NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Nov 10-14, 2014

[Pfishingruven]

Mostly good week with a some precipitation possible mid to late week with cold air moving in towards the end of the week and a mix of good to cautious water conditions. Monday and Tuesday Day will be dry with rain chances for Tuesday Day and Tuesday Night, staying into Wednesday before clearing out for Wednesday Night. Showers and snow showers will return for Thursday Night with rain returning for Friday before clearing out again on Friday Night. Snow does not look to be accumulating at this point, however the northern tier of the US will have its first “Winter” Storm with accumulating snow. Highs will begin in the 60’s then drop to the 50’s and then 40’s by late week, as cold arctic air moves in to the US. Lows will be in the 50’s then 30’s and 40’s and then 20’s and 30’s. Water conditions look mostly good this week. Mid to late week could see borderline to cautious conditions with mainly gustier winds in excess of 20 knots and some building seas to 4-6 feet. Surf and beach conditions are good to ok. Winds could be gusty for the end of the week with some rougher surf, but wave heights will still average 1-3, maybe some 2-4 feet. Water temperatures are steady in the 50’s to low 60’s. UV Index will be Low to Moderate at 2-3/15.
 
High pressure will continue to move slowly northeast over the region on Sunday Night into Monday. A low will lift northeast just off the coast on Tuesday and Wednesday. At the same time a low will cross the northern tier of the US bringing a strong cold front through the region on Wednesday. Colder air will then move into the region through the late week.

Saturday looks dry, but Sunday could see rain chances again. Highs will only be in the 40’s and maybe some low 50’s with overnight lows in the 20’s and 30’s. So far, water, surf and beach conditions look good for the weekend. Maybe some gustier winds around 15 knots possible and borderline conditions offshore, but all other locations look good at this point.

The Atlantic Tropics are quiet.

Have a great week and thanks for reading!

Monday
Sky:  Mostly sunny to sunny becoming partly cloudy to mostly clear
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:    Upper 50’s to low 60’s
Low:     Low to mid 40’s inland, low 50’s along the coast, mid 30’s across northern areas
UV Index:  2-3 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:35am
Sunset: 4:45pm


Tuesday
Sky:  Mostly sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-20% chance of showers during the day, 30% chance of showers at night
Temperatures
High:   Mid to upper 60’s with low 60’s across the north
Low:   Low to mid 50’s inland and along the coast, mid 40’s across northern areas
UV Index:  2-3/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:36am
Sunset: 4:44pm


Wednesday
Sky:   Partly to mostly sunny becoming mostly clear
Precipitation:  30% chance of showers during the day, 0%-slight chance at night
Temperatures
High:    Upper 50’s to low 60’s
Low:   Mid 30’s inland, low 40’s along the coast, low 30’s across northern areas
UV Index:  2-3/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:37am
Sunset: 4:43pm


Thursday
Sky:   Partly to mostly sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance during the day, 30% chance of showers/snow showers at night
Temperatures
High:   Low to mid 60’s with mid 50’s across the north
Low:   Low 30’s inland, mid to upper 30’s along the coast, upper 20’s across northern areas
UV Index:  2-3 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:38am
Sunset: 4:43pm


Friday
Sky:   Partly sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-30% chance of showers during the day, 0%-slight chance at night
Temperatures
High:   Low to mid 40’s
Low:   Low 30’s inland, mid 30’s along the coast, mid 20’s across the north
UV Index:  2-3/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:40am
Sunset: 4:42pm
Last Qtr: 10:17am


Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Sunday - Sunday



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  50°F
Monday
Wind:  Light and variable winds becoming S 5 knots late in the morning
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  SE 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  E 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  NE 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots late
Seas:  1 foot or less building to 1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                         



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  50°F
Monday Morning
Winds: WNW 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: SW 4 to 6 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: S 6 to 7 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: SSE 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: NNW 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: NW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: NW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: NW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: NW 9 to 13 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  57°F
Monday Morning
Winds: WNW 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 3 to 4 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: SSE 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: SE 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: NNW 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: NW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: NW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 11 to 14 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: NW 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: NW 11 to 14 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  53°F
Monday
Wind:  Variable winds 5 knots or less
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  Variable winds 5 knots or less
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  ESE 6-9 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  E 6-9 knots becoming NE after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  N 6-9 knots becoming WNW 10-13 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  NNW 13 knots
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday
Wind:  NW 9-11 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  NW 8-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  58°F
Monday Morning
Winds: NNE 3 to 5 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
 Monday Afternoon
Winds: ESE 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: ESE 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: ESE 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: NNW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet   
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNW 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: NNW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: NNW 12 to 17 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  53°F-57°F
Monday
Wind:  E 5 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Monday Night
Wind:  E 5 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Tuesday
Wind:  E 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Tuesday Night
Wind:  NE 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NW 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday
Winds: NW 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  W 15-20 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  W 15-20 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  61°F
Monday Morning
Winds: NNW 6 to 9 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Monday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 0 to 0 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Tuesday Morning
Winds: SE 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: SE 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Wednesday Morning
Winds: NNE 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: NW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ASDVISORY
Winds: NW 17 to 22 knots
Seas:  ESE 5 feet at 8 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WNW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Friday Morning
Winds: NW 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNW 16 to 21 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 8 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)


 

Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!

*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)

[Pfishingruven]

Yes, that is correct. The first forecast accumulating snow of the season tonight for Western and Northern NJ Counties. The good...it should be less than an inch.