Author Topic: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekend Edition: Aug 22-23, 2015  (Read 1742 times)

Offline Pfishingruven

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A very unsettled weekend with mixed weather and water conditions. The weekend will have chances of showers and thunderstorms, with those chances increasing into Saturday Night and Sunday. Saturday Day will have the lowest chances of showers and Sunday will have some thunderstorms which could be on the stronger side. Highs will be in the upper 70’s to mid 80’s with overnight lows in the 60’s to low 70’s. Humidity will be moderate to high. Water conditions will have some gusty winds on Saturday Day subsiding throughout the day. Conditions will be borderline to good inshore, as seas could reach 3 feet on the ocean. Offshore waters could see 2-4 and 3-4 foot seas for the weekend. The weekend will be far from a wash or blowout, as showers will be scattered to widely scattered and seas for much of the area could fall below 3 feet and even at 3 feet, those heights are not problematic for many. Surf and beach conditions will be good with surf heights in the 1-3 and some 2-4 feet possible. Rip Current Risks will be Low, however a low risk does not mean NO risk and conditions could change daily, so be sure to follow local beach lifeguards. Water temperatures are steady in the upper 70’s with surf temperatures in the low 70’s. UV Index will be High to Very High at 6-9/15.

A stalling cold front will remain offshore into the weekend and a weak area of low pressure will also pass by to the east. Surface high pressure will influence the region over the weekend as it progresses northeastward. A slow moving cold front will approach on Monday, passing through the area Monday Night into Tuesday. High pressure will then follow for the middle to end of next week.

Monday and Tuesday will have chances of showers and thunderstorms before clearing out for the remainder of the week with high pressure and dry conditions. Highs will continue in the upper 70’s to mid 80’s, even some upper 80’s possible with overnight lows in the 60’s and 70’s. Water, surf and beach conditions look good most of the week, right now. Wednesday and Thursday could see some gustier winds and building seas, but only to 20 knots and seas to 3 feet.

The Atlantic Tropics are a bit active over the last few days. Hurricane Danny is a major hurricane out in the Atlantic approaching the Lesser Antilles with a path into the Greater Antilles. Danny is forecast to weaken over the next few days, as conditions deteriorate for maintaining or strengthening of tropical systems. Where this system heads from the Caribbean will depend on several factors and still bears watching. The NHC is also watching two other systems, one off of the US East Coast and another system emerging from Africa. This upward swing of activity is expected, as ocean waters are nearing their warmest and climatologically, tropical season is nearing its peak!

Have a great weekend and thanks for reading!

Saturday
Sky:  Partly sunny to sunny with increasing clouds
Precipitation:  20% chance of showers at night
Temperatures
High:     Upper 70’s to mid 80’s
Low:     Upper 60’s to low 70’s with low 60’s across northern areas
UV Index:  7-9/15 (High-Very High)
Sunrise: 6:14am
Sunset: 7:45pm
First Qtr: 3:32pm


Sunday
Sky:  Partly sunny becoming partly to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  30%-40% chance of showers and thunderstorms during the day, 0%-30% chance of shower and thunderstorms at night
Temperatures
High:     Low to mid 80’s
Low:     Mid 60’s to low 70’s with low 60’s across northern areas
UV Index:  6-7/15 (High)
Sunrise: 6:15am
Sunset: 7:43pm


Friday Night Surface Analysis



Saturday Surface Analysis



Sunday Surface Analysis



Friday – Monday Precipitation Total



Sunday Severe Weather Risk



Atlantic Tropics





Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  77°F
Saturday
Wind:  N 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Saturday Night
Wind:  N 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):   1-3 feet
Sunday
Wind:  NE 5-10 knots becoming E in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Sunday Night
Wind:  E 5-10 knots becoming NE after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Sandy Hook (Bay) Tides

Sandy Hook Tides




Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  77°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: NNE 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: NNE 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds: NNE 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 6 to 9 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  77°F
Saturday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NNE 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  NE 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Saturday Afternoon
Winds: NNE 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds: NNE 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet


Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay at Island Beach State Park
Water Temperature:  66°F-76°F
Saturday
Wind:  NNE 9-12 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Saturday Night
Wind:  Variable winds 5 knots or less
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Sunday
Wind:  NE 8-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Sunday Night
Wind:  Variable winds 5 knots or less
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides
   
Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  79°F
Saturday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NNE 14 to 18 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Saturday Afternoon
Winds: NNE 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  ENE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds: N 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: N 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides

Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  76°F-78°F
Saturday
Wind:  NE 10-15 knots becoming NE 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Saturday Night
Wind:  NE 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Sunday
Wind:  NE 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Sunday Night
Wind:  E 5 knots becoming SW after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot

Delaware Bay (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware Bay Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  78°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: NNE 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: NNE 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Sunday Morning
Winds: NNE 12 to 17 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 8 seconds
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: NNE 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 8 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)




Ocean Currents

Surface




20 Meters (≈65 feet)









Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!



*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out!

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)


 

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