Author Topic: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Feb 23-27, 2015  (Read 2231 times)

Offline Pfishingruven

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Another mixed week, looking much better than the last few weeks with mixed water conditions. Monday will see decreasing clouds and increasing sun with dry conditions. Tuesday and Wednesday will see a chance of snow showers with little to no accumulation at this point. Thursday and Friday look dry again. Sun will be more present this week and as season change approaches, more predominant in the sky with higher UV indices and longer days/daylight. Monday will have icy conditions possible as standing water and melted snow, refreeze tonight and into the morning. Temperatures will still be cold this week with highs in the 20’s to 30’s with overnight lows ranging from the negatives to 20’s. Water conditions will be cautious with Small Craft Advisories on Monday, Wednesday, Thursday and Friday. Tuesday, however looks like good conditions. Some days may be more borderline as well, such as Wednesday, Thursday and Friday. However, Monday will be a solid Cautious day as winds will gust beyond 30 knots. Surf and beach conditions will be good, despite some gustier winds and rougher surf with wave heights 2-4 feet for the week. Water temperatures are steady in the 20’s and 30’s with low 40’s offshore. UV Index will be Moderate at 3-4/15 for most of the week.

High pressure will build out of the central part of the country on Monday and into the area on Monday Night into early Tuesday. An area of low pressure is forecast to move along the southern tier of Canada Tuesday into Wednesday, pulling a cold front across the East Coast on Wednesday. High pressure is expected to return again late Thursday into Friday and continue into the weekend.

The weekend will have some lower chances of precipitation on Saturday and Sunday. Highs will be in the 20’s and 30’s with lows in the teens and 20’s. Water, surf and beach conditions look good and improving throughout the weekend.

Have a great week and thanks for reading!

Monday
Sky:  Partly to mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy to mostly clear
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:    Low to upper 20’s
Low:   Low single digits inland, mid to upper single digits along the coast, low negative teens (-10) northern areas
UV Index:  3-4/15 (Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:39am
Sunset: 5:40pm


Tuesday
Sky:  Partly sunny to sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance during the day, 0%-30% chance of snow showers at night
Temperatures
High:   Low to upper 20’s
Low:   Low 20’s inland, mid to upper 20’s along the coast, mid teens northern areas
UV Index:  3-4/15 (Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:38am
Sunset: 5:41pm


Wednesday
Sky:   Partly to mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-30% chance of snow showers during the day, 0%-slight chance at night
Temperatures
High:    Low to upper 30’s
Low:   Mid single digits to low teens inland, mid teens along the coast, mid single digits northern areas
UV Index:  3-4/15 (Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:37am
Sunset: 5:42pm
First Qtr: 12:15pm


Thursday
Sky:   Mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Low to mid 20’s
Low:   Upper single digits inland, low to mid teens along the coast, low single negative digits (-1) northern areas
UV Index:  3-4/15 (Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:35am
Sunset: 5:44pm


Friday
Sky:   Mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Low to upper 20’s
Low:   Low teens inland, upper teens along the coast, low single digits northern areas
UV Index:  3-4/15 (Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:34am
Sunset: 5:45pm


Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Sunday - Sunday



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  29°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NW 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots diminishing to 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet, then 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Tuesday
Wind:  W 5-10 knots becoming S in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  SW 10-15 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  W 10 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet

Wednesday Night
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Thursday
Wind:  N 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  N 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday
Wind:  N 5-10 knots diminishing to 5 knots in the evening
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  N 5 knots increasing to 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                          



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  29°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 19 to 25 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 19 to 26 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Tuesday Morning
Winds: WNW 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: SW 9 to 13 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 17 to 22 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Wednesday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 22 to 29 knots
Seas:  WSW 4 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  WNW 2 feet at 3 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Thursday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  WNW 2 feet at 3 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: NNW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: NW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  36°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNW 19 to 25 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNW 20 to 27 knots
Seas:  N 4 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Tuesday Morning
Winds: WNW 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: SW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 18 to 24 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNW 15 to 21 knots
Seas:  N 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  N 2 feet at 3 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Friday Morning
Winds: NNE 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  ENE 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: N 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  ENE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  29°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NNW 18 knots with gusts to 24 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Monday Night
Wind:  NNW 12-15 knots decreasing to 7-10 knots after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  W 5-8 knots becoming SSW 8-11 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  SSW 9-12 knots becoming WSW after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  WSW 9-11 knots becoming WNW in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  WNW 10-12 knots becoming NNW after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NNW 14 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NNW 14 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Friday
Wind:  N 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  N 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  36°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNW 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  ENE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNW 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  NNE 4 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Tuesday Morning
Winds: NNW 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: S 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: W 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet   
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WNW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: N 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  NNE 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NNW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  NNE 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: N 16 to 21 knots
Seas:  NE 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNE 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  NE 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet


Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  30°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NW 20-25 knots diminishing to 15-20 knots late
Seas:  3-5 feet, Freezing spray
Surf:  2-4 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots becoming N 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas:  1-3 feet, then 1 foot or less, Freezing spray
Surf:  1-2 feet, then 0-1 feet

Tuesday
Wind:  NW 5 knots becoming SW late in the morning then S in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less, then 1-2 feet, Freezing spray
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  SW 10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  W 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:   1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  N 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet, Light freezing spray
Surf:  1-2 feet

Thursday
Winds:  N 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet, Freezing spray
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  N 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet, Freezing spray
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday
Wind:  N 10-15 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Friday Night
Wind:  N 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  40°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNW 19 to 25 knots
Seas:  S 6 feet at 8 seconds
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 19 to 25 knots
Seas:  NW 6 feet at 6 seconds

Tuesday Morning
Winds: NW 8 to 10 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 10 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 18 to 25 knots
Seas:  WSW 6 feet at 6 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 20 to 27 knots
Seas:  WSW 6 feet at 5 seconds

Thursday Morning
Winds: NNW 12 to 17 knots
Seas:  NW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: NNW 12 to 17 knots
Seas:  N 3 feet at 5 seconds
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNE 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  NNE 4 feet at 5 seconds
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNE 15 to 21 knots
Seas:  E 4 feet at 6 seconds


Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)


 





Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!




*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)
« Last Edit: February 22, 2015, 08:05:28 PM by Pfishingruven »


Offline IrishAyes

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Re: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Feb 23-27, 2015
« Reply #1 on: February 22, 2015, 08:47:06 PM »
I SEE GREENNNNNNNNNNNNN.
Captain Joe of the Irish Ayes

May the holes in your net be no larger than the fish in it.  ~Irish Blessing


Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: Potential for Accumulating Snow Southern NJ Wednesday-Thursday
« Reply #2 on: February 25, 2015, 12:45:16 PM »
There is the potential for accumulation snow, south and east of the I95 Corridor Wednesday Night into Thursday. This system was supposed to stay well south of the state, but the last few model runs have indicated the possibility of a slightly more northern track. Right now Cape May County, Cumberland and Atlantic Counties will see accumulations from 1-2 inches and then under an inch. However, the afternoon models indicated snow potential into Ocean County of a few inches and even more south of Ocean County. So, this will be something to watch today. I will have a full update by this afternoon. If you live in these areas, it will be worth keeping an eye on today because it will affect the morning commute.

Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: Wednesday Update on Snow Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning
« Reply #3 on: February 25, 2015, 04:33:10 PM »
A Winter Storm forecast to stay south of the state has taken a more northerly track and will bring accumulating snow to most of the state, with highest totals in Southern NJ. This will be a quick event starting late tonight with the bulk coming Thursday Morning and ending by early afternoon.

Be safe! Updates to follow. Max snowfall totals are definitely possible based off of some of the short range models.

Storm Track




Snowfall Forecast Totals




Snowfall Maximums




 

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