A very unsettled week with hazardous and cautious water conditions and a possible Nor’Easter bringing rain and snow across the state. Monday will continue with rain chances decreasing into the overnight. Fog is likely early in the morning across much of the state. Tuesday Day will be dry with chances of showers moving in during the night. Wednesday is the questionable day. Depending on the track, it could be difference between rain and accumulating snow or absolutely nothing. The models are trending towards at least rain, gusty winds, high and rough surf, beach erosion and coastal flooding. Snow will depend on the track and could range from a mix to several plus inches. This will be the topic to watch this week, especially with the timing affecting one of the biggest travel days of the year! Thursday looks to be dry, however there may be some lingering precipitation and clouds from the Nor’Easter. Friday looks to be most settled and nicest days of the week with dry conditions and a mix of sun and clouds. Highs will range from 70’s on Monday to 30’s by the end of the week. That’s quite a temperature spread!! Lows will range from the 50’s down to the 20’s by late week. Water conditions will be mixed as well, mostly hazardous to cautious. Monday will have hazardous conditions with Gale Warnings and Small Craft Advisories. The remainder of the week will be cautious to hazardous, with very low chances of good conditions most of the week. Wednesday’s Forecasts do not reflect the coastal low pressure system effects. If the system tracks close enough to bring precipitation, water conditions will be cautious to hazardous with winds in excess of 20 knots, minimum, and seas 6-8 feet minimum. The track will change these numbers either for the better or worse. Thursday may have the best chances of borderline conditions, depending on the timing and response of the ocean. Friday will usher in its own cautious to hazardous water conditions that are not likely to improve into the weekend. Surf and beach conditions will be ok to hazardous this week. Rough surf with wave heights to 4-8 feet or more will be on and off. If the Nor’Easter affects surf, beach erosion and rip currents will be an added risk. Water temperatures are in the upper 30’s to upper 50’s with most waters in the 40’s to mid 50’s. UV Index will be Low to Moderate all week.
NWS PHI Coastal Storm Briefing #1
Intensifying low pressure in Missouri will arrive in the Upper Great Lakes Monday, pulling a strong warm front north through the region on early Monday. A cold front, then move through the region and off the coast on Monday Night. High pressure follows for late Tuesday. A coastal storm forming off of the North Carolina Coast Wednesday Morning moves east and northeast towards New England for Thanksgiving. A cold front moves through the area on Thursday Evening and high pressure moves into the Carolinas next weekend.
The weekend looks dry with highs in the 30’s and 40’s and lows in the 20’s and 30’s. Water, surf and beach conditions will be mixed from cautious to good, but mostly cautious at this point both days.
The Atlantic Tropics are quiet.
Have a great week and a great Thanksgiving! Be safe if you are traveling on Wednesday, it could be nasty. Thanks for reading.
MondaySky: Mostly cloudy, Patchy fog in the morning
Precipitation: 60%-80% chance of rain during the day, 30%-40% chance of showers at night
Temperatures
High: Mid 60’s to low 70’s
Low: Upper 40’s to low 50’s inland and along the coast, low 40’s across northern areas
UV Index: 1-3 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:51am
Sunset: 4:35pm
TuesdaySky: Mostly sunny to sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation: 0%-slight chance during the day, 20%-30% chance of showers at night
Temperatures
High: Upper 40’s to mid 50’s
Low: Mid to upper 30’s inland, low 40’s along the coast, low 30’s across northern areas
UV Index: 2-3/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:52am
Sunset: 4:34pm
WednesdaySky: Cloudy
Precipitation: 100% chance of rain/snow
Temperatures
High: Upper 30’s to mid 40’s
Low: Low 30’s inland, mid 30’s along the coast, upper 20’s across northern areas
UV Index: 0-1/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 6:53am
Sunset: 4:34pm
ThursdaySky: Partly sunny becoming partly cloudy, Windy
Precipitation: 0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High: Upper 30’s to low 40’s
Low: Mid 20’s inland, low to mid 30’s along the coast, low 20’s across northern areas
UV Index: 1-2/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:54am
Sunset: 4:33pm
FridaySky: Partly sunny to sunny becoming partly cloudy to mostly cloudy
Precipitation: 0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High: Mid to upper 30’s
Low: Mid 20’s inland, low 30’s along the coast, low 20’s across the north
UV Index: 2-3/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:55am
Sunset: 4:33pm
Monday Surface Analysis
Tuesday Surface Analysis
Wednesday Surface Analysis
Thursday Surface Analysis
Friday Surface
Total Precipitation Monday - Friday
Total Precipitation Sunday - Sunday
Probability of Snow (More than 1 inch) through Thursday
Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) ForecastsRaritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy HookWater Temperature: 41°F
Monday
HAZARDOUS
GALE WARNING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: S 15-20 knots with gusts to 40 knots decreasing to 30 knots in the afternoon
Seas: 2-4 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean): 4-8 feet
Monday Night
HAZARDOUS
GALE WARNING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: SW 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf (Ocean): 4-8 feetTuesday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: W 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf (Ocean): 3-6 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: W 10-15 knots with gusts to 25 knots becoming NW 5-10 knot after midnight
Seas: 2-3 feet subsiding to 1-2 feet after midnight
Surf (Ocean): 3-6 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind: N 10-15 knots increasing to NE 15-20 knots in the afternoon
Seas: 1-2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean): 2-4 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: N 15-20 knots becoming NW after midnight with gusts to 30 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf (Ocean): 2-4 feetThursdayWind: W 10-15 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean): 2-4 feet
Thursday NightWind: W 10-15 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less becoming 2-3 feet after midnight
Surf (Ocean): 2-4 feet
FridayWind: NW 10-15 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf (Ocean): 2-4 feet
Friday NightWind: NW 10-15 knots becoming W 5-10 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet subsiding to 1 foot or less late
Surf (Ocean): 2-4 feet
Sandy Hook Tides (Bay) Sandy Hook Tides 
Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NYWater Temperature: 41°F
Monday Morning
HAZARDOUS
GALE WARNING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: S 25 to 34 knots
Seas: SSE 7 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 4-8 feetMonday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
GALE WARNING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 21 to 28 knots
Seas: SSE 8 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 4-8 feet
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 18 to 25 knots
Seas: SE 5 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 3-6 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 16 to 22 knots
Seas: SE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 3-6 feetWednesday MorningWinds: NNW 5 to 7 knots
Seas: SE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Wednesday AfternoonWinds: NE 11 to 14 knots
Seas: SE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Thursday MorningWinds: WNW 12 to 17 knots
Seas: ESE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Thursday AfternoonWinds: WNW 11 to 15 knots
Seas: SE 3 feet at 10 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 18 to 24 knots
Seas: SE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 14 to 19 knots
Seas: SE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feetConey Island, NY Tides Coney Island Tides
Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat InletWater Temperature: 52°F
Monday MorningWinds: S 25 to 33 knots
Seas: SSE 7 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 4-8 feet
Monday AfternoonWinds: SSW 21 to 29 knots
Seas: SE 8 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 4-8 feet
Tuesday MorningWinds: W 17 to 23 knots
Seas: SE 5 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 3-6 feet
Tuesday AfternoonWinds: W 15 to 20 knots
Seas: SE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 3-6 feet
Wednesday MorningWinds: N 7 to 9 knots
Seas: SE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 3-5 feet
Wednesday AfternoonWinds: NE 11 to 14 knots
Seas: SE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 3-5 feet
Thursday MorningWinds: WNW 12 to 16 knots
Seas: ESE 5 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 3-5 feet
Thursday AfternoonWinds: W 11 to 14 knots
Seas: SE 4 feet at 10 seconds
Surf: 3-5 feet
Friday MorningWinds: NW 17 to 23 knots
Seas: SE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Friday AfternoonWinds: WNW 15 to 20 knots
Seas: SE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Manasquan Inlet Tides Manasquan Inlet Tides
Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)Water Temperature: 39°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
GALE WARNING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: S 18-23 knots with gusts to 32 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
GALE WARNING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: SSW 13-16 knots becoming W after midnight with gusts to 22 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feetTuesdayWind: W 11-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Tuesday NightWind: W 6-9 knots becoming NNW after midnight
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind: N 9-12 knots becoming NNE 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots in the afternoon
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind: N 19-24 knots becoming WNW 12-17 knots after midnight with gusts to 35 knots
Surf: 0-1 feetThursdayWind: W 9-14 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Thursday NightWind: W 12 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
FridayWind: NW 10-15 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Friday NightWind: NW 10-15 knots becoming W 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) TidesBarnegat Bay Tides
Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)Water Temperature: 53°F
Monday Morning
HAZARDOUS
GALE WARNING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: S 26 to 35 knots
Seas: SSE 8 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 4-8 feetMonday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
GALE WARNING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 20 to 28 knots
Seas: SE 8 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 4-8 feetTuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 16 to 22 knots
Seas: SE 5 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 3-7 feetTuesday AfternoonWinds: WNW 12 to 16 knots
Seas: SE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 3-7 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NE 14 to 20 knots
Seas: SE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 3-7 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NE 23 to 31 knots
Seas: ENE 6 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 3-7 feet
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 17 to 23 knots
Seas: SE 6 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 3-7 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WNW 16 to 21 knots
Seas: SE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 3-7 feet
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 21 to 28 knots
Seas: NNW 4 feet at 4 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 16 to 22 knots
Seas: NNW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feetCape May (Ocean) Tides Cape May Tides
Delaware BayWater Temperature: 45°F
Monday
HAZARDOUS
GALE WARNING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: S 20-25 knots with gusts to 35 knots diminishing to 15-20 knots
Seas: 3-5 feet
Surf: 2-4 feetMonday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind: SW 10-15 knots becoming W late
Seas: 2-4 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf: 1-3 feetTuesdayWind: W 10-15 knots diminishing to 5-10 knots late
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Tuesday NightWind: NW 5-10 knots becoming N 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots after midnight
Seas: 2-3 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf: 1-2 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: N 15-20 knots increasing to 20-25 knots in the afternoon
Seas: 3-5 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf: 2-4 feetWednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: N 20-25 knots becoming NW 15-20 knots after midnight
Seas: 3-5 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf: 2-4 feetThursdayWinds: W 10-15 knots
Seas: 2-4 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Thursday NightWind: W 10-15 knots
Seas: 2-4 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
FridayWind: W 10-15 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Friday NightWind: W 10-15 knots becoming W 5-10 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) TidesDelaware River Tides
Offshore WatersMidshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)Water Temperature: 59°F
Monday Morning
HAZARDOUS
GALE WARNING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSE 27 to 37 knots
Seas: SSE 9 feet at 7 seconds
Monday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
GALE WARNING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 23 to 31 knots
Seas: S 12 feet at 9 secondsTuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ASDVISORY
Winds: WNW 20 to 28 knots
Seas: SSE 9 feet at 9 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ASDVISORY
Winds: W 16 to 21 knots
Seas: SSE 8 feet at 9 secondsWednesday MorningWinds: NNE 12 to 16 knots
Seas: SSE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ASDVISORY
Winds: ENE 19 to 26 knots
Seas: SSE 5 feet at 8 seconds
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ASDVISORY
Winds: WNW 19 to 25 knots
Seas: SSE 10 feet at 10 secondsThursday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 21 to 29 knots
Seas: SSE 8 feet at 10 seconds
Friday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 24 to 32 knots
Seas: NW 7 feet at 6 secondsFriday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 15 to 21 knots
Seas: NW 5 feet at 5 seconds Sea Surface TemperaturesSurface
20 Meters (≈65 feet)
NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day LoopNWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day LoopOcean CurrentsSurface
20 Meters (≈65 feet)
Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution! 
*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations. Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only. Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling. Every boat and captain has different operating values. You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]
*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)
