming S 5-7 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  S 5-7 knots becoming variable and less than 5 knots after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  Variable winds less than 5 knots becoming ESE 6 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  Variable winds 5 knots or less
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  WNW 6 knots becoming WSW in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  Variable winds 5 knots or less
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday
Wind:  Variable winds 5 knots or less
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  Variable winds 5 knots or less
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday
Wind:  N 5 knots becoming W in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  W 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  74°F
Monday Morning
Winds: WNW 4 to 6 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: S 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: NNW 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 12 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: SE 3 to 4 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: WSW 8 to 10 knots
Seas:  SE 4 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet   
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: NNW 9 to 13 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: NNW 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: N 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 2 to 3 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  73°F-76°F
Monday
Wind:  W 5 knots becoming S in the afternoon
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  S 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Tuesday
Wind:  E 5 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:   1 foot
Tuesday Night
Wind:  W 5 knots
Seas:   1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Wednesday
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Wednesday Night
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Thursday
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Thursday Night
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Friday
Wind:  N 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Friday Night
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  74°F
Monday Morning
Winds: WNW 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Monday Afternoon
Winds: SW 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Tuesday Morning
Winds: W 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 12 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: SW 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 11 seconds
Wednesday Morning
Winds: NNW 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  SSE 6 feet at 11 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: N 2 to 3 knots
Seas:  SSE 5 feet at 10 seconds
Thursday Morning
Winds: NNW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: N 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Friday Morning
Winds: N 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 10 seconds
Friday Afternoon
Winds: N 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 10 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)


 





Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!




*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)
« Last Edit: August 03, 2014, 11:33:53 PM by Pfishingruven »


 

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