NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: August 3-7, 2015

[Pfishingruven]

A very unsettled week causing mixed weather conditions and poor water conditions. Showers and thunderstorms will be possible all week with thunderstorms early in the week followed by mainly showers for the middle and end of the week. Forecasts are calling for an inch to more than 2.25 inches for some areas this week. Highs will start off in the upper 80’s to low 90’s inland and by the end of the week drop down into the low to mid 80’s. Temperatures at the shore and in northern parts of the state will be a few degrees cooler. Overnight lows will also start off higher in the upper 60’s to mid 70’s and then will drop into the lower to mid 60’s by the end of the week. Again, higher lows at the shore and lower lows across northern areas. Humidity will be higher and gradually become more moderate. Some thunderstorms in the beginning of the week could be strong to severe and will updated daily. Water conditions will be borderline to cautious to hazardous on ocean waters with gusty winds to 25 knots possible and seas to 6 feet inshore and 10 feet midshore to offshore. Rivers and bays will have some pockets of good conditions mixed in with borderline to cautious conditions. Surf and beach conditions will be mixed good to cautious. Winds will be gusty at times, surf will be rough and will range from 2-4 feet to 4-6+ feet possible. Rip Current Risks will be Moderate to mostly High this week. Some better conditions are possible mixed in, so checking conditions daily will be necessary. If you plan on entering ocean waters or ocean meeting bay waters, be sure to check Rip Current and Surf Risks. Water temperatures have increased by a couple to a few degrees again, making most waters in the upper 70’s to low 80’s. Surf temperatures are also in the mid 70’s to low 80’s. UV Index will be Moderate to Very High at 4-9/15.

A high pressure system over the Central Appalachians will gradually move southeast through Monday. A cold front from the Great Lakes is forecast to cross the region early Tuesday with a secondary cold front following early Wednesday. This front will stall just south of the area through the end of the week as waves of low pressure move along it. The last and strongest wave of low pressure should pass offshore on Saturday with a high pressure system from Eastern Canada building southward on Sunday.

The weekend looks to be mostly dry with just some chances of showers on Saturday. Highs will be in the 70’s and 80’s with overnight lows in the 60’s. Water, surf and beach conditions may be better for the weekend, with a mix right now, of good to cautious conditions. Saturday could see residual seas and Sunday could see gusty winds return?

The systems being watched in the tropics last week, are off the “radar.” A new system being watched is in the GOM west of Florida and should cross the state and into the Atlantic over the next days. There is a low chance for development, but will be watched this week.

Have a great week and thanks for reading!

Monday
Sky:   Mostly sunny becoming partly to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  20%-50% chance of showers and thunderstorms all day
Temperatures
High:    Upper 80’s to low 90’s
Low:   Low to mid 70’s with low 60’s across northern areas
UV Index:  5-8/15 (High-Very High)
Sunrise: 5:56am
Sunset: 8:09pm


Tuesday
Sky:  Partly to mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  20%-30% chance of showers and thunderstorms during the day
Temperatures
High:   Mid to upper 80’s
Low:   Mid 60’s inland, low 70’s at the shore, upper 50’s across northern areas
UV Index:  6-8/15 (High-Very High)
Sunrise: 5:57am
Sunset: 8:08pm


Wednesday
Sky:  Mostly sunny becoming partly to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-30% chance of showers at night
Temperatures
High:   Low to upper 80’s
Low:   Mid to upper 60’s inland, low 70’s at the shore, low 60’s across northern areas
UV Index:  8-9/15 (Very High)
Sunrise: 5:58am
Sunset: 8:07pm


Thursday
Sky:   Partly sunny to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  30%-50% chance of showers all day
Temperatures
High:   Upper 70’s to mid 80’s
Low:   Mid 60’s inland, low 70’s at the shore, upper 50’s across northern areas
UV Index:  1-8/15 (Low-Very High)
Sunrise: 5:59am
Sunset: 8:06pm
Last Qtr: 10:04pm


Friday
Sky:   Partly sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  30%-40% chance of showers all day
Temperatures
High:   Upper 70’s to low 80’s
Low:   Mid 60’s inland, upper 60’s low 70’s at the shore, upper 50’s across northern areas
UV Index:  7-9/15 (High-Very High)
Sunrise: 6:00am
Sunset: 8:05pm


Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Sunday - Sunday



Monday & Tuesday Severe Weather Risks





Atlantic Tropics





Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  79°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  S 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less, then 1-2 feet in the afternoon
Surf (Ocean):   2-4 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  S 10-15 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  W 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less, then 1-2 feet in the afternoon
Surf (Ocean):  4-6 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  W 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots diminishing to 5-10 knots
Seas:  2 feet in the evening, then 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  W 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less, then 1-2 feet in the afternoon
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  W 5-10 knots becoming N after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Thursday
Wind:  N 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  N 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet
Friday
Wind:  E 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  E 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                         



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  79°F
Monday Morning
Winds: SW 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: S 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: WNW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  4-6 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: WSW 8 to 10 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: W 16 to 21 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: E 15 to 21 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  SE 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: NNE 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: NNE 4 to 6 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  78°F
Monday Morning
Winds: SW 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: S 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: W 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: WSW 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WNW 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: E 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 19 to 26 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: NE 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: NNE 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4  feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  75°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  S 7-10 knots increasing to 11-14 knots in the afternoon with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  SW 12-14 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  SW 8-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  W 6-8 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  W 5-7 knots becoming WSW in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  Variable winds 5 knots or less
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday
Wind:  Variable winds 5 knots or less
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  Variable winds 5 knots or less
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday
Wind:  E 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  E 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  80°F
Monday Morning
Winds: SSW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WSW 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: W 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: WNW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet   
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: S 15 to 21 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 18 to 25 knots
Seas:  SSE 5 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: NNE 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: NNE 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  76°F-80°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  S 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots late
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet, then 1 foot or less
Surf:  1-2 feet, then 0-1 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  W 10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  W 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  W 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  S 5-10 knots becoming W after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday
Winds: NE 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday Night
Winds: NE 5 knots becoming W after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday
Wind:  NE 5-10 knots becoming E in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  E 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  0-1 feet

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Chicken Canyon
Water Temperature:  77°F
Monday Morning
Winds: SSW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 7 seconds
Monday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 7 seconds
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WSW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  SSW 7 feet at 7 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WSW 14 to 18 knots
Seas:  S 7 feet at 8 seconds
Wednesday Morning
Winds: N 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  S 5 feet at 7 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: W 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  SSW 4 feet at 7 seconds
Thursday Morning
Winds: ENE 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 7 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 11 to 14 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 7 seconds
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: ENE 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 6 seconds
Friday Afternoon
Winds: NE 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 6 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)


 

Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!

*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)

[Pfishingruven]

A late update for the rest of tonight, Monday, and into Tuesday. Severe Weather is possible across parts of Northern NJ and a generalized thunderstorm risk for the rest of the state tonight and a severe risk for a majority of the state tomorrow. Storms could be capable of heavy rains, dangerous lightning, damaging winds, hail, and even tornadoes. Be aware of changing weather conditions and have a way of receiving weather alerts.

Water conditions will continue to be cautious tomorrow with rough and high surf conditions with a Moderate Risk of Rip Currents.