Author Topic: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Oct 20-24, 2014  (Read 1238 times)

Offline Pfishingruven

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After a dry day today, rain and shower chances move in on Tuesday through Thursday, clearing again for Friday. Low pressure will track off the coast, bringing another weak coastal storm. After an early taste of late Fall temperatures last night with freezing and frost, the rest of the week will be seasonable. Highs will be in the 50’s and 60’s with 30’s, 40’s and 50’s overnight. Water conditions will be borderline becoming cautious on Wednesday and lasting through the weekend possibly. Winds will be gustier and seas will be higher. Conditions don’t look as bad as last week, but could push in that direction. Surf and beach conditions will be ok. Winds will be gusty from the middle to the end of the week, with rougher surf and higher waves. Rip Current Risk will be Moderate to High. Water temperatures are steady in the 60’s still, but with cooler nights ahead, water temperatures could drop rather quickly. UV Index will be Low to Moderate.

Low pressure will pass off the Mid Atlantic Coast on Tuesday Night. The low is then expected to move slowly north and northeastward off of Cape Cod on Thursday Night and then in Nova Scotia on Friday. High pressure will then build into the region from the Southwest for Friday into Saturday. A cold front approaching from the Northwest will move into the area on Saturday Night with another area of high pressure following for Sunday and Monday.


The weekend looks dry and more sun than clouds at this point. Highs will be in the 60’s with lows in the 40’s and 50’s. Water, surf and beach conditions will be borderline to cautious with gustier winds and some higher seas. Not as bad as the end of the week, but not completely recovered.

The Atlantic Tropics have settled after major Hurricane Gonzalo made landfall and a direct hit on Bermuda. Gonzalo has raced off to the northeast, now affecting Ireland and the UK. There are two areas being watched, one in the Gulf and one in the East Atlantic. Ana is still out there northwest of Hawaii.

Have a great rest of the week, thanks for reading!

Monday
Sky:  Mostly sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-30% chance of showers at night
Temperatures
High:    Upper 50’s to low 60’s
Low:     Low 50’s inland, mid to upper 50’s along the coast, low 40’s across northern areas
UV Index:  3-4/15 (Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:12am
Sunset: 6:11pm


Tuesday
Sky:  Cloudy
Precipitation:  50%-70% chance of rain
Temperatures
High:   Low to upper 60’s
Low:   Low 50’s inland, mid 50’s along the coast, upper 40’s across northern areas
UV Index:  2-3/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:13am
Sunset: 6:09pm


Wednesday
Sky:   Cloudy
Precipitation:  60%-70% chance of rain
Temperatures
High:   Upper 50’s to low 60’s
Low:   Mid to upper 40’s inland and along the coast, Low 40’s across northern areas
UV Index:  1-2/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:14am
Sunset: 6:08pm


Thursday
Sky:  Cloudy becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  30%-60% chance of showers during the day, 0%-30% chance of showers at night
Temperatures
High:   Mid to upper 50’s
Low:   Mid to upper 40’s inland, low 50’s along the coast
UV Index:  3-4/15 (Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:15am
Sunset: 6:07pm
New Moon: 5:58pm


Friday
Sky:   Mostly to partly sunny becoming partly cloudy to mostly clear
Precipitation:  0% to slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Upper 50’s to low 60’s
Low:   Mid 40’s inland, low 50’s along the coast
UV Index:  4-5/15 (Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:16am
Sunset: 6:05pm


Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Sunday - Sunday



Atlantic Tropics



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  61°F
Tuesday
Wind:  S 5 knots becoming SE in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  NE 5 knots N 10 knots with gusts to 20 after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  N 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Friday
Wind:  W 10-15 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  W 10-15 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                          



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  61°F
Tuesday Morning
Winds: WSW 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: SSE 3 to 3 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: NNE 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: ESE 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: NW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: N 17 to 24 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Friday Morning
Winds: NW 11 to 14 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: NW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  63°F
Tuesday Morning
Winds: WSW 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  SSW 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 3 to 4 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: NNE 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: SE 2 to 3 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: NW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNW 18 to 24 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Friday Morning
Winds: NW 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: NW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  62°F
Tuesday
Wind:  WSW 6 knots becoming SSE in the morning
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  Variable winds less than 5 knots becoming N 5-7 knots after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  N 11-16 knots with gusts to 22 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Wednesday Night
Wind:  NW 14 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday
Wind:  NW 14 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NW 16 knots with gusts to 22 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NW 14-17 knots with gusts to 23 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Friday Night
Wind:  NW 13 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  65°F
Tuesday Morning
Winds: WSW 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: NW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet   
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NW 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 18 to 24 knots
Seas:  NW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 17 to 24 knots
Seas:  NW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  NNW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  NNW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet


Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temper ature:  63°F-66°F
Tuesday
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Tuesday Night
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  1 foot
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  N 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots, increasing to 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  2-3 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NW 20-25 knots diminishing to 15-20 knots after midnight
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NW 15-20 knots increasing to 20-25 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NW 20-25 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  W 15-20 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  W 15-20 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet


Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  66°F
Tuesday Morning
Winds: WSW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  SW 4 feet at 6 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: SW 4 to 6 knots
Seas:  SSW 3 feet at 6 seconds
Wednesday Morning
Winds: SE 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 10 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: S 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 10 seconds
Thursday Morning
Winds: NNW 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNW 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNW 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  E 5 feet at 9 seconds
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 15 to 21 knots
Seas:  E 4 feet at 9 seconds


Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)


 





Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!




*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)
« Last Edit: October 20, 2014, 09:40:36 PM by Pfishingruven »


 

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