NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Sept 8-12, 2014

[Pfishingruven]

Not the best week this week for weather and water conditions. Rain, showers and thunderstorms are possible all week. Monday Night, Tuesday and Thursday have the greatest chances of rain or thunderstorms. Skies will be a mix of clouds and sun. Highs will be in the 70’s and 80’s with overnight lows from the 50’s to 70’s. Humidity will be moderate to high with higher humidity returning towards the end of the week. Coastal Flooding is possible with the northeasterly flow as well. Minor flooding is possible at high tides through midweek, as wave heights will be 3-5 feet on the Delaware Bay and 5-8 feet on the ocean front. Water conditions are Cautious to Hazardous most of the week, with an occasional borderline day depending on location and time. Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday AM will see a northeasterly flow of gusty winds to 30 knots with seas 5-8 feet. Later Wednesday will see winds decrease, but seas could still be high into Thursday and then Friday winds will pick back up with seas following. NWS forecasts are on the higher side and cautious, while BW are coming in on the lower side. Surf and beach conditions will be Hazardous to Cautious as well most of the week, again with northeasterly, gusty winds to 30 knots, rough surf and wave heights pushing 5-8 feet or more. Rip Current Risk will be Moderate to High. Water temperatures are still in the mid to upper 70's for most locations. UV Index will vary from Low to High this week.

High pressure over New England will strengthen as it moves to the Canadian Maritimes Monday Night. Low pressure will be moving slowly northeast from the Coastal Carolinas and passing out to sea, east of the Mid Atlantic Coast Wednesday Night or Thursday. A cold front will cross the area from the Northwest late Thursday or Friday. Strong high pressure over the Plains States on Friday will build into the Northeast for the weekend.

There is another area off of Cape Verde being watched with a 30% chance of tropical development in the next 48 hours. This is something to watch over the next days to weeks.

Saturday could see some lower chances of showers and/or thunderstorms, however there will be a mix of sun and clouds and not a washout by any means. Showers should be early and dependent on when high pressure arrives from the center of the country. Sunday will be dry, again a mix of sun and clouds. Highs will be in the 60’s and 70’s with 50’s and 60’s overnight. Not quite Fall-like yet, but working that way. Water, surf and beach conditions are looking good to ok. Both days will see gustier winds around 15 knots with seas 2-3 feet. Sunday will be more borderline than Saturday and Offshore on Saturday will be borderline and Sunday Cautious with winds to 20 knots and seas 4-6 feet.

Have a great week, thanks for reading and sorry for the delay!

Monday
Sky:  Mostly sunny to mostly cloudy then mostly cloudy to cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-70% chance of showers and/or thunderstorms all day (greater chances are Central and Southern NJ and tonight)
Temperatures
High:   Mid to upper 70’s
Low:   Low 60’s inland, mid to upper 60’s along the coast, low to mid 50’s across the north
UV Index:  4-6/15 (Moderate-High)
Sunrise: 6:30am
Sunset: 7:18pm
Full Moon: 9:39pm


Tuesday
Sky:  Mostly cloudy to cloudy
Precipitation:  20%-70% chance of rain and/or thunderstorms all day
Temperatures
High:   Low to mid 70’s
Low:   Mid 60’s inland, mid to upper 60’s along the coast, mid 50’s across the north
UV Index:  3-5/15 (Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:31am
Sunset: 7:16pm


Wednesday
Sky:   Partly sunny to cloudy
Precipitation:  20%-30% chance of showers and/or thunderstorms all day
Temperatures
High:   Low to upper 70’s
Low:   Mid to upper 60’s inland and along the coast with low 60’s across the north
UV Index:  4-6/15 (Moderate-High)
Sunrise: 6:32am
Sunset: 7:15pm


Thursday
Sky:  Partly sunny to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-50% chance of showers and/or thunderstorms all day
Temperatures
High:   Low to mid 80’s
Low:   Low 60’s inland, mid to upper 60’s along the coast, upper 50’s across the north
UV Index:  1-7/15 (Low-High)
Sunrise: 6:33am
Sunset: 7:13pm


Friday
Sky:  Partly sunny to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-30% chance of showers and/or thunderstorms all day
Temperatures
High:   Mid to upper 70’s
Low:   Mid to upper 50’s inland, low to mid 60’s along the coast, low 50’s across the north
UV Index:  4-7/15 (Moderate-High)
Sunrise: 6:34am
Sunset: 7:12pm


Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Sunday - Sunday



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  74°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:   E 10-15 knots
Seas:    1 foot or less then 2-3 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  E 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  E 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NE 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  3-5 feet
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  E 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:   1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  SE 10 knots
Seas:  1 foot
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Thursday
Wind:  S 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  W 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Friday
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                          



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  74°F
Monday Morning

Monday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: E 15 to 25 knots
Seas:   4-7 feet
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: ENE 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: E 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  ESE 5 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  ESE 5 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 12 to 17 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: E 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: NNW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: NNW 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  70°F
Monday Morning

Monday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: E 10-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  E 4-6 feet then 5-8 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: E 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  ESE 5 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: E 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  E 6 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  5-7 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 17 to 22 knots
Seas:  E 6 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  4-6 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: ENE 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  E 6 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  4-6 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: E 2 to 3 knots
Seas:  E 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 9 to 13 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: NNW 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: NNW 8 to 10 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  77°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  E 16 knots with gusts to 22 knots
Seas:  2 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  E 14-18 knots with gusts to 24 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  E 14 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  ENE 14-18 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  ENE 14 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Wednesday Night
Wind:  E 9 knots becoming SE after midnight
Seas:  2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Thursday
Wind:  S 6-8 knots
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  SSW 5-9 knots becoming variable and less than 5 knots after midnight
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday
Wind:  NNW 6-8 knots becoming NNE in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  NNE 6-8 knots
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  75°F
Monday Morning

Monday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: E 20-25 knots with gusts to 30 knot
Seas:  E 4-6 feet then 5-8 feet at 7 seconds, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  4-6 feet
Tuesday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 18 to 24 knots
Seas:  E 7 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  4-6 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  E 6 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  4-6 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: N 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  E 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet   
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: ENE 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  E 5 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: NW 2 to 3 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: N 18 to 24 knots
Seas:  NNE 4 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: N 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  ENE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  78°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  E 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  E 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  3-5 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  E 15-20 knots diminishing to 10-15 knots by late morning with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  3-5 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:   2-4 foot
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NE 10-15 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:   3-5 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NE 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:   3-5 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  E 5-10 knots becoming SE after midnight
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  1 foot
Thursday Night
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots becoming W after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  1 foot
Friday
Wind:  N 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Friday Night
Wind:  N 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  74°F
Monday Morning

Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: E 15-25 knots
Seas:  E 6-7 feet at 7 seconds
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: E 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  E 6 feet at 8 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 22 to 30 knots
Seas:  E 8 feet at 7 seconds
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 19 to 25 knots
Seas:  E 7 feet at 8 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 19 to 26 knots
Seas:  E 7 feet at 8 seconds
Thursday Morning
Winds: ENE 4 to 6 knots
Seas:  E 5 feet at 8 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: SW 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  E 4 feet at 8 seconds
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: N 16 to 21 knots
Seas:  NW 5 feet at 5 seconds
Friday Afternoon
Winds: N 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  ENE 4 feet at 5 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)


 

Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!

*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)