Author Topic: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekend Edition: Oct 4-5, 2014  (Read 2360 times)

Offline Pfishingruven

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An unsettled weekend will bring rain and thunderstorms and cautious water conditions. Friday Night into Saturday day will bring chances of rain and thunderstorms with cloudy skies. Clouds will begin decreasing by Saturday Night, clearing out for Sunday. Sunday will be sunny with some clouds, but dry. Fall will make itself known this weekend. Saturday will have highs in the low to mid 70’s with mid 60’s across the north. After the cold front moves through, bringing cooler and drier air, lows for Saturday will be in the low 40’s with upper 30’s across the north. Sunday will have low 60’s with upper 50’s along the coast and overnight lows in the low to mid 40’s inland, low 50’s along the coast and upper 30’s again across the north. Humidity will be moderate and then low after the front passes through. Temperatures even off again throughout next week. Saturday will be breezy. Southern Counties along the Delaware Bay will have chances of some coastal flooding through Friday Night. Water conditions will be cautious to borderline all weekend, with Small Craft Advisories continuing into Saturday. By Sunday winds will settle some, but seas could still be running high. Even bays will feel these effects this weekend. It is a scout it out yourself weekend, if you want to get out. Surf and beach conditions will be ok to good. Winds will be gusty on Saturday and surf will be rough and higher around 3-6 feet settling to 2-4 on Sunday. Rip Current Risk will be High to Moderate. Water temperatures are still in the mid 60’s to low 70’s. Cooler overnight temperatures will start to affect the water and temperatures will drop for next week. UV Index will be Low to High at 0-6/15. UV Index will continue to drop off as the angle of the sun decreases.

High pressure along the East Coast will move offshore on Friday, allowing a cold front to move east through the Great Lakes and Deep South. This cold front will move through the region on Saturday. High pressure then builds in from the Northwest early next week before a cold front moves through midweek. High pressure will build into the region behind the front for the late week.

Next week will start off dry, then rain chances move in for Tuesday and Wednesday, clearing out for Thursday and Friday and hopefully into the weekend. Highs will be in the 60’s and 70’s with lows in the 40’s and 50’s. Water, surf and beach conditions look good for Monday, deteriorating for Tuesday and Wednesday with gusty winds and building seas; Cautious to Hazardous conditions are likely. Conditions will improve on Thursday and Friday, but seas could still run high and some gustier/borderline winds are possible.
The tropics are quiet. Still 2 months to go in the season.

Have a great weekend and thanks for reading!

Saturday
Sky:  Mostly cloudy then decreasing clouds to mostly clear overnight
Precipitation:  70%-90% chance of showers and thunderstorms during the day, 0%-slight chance at night
Temperatures
High:  Low to mid 70’s, mid 60’s across the north
Low:  Low 40’s inland, upper 40’s along the coast, upper 30’s across the north
UV Index:  0-3/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:55am
Sunset: 6:35pm


Sunday
Sky:  Sunny then mostly clear
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:  Upper 50’s to low 60’s
Low:  Low to mid 40’s inland, low to mid 50’s along the coast, upper 30’s across the north
UV Index:  4-6/15 (Moderate-High)
Sunrise: 6:56am
Sunset: 6:34pm


Friday Night Surface Analysis



Saturday Surface Analysis



Sunday Surface Analysis



Friday – Monday Precipitation Total



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts
Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  67°F
Saturday
Wind:  SE 10 knots becoming SW in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Saturday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  W 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):   2-4 feet

Sunday
Wind:  W 10-15 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Sunday Night
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Sandy Hook (Bay) Tides

Sandy Hook Tides




Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  67°F
Saturday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SE 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 11 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet

Saturday Afternoon
Winds: W 11 to 14 knots
Seas:  SE 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds: WNW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  67°F
Saturday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSE 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  E 5 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet

Saturday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  E 4 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds: WNW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay at Island Beach State Park
Water Temperature:  69°F
Saturday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  SSE 16-19 knots becoming W 10-13 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Saturday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  WNW 17-20 knots with gusts to 28 knots
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet

Sunday
Wind:  W 12 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Sunday Night
Wind:  WSW 8-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides
   
Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  70°F
Saturday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  E 5 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  3-6 feet
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WNW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  E 4 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  3-6 feet
Sunday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WNW 14 to 18 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Sunday Afternoon
Winds: W 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides

Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  69°F-73°F
Saturday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  S 15-20 knots becoming SW 10-15 knots late then W in the afternoon increasing to NW 15-20 knots late in the day
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Saturday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NW 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Sunday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  W 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots diminishing to around 10 knots by afternoon
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet

Sunday Night
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot

Delaware Bay (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware Bay Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  70°F
Saturday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSE 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  ENE 6 feet at 11 seconds
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  ENE 6 feet at 10 seconds
Sunday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  WNW 5 feet at 5 seconds

Sunday Afternoon
Winds: W 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  E 4 feet at 9 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperatures 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)








Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!



*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out!

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)


Offline Capt. Carl

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Re: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekend Edition: Oct 4-5, 2014
« Reply #1 on: October 04, 2014, 11:43:28 AM »
Hows the prelim forecast for nrxt weekkk fri and sat lookin like?
Capt. Carl DiMenna
100 Ton U.S.C.G Master


Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekend Edition: Oct 4-5, 2014
« Reply #2 on: October 04, 2014, 05:28:27 PM »
Hows the prelim forecast for nrxt weekkk fri and sat lookin like?

Not great nosmly, but it's still early. Winds 15-20 with gusts to 25, seas inshore 3-4 feet, offshore 4-6. This is a VERY prelim and early forecast.

Offline Capt. Carl

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Re: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekend Edition: Oct 4-5, 2014
« Reply #3 on: October 05, 2014, 09:51:29 AM »
Looks like she may be laying out nicely!
Capt. Carl DiMenna
100 Ton U.S.C.G Master


Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekend Edition: Oct 4-5, 2014
« Reply #4 on: October 05, 2014, 11:57:31 AM »
Looks like she may be laying out nicely!

Yes...

 

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