NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekend Edition: June 27-28, 2015

[Pfishingruven]

Very unsettled weekend weather with even worse water conditions. This weekend will be wet with widely scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms on Saturday and into Sunday. Sunday will have less clouds and even, maybe some sun here and there eventually clearing out by Sunday Night. The area could see upwards of 2-3 inches of rain and even more locally. Some minor and localized flooding could occur as well as flash flooding from any heavy rains. Highs will be in the 60’s to 70’s on Saturday and then 70’s to 80’s on Sunday. Overnight lows will range from 50’s to 70’s. Humidity will be moderate to high. Water conditions will be a blowout this weekend. Cautious to hazardous conditions on the ocean waters with winds to gale force at times and seas to 8 feet inshore and 11 feet midshore to offshore. Small Craft Advisories will be in effect the entire weekend and gale warnings are possible as well. There will be some very small pockets of calmer winds and seas, however risking getting caught in the upswing could pose a risk. Winds will be out of the east on Saturday and then west to southwest on Sunday. Winds will be greater on Saturday Afternoon and Saturday Night diminishing some for Sunday, however seas will build into Sunday. Surf and beach conditions will be cautious. Surf will be rough and up to 7+ feet with a High Risk of Rip Currents. Surf conditions could be better on Sunday, but will still require cautiousness around the water. Water temperatures are a few degrees warmer in the 60’s to 80’s. UV Index will be Low to High at 2-8/15.

A frontal boundary to the south will lift north toward the area on Thursday Night as a wave of low pressure tracks along it. High pressure then briefly builds to the north for Friday as the front settles back southward. Another low pressure system is forecast to track along the front this weekend. Weak high pressure then builds into the region for Monday, followed by more unsettled weather as a cold front arrives late Tuesday into Wednesday.

Next week will continue with some unsettled weather through midweek, so rain/shower/thunderstorm chances are possible. Greatest chances look to be Tuesday and Tuesday Night and should clear for the end of the week. Highs will start off in the 70’s and lower 80’s, then climb into the mid to upper 80’s by Wednesday. Overnight lows will be in the 60’s and 70’s. Water, surf and beach conditions will be mixed most of the week with Tuesday looking to be cautious and some borderline to cautious days in there as well, possibly Monday and then Thursday. Midshore to offshore conditions will be more borderline to cautious most of the week settling later in the week.

The tropics are quiet.

Have a great weekend and thanks for reading!

Saturday
Sky:  Cloudy
Precipitation:  70%-80% chance of showers and thunderstorms all day
Temperatures
High:     Upper 60’s to mid 70’s
Low:     Mid 60’s to low 70’s with upper 50’s across northern areas
UV Index:  2-6/15 (Low-High)
Sunrise: 5:29am
Sunset: 8:29pm


Sunday
Sky:  Mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  20%-60% chance of showers during the day, 0%-slight chance at night
Temperatures
High:     Low 70’s to low 80’s
Low:     Low to mid 60’s with upper 50’s across northern areas
UV Index:  7-8/15 (High)
Sunrise: 5:30am
Sunset: 8:29pm


Friday Night Surface Analysis



Saturday Surface Analysis



Sunday Surface Analysis



Friday – Monday Precipitation Total



Severe Weather Risks for Saturday




Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts
Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  76°F

Saturday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  E 10-15 knots increasing to 20-25 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Saturday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  E 20-25 knots becoming SE 15-20 knots after midnight
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf (Ocean):   3-6 feet
Sunday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  S 5 knots becoming SW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  3-6 feet
Sunday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  W 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  3-6 feet

Sandy Hook (Bay) Tides

Sandy Hook Tides




Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  76°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: ESE 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ESE 22 to 30 knots
Seas:  SE 6 feet at 6 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  3-6 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds: SW 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  SE 5 feet at 6 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  3-6 feet
Sunday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SW 15 to 21 knots
Seas:  SSE 5 feet at 8 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  3-6 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  70°F
Saturday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ESE 15 to 21 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  3-7 feet
Saturday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ESE 22 to 30 knots
Seas:  ESE 6 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  3-7 feet
Sunday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  3-6 feet
Sunday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 18 to 24 knots
Seas:  SE 5 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  3-6 feet


Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay at Island Beach State Park
Water Temperature:  68°F
Saturday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  E 15-19 knots with gusts to 27 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Saturday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  ESE 14-19 knots becoming S after midnight with gusts to 27 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Sunday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SSW 10-15 knots with gusts to 21 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Sunday Night
Wind:  W 13 knots
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides
   
Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  73°F
Saturday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ESE 15 to 21 knots
Seas:  E 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Saturday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ESE 23 to 31 knots
Seas:  ESE 6 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Sunday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  SSE 5 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Sunday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides

Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  75°F-84°F
Saturday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  E 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  3-4 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  2-3 feet
Saturday Night
Wind:  SE 10-15 knots becoming S after midnight
Seas:  2-3 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  1-2 feet
Sunday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SW 10-15 knots becoming W 15-20 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Sunday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  W 15-20 knots decreasing to 10-15 knots after midnight
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet

Delaware Bay (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware Bay Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  68°F
Saturday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ESE 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  SE 4 feet at 5 seconds
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ESE 19 to 25 knots
Seas:  ESE 6 feet at 6 seconds
Sunday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  SSE 6 feet at 7 seconds
Sunday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  S 7 feet at 8 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)




Ocean Currents

Surface




20 Meters (≈65 feet)

Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
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*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out!

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)