A very mixed weekend, but not a washout at all. The big headline for this weekend, and for Friday is FOG. Fog will be heavy and dense at times, beginning in the evening hours and remaining through the earlier morning hours for coastal and some coastal inland areas. Mostly a marine fog coming off the ocean, fog will limit visibility both on land and on the water! Saturday and Sunday will be almost identical. Fog in the morning and evening/night hours with some chances of drizzle/mist at night. Otherwise and mix of sun and clouds ranging from partly sunny to mostly cloudy. Highs will be in the upper 70’s to low 80’s inland with upper 60’s and low 70’s along the coast. Overnight lows will be in the upper 50’s to lower 60’s. Water conditions will be mostly good in terms of winds and seas, with winds increasing on Sunday Afternoon. Conditions will deteriorate, slowly on Sunday and into Monday before becoming cautious to hazardous for early next week, as a result of STS Ana. Sunday could see borderline conditions with some gustier winds to 20 knots and seas 2-4 feet. Offshore waters could see steady 2-4 seas all weekend, so that is worth mentioning, however midshore waters should stay at the 2-3 feet on average with some 4 footers possible. Fog will make water conditions cautious from evening hours overnight into earlier morning hours. Fog will be dense at times and moved in during the evening commute on Thursday and will likely do the same on Friday, Saturday, and Sunday. Keep this in mind, as visibility will drop below 1 nm. Surf conditions will be good, minus evening through morning fog possibilities. Surf will remain from 1-3 to 2-4 feet this weekend, increasing likely for the beginning of the week. Water temperatures are steady in the 50’s and even lower 60’s. UV Index will be High to Very High at 7-8/15. So, even if cloud or fog conditions are present, UV rays can still get through.
High pressure remains off the Northeast Coast through early next week. Subtropical Storm Ana will slowly move north from the South Carolina Coast through early next week ahead of an approaching cold front coming from the west-northwest. The front moves in on Tuesday into Wednesday with high pressure filling in behind it on Wednesday through the end of the week.
Subtropical Storm Ana formed off the Southeast Coast yesterday and is forecast to stay a solid storm with winds to 50 mph. A subtropical storm is very similar to a tropical storm, except that it does not have a warm core being powered by warm ocean waters. Instead, it survives in a slightly different way and will not intensify to levels a tropical storm can achieve (hurricane). Subtropical storms also have a less defined or larger eye and larger wind fields. Overall, subtropical and tropical storms are not that different and just because it is subtropical or extra tropical (Sandy) does not mean the storm should be ignored. Ana will drift northward over the next few days before making landfall on the Carolina Coast. It is likely to become a tropical depression at some point before exiting land and emerging over the Atlantic again. Ana will pass off the coast later on Monday and Tuesday. This storm should stay far enough off shore and be weak enough to bring little to no effects to land. Coastal areas could see some minor effects and water, surf and beach conditions could see cautious to even hazardous conditions. Much of this is dependent on the track, which has been fairly consistent of off the coast. This is an early season storm, however, it does not represent how the season will or will not go.
The upcoming week will start with rain chances on Monday and Tuesday, then dry for the rest of the week. Highs will be in the 60’s and 70’s with overnight lows in the 40’s and 50’s. STS Ana should pass off the coast and bring little to any effects to land, maybe some minor involvement along the coast. Ana will likely weaken by the time it moves north, but water conditions will be cautious on Monday and Tuesday and possibly into Wednesday as well, based upon the current track. Water conditions will improve by midweek and continue through the end of the week. Right now, later Tuesday will have the worst of the conditions.
Happy Mother’s Day to all the mothers! Have a great weekend and thanks for reading.
SaturdaySky: Partly sunny to mostly cloudy, Fog morning and night
Precipitation: 0%-slight chance, chance of drizzle/mist at night
Temperatures
High: Upper 70’s to low 80’s inland, upper 60’s to low 70’s at the shore/on the water
Low: Low to mid 60’s
UV Index: 7-8/15 (High-Very High)
Sunrise: 5:48am
Sunset: 7:58pm
SundaySky: Partly sunny to mostly cloudy, Fog morning and night
Precipitation: 0%-slight chance, chance of drizzle/mist at night
Temperatures
High: Upper 70’s to low 80’s inland, upper 60’s to low 70’s at the shore/on the water
Low: Upper 50’s to mid 60’s
UV Index: 8/15 (Very High)
Sunrise: 5:47am
Sunset: 7:59pm
Friday Night Surface Analysis
Saturday Surface Analysis
Sunday Surface Analysis
Friday – Monday Precipitation Total
Subtropical Storm Ana 
Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) ForecastsRaritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy HookWater Temperature: 53°F
SaturdayWind: SE 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less, Fog, Visibility 1nm or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet
Saturday NightWind: S 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less, Fog, Visibility 1nm or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet
SundayWind: SW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less, Fog morning and night, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean): 2-4 feet
Sunday NightWind: S 10-15 knots becoming SW 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas: 1 foot or less, Fog, Visibility 1nm or less
Surf (Ocean): 2-4 feet
Sandy Hook (Bay) TidesSandy Hook Tides
Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NYWater Temperature: 53°F
Saturday MorningWinds: E 6 to 8 knots
Seas: SSE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet
Saturday AfternoonWinds: SE 9 to 12 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet
Sunday MorningWinds: SW 9 to 12 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf (Ocean): 2-4 feet
Sunday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: S 14 to 19 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf (Ocean): 2-4 feetConey Island, NY TidesConey Island Tides
Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat InletWater Temperature: 56°F
Saturday MorningWinds: ESE 6 to 8 knots
Seas: SSE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Saturday AfternoonWinds: SE 10 to 14 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Sunday Morning Winds: SSW 9 to 12 knots
Seas: SE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Sunday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: S 14 to 19 knots
Seas: SE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feetManasquan Inlet TidesManasquan Inlet Tides
Barnegat Bay at Island Beach State ParkWater Temperature: 54°F
SaturdayWind: Variable winds less than 5 knots becoming SE 5-7 knots in the morning
Seas: 1 foot or less, Fog
Surf: 0-1 feet
Saturday NightWind: S 6 knots becoming variable and less than 5 knots after midnight
Seas: 1 foot or less, Fog
Surf: 0-1 feet
SundayWind: S 5-10 knots increasing to 11-16 knots in the afternoon
Seas: 1 foot or less, Fog
Surf: 0-1 feet
Sunday NightWind: SSW 10-13 knots decreasing to 6-9 knots after midnight
Seas: 1 foot or less, Fog
Surf: 0-1 feet
Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides Barnegat Bay Tides
Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)Water Temperature: 55°F
Saturday MorningWinds: SSE 6 to 8 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Saturday AfternoonWinds: SE 9 to 12 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Sunday MorningWinds: S 10 to 13 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Sunday AfternoonWinds: S 11 to 15 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Cape May (Ocean) TidesCape May Tides
Delaware BayWater Temperature: 58°F-63°F
SaturdayWind: SE 5-10 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet, Fog, Visibility 1 nm or less
Surf: 1 foot
Saturday NightWind: S 5-10 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet, Fog
Surf: 1 foot
Sunday
CAUTIOUS
Wind: S 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots in the afternoon
Seas: 2-3 feet, Fog
Surf: 1-2 feetSunday NightWind: S 5-10 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet, Fog
Surf: 1 foot
Delaware Bay (Ship John Shoal) TidesDelaware Bay Tides
Offshore WatersMidshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)Water Temperature: 52°F
Saturday MorningWinds: SW 9 to 12 knots
Seas: S 4 feet at 9 seconds
Saturday AfternoonWinds: SW 10 to 14 knots
Seas: S 4 feet at 9 seconds
Sunday MorningWinds: SW 10 to 13 knots
Seas: S 4 feet at 7 seconds
Sunday AfternoonWinds: SSW 10 to 14 knots
Seas: S 4 feet at 7 seconds
Sea Surface TemperaturesSurface
20 Meters (≈65 feet)
Ocean CurrentsSurface
20 Meters (≈65 feet)
Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution! 
*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations. Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only. Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling. Every boat and captain has different operating values. You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out!*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)
