Weather will be split, but water conditions will be hazardous as a moderate to strong Nor’Easter moves northeast offshore. Saturday will be cloudy with high chances of rain with those chances decreasing into the overnight. Sunday will be mostly sunny, clearing throughout the day. There is a slight chance of showers on Sunday with any lingering bands from the coastal low and these chances are mainly across the northern part of the state. The talk of snow for northern NJ has waned as the cold air will move in after the precipitation. However, a blast of cold air will move in with highs only in the 40’s and 50’s and lows in the 20’s to 40’s. Two low pressure systems will combine over the next two days, one being over the Ohio Valley and the other off the Carolina Coast. As these systems phase, a moderate to strong low pressure system will develop over the Atlantic. This Nor’Easter will stay well off the Jersey Coast and move northeast, however gusty winds, high seas, rough and high surf, minor beach erosion as well as minor coastal flooding and heavy rains will be possible on Saturday and windy into Sunday. Water and surf conditions will be cautious to hazardous with gale force winds to 40 knots possible. Seas will run 4-8 feet on average and surf will be rough at 4-8 feet as well with dangerous rip currents. Even the bays and rivers will see cautious conditions this weekend. Water temperatures are slowly falling in the upper 50’s to mid 60’s still. Southern and offshore waters are the warmest still. UV Index will be low to moderate. Remember, Daylight Savings Time ends on Sunday, so don’t forget to set your clocks back.
High pressure currently over the region will move to northern New England by Friday Morning. Low Pressure over Ohio will join with low pressure off the Carolina Coast and form a strong Nor’Easter southeast of Cape Cod by late Saturday moving northeast into the Canadian Maritimes by Sunday. Strong high pressure will then move into the Carolinas by the beginning of the week and then moves east and into the Central Atlantic around Wednesday.
Next week will start dry, with rain chances moving in around midweek. Highs will be in the 50’s and 60’s with lows in the 30’s and 40’s. Water, surf and beach conditions will be hazardous to cautious, slowly improving for later in the week.
Tropics are quiet in the Atlantic. The Pacific is still turning out systems with Tropical Storm Vance which will eventually move into Mexico.
Have a great weekend and thanks for reading!
SaturdaySky: Cloudy
Precipitation: 30%-80% chance of rain
Temperatures
High: Low to mid 50’s
Low: Low 40’s inland, Mid 40’s along the coast, Mid 30’s across the north
UV Index: 1-3/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:25am
Sunset: 5:55pm
SundaySky: Mostly sunny then mostly clear
Precipitation: 0%-20% chance of showers (mainly across the northern part of the state)
Temperatures
High: Upper 40’s to low 50’s
Low: Low 30’s inland, upper 30’s to low 40’s along the coast, upper 20’s across the north
UV Index: 1-3/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:26am
Sunset: 4:54pm
**Daylight Savings Time Ends (clocks back 1 hour)
Friday Night Surface Analysis
Saturday Surface Analysis
Sunday Surface Analysis
Friday – Monday Precipitation Total
Nor’Easter Track
Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) ForecastsRaritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy HookWater Temperature: 57°F
Saturday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: N 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean): 3-5 feet
Saturday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: N 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean): 3-5 feetSunday
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: NW 20-25 knots with gusts to 35 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf (Ocean): 3-5 feetSunday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: NW 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots diminishing to 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots after midnight
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean): 3-5 feetSandy Hook (Bay) TidesSandy Hook Tides
Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NYWater Temperature: 57°F
Saturday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NE 19 to 25 knots
Seas: E 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf (Ocean): 3-5 feet
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNE 19 to 25 knots
Seas: ESE 5 feet at 8 seconds
Surf (Ocean): 3-5 feetSunday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNW 21 to 28 knots
Seas: E 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf (Ocean): 3-5 feetSunday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 22 to 30 knots
Seas: NNW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf (Ocean): 3-5 feetConey Island, NY TidesConey Island Tides
Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat InletWater Temperature: 60°F
Saturday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 20 to 26 knots
Seas: E 6 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 4-7 feet
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNE 20 to 27 knots
Seas: E 7 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 4-7 feet
Sunday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 19 to 25 knots
Seas: ENE 5 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 4-7 feetSunday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 22 to 30 knots
Seas: ENE 5 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 4-7 feetManasquan Inlet TidesManasquan Inlet Tides
Barnegat Bay at Island Beach State ParkWater Temperature: 56°F
Saturday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: N 20 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas: 2 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Saturday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: N 20 knots increasing to 20-25 knots after midnight with gusts to 35 knots
Seas: 2 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Sunday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: NNW 20-25 knots with gusts to 35 knots
Seas: 1 foot
Surf: 1 foot
Sunday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: NW 20-25 knots with gusts to 30 knots decreasing to 15-20 knots after midnight
Seas: 1 foot
Surf: 1 footBarnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides Barnegat Bay Tides
Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)Water Temperature: 64°F
Saturday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNE 17 to 23 knots
Seas: ENE 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 5-8 feetSaturday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NE 24 to 32 knots
Seas: ENE 8 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 5-8 feetSunday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNW 26 to 35 knots
Seas: ENE 7 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 5-8 feet
Sunday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 26 to 35 knots
Seas: NNW 6 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 5-8 feetCape May (Ocean) TidesCape May Tides
Delaware BayWater Temperature: 59°F-64°F
Saturday
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: N 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots increasing to 20-25 knots with gusts to 35 knots in the afternoon
Seas: 3-5 feet
Surf: 2-4 feet
Saturday Night
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: N 25-30 knots with gusts to 40 knots
Seas: 3-5 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf: 2-4 feet
Sunday
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: NW 25-30 knots
Seas: 3-5 feet
Surf: 2-4 feetSunday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: NW 20-25 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas: 3-5 feet
Surf: 2-4 feetDelaware Bay (Ship John Shoal) TidesDelaware Bay Tides
Offshore WatersMidshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)Water Temperature: 63°F
Saturday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 25 to 34 knots
Seas: ENE 9 feet at 7 seconds
Saturday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NE 25 to 34 knots
Seas: ENE 10 feet at 8 seconds
Sunday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNW 25 to 34 knots
Seas: ENE 10 feet at 9 seconds
Sunday Afternoon
HAZRDOUS
GALE WARNING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 26 to 36 knots
Seas: NNW 9 feet at 7 secondsSea Surface TemperaturesSurface
20 Meters (≈65 feet)
NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperatures 3 Day LoopNWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day LoopOcean CurrentsSurface
20 Meters (≈65 feet)
Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution! 
*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations. Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only. Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling. Every boat and captain has different operating values. You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out!*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)
