Author Topic: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekend Edition: Sept 26-27, 2015  (Read 1580 times)

Offline Pfishingruven

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Overall, a very unsettled weekend with some chances of rain and cautious to hazardous water conditions. Saturday will be mostly dry with a mix of sun and clouds, likely more clouds than sun with increasing clouds into the overnight. Saturday Night will bring chances of rain showers carrying over into Sunday. Sunday will have more clouds than sun and sun will be scarce, with chances of showers all day. Both days will be breezy to windy with winds greater along the coast, but carrying over to the inland as well. The pressure gradient between high pressure and a low pressure system will enhance these winds inland and winds directly from the low pressure system will affect the coast and ocean waters. Highs will be in the 70’s with overnight lows in the 50’s and 60’s. With the continued push of northeast and east winds, tides are running higher than normal. Areas along the coast, especially from around Atlantic City to the south and up the Delaware Bay and River through Philadelphia, will see tides running a foot or more higher than average. These tides are reaching heights of High Astronomical Tide levels which could cause minor coastal flooding. Areas north of Atlantic City into Raritan Bay could see higher than normal tides, but these are running less than a foot above normal. Coastal Flood Advisories have been issued for Southern NJ Counties through Friday Night, but should be expected to be extended through at least Sunday. Water conditions will be cautious to hazardous this weekend as both winds from the pressure gradient and the low pressure system will affect area waters. Winds will gust 30+ knots with seas to 8-10 feet on the ocean. Rivers and bays will see lower winds and as a result lower seas, but even back waters could continue to be sporty, at best. These conditions look to persist through midweek at the earliest and may even stick around all next week. Surf and beach conditions will be cautious to hazardous as well, with gusty winds to 30+ knots, rough and high surf to 8+ feet, higher than normal tides and a high risk of dangerous rip currents. Be careful in any ocean waters and along jetties! Water temperatures are a few degrees cooler in the upper 60’s to mid 70’s. UV Index will be Low to Moderate at 2-6/15.

A strong high pressure system over Canada will build southward along the Appalachians through the weekend. A trough of low pressure will develop off the Mid Atlantic Coast on Saturday and persist through early next week. A cold front is expected to cross the region during midweek, followed by high pressure.

Next week will start off with chances of showers followed by dry conditions and then shower chances again midweek and again dry for the rest of the week. Skies will be a mix of sun and clouds with some days having more clouds than sun. Highs will be in the 70’s to low 80’s with overnight lows in the 50’s and 60’s. Water, surf and beach conditions will be mostly cautious to even hazardous. A low pressure system will cause high winds for Sunday and through Tuesday. However, conditions do not improve in the forecasts much through Thursday right now. Gusting winds to 30+ knots, seas to 8+ feet, rough surf with high risk of rip currents, higher than normal tides with a continual northeast and easterly onshore flow could even cause some minor coastal flooding.

The tropics are still active with Ida now a Tropical Depression and Invest in the GOM. Ida is just lingering at sea and right now will not move or change much over the next few days.

Have a great weekend and thanks for reading!

Saturday
Sky:  Partly sunny to cloudy, Windy
Precipitation:  0%-20% chance of showers at night
Temperatures
High:     Upper 60’s to low 70’s
Low:     Upper 50’s to mid 60’s with low 50’s across northern areas
UV Index:  3-6/15 (Moderate-High)
Sunrise: 6:47am
Sunset: 6:49pm


Sunday
Sky:  Partly sunny to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-30% chance of showers all day
Temperatures
High:     Low 70’s to mid 70’s
Low:     Low to mid 60’s with low 50’s across northern areas
UV Index:  2-4/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:48am
Sunset: 6:47pm
Full Moon: 10:52pm


Friday Night Surface Analysis



Saturday Surface Analysis



Sunday Surface Analysis



Friday – Monday Precipitation Total



Coastal Low/Storm Sunday-Monday



Tide Forecasts







Atlantic Tropics




Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  71°F
Saturday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  E 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  4-6 feet

Saturday Night
Wind:  E 10-15 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):   4-6 feet
Sunday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  E 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  4-6 feet

Sunday Night
Wind:  E 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  4-6 feet

Sandy Hook (Bay) Tides

Sandy Hook Tides




Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  71°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: ENE 14 to 18 knots
Seas:  ESE 5 feet at 8 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  4-6 feet
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: E 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  ESE 5 feet at 8 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  4-6 feet
Sunday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: E 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  ESE 6 feet at 8 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  4-6 feet

Sunday Afternoon
Winds: E 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  ESE 5 feet at 8 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  4-6 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  70°F
Saturday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  ESE 6 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  5-7 feet
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  E 6 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  5-7 feet
Sunday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: E 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  ESE 7 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  5-7 feet
Sunday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: E 14 to 20 knots
Seas:  ESE 6 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  5-7 feet



Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay at Island Beach State Park
Water Temperature:  74°F
Saturday
Wind:  ENE 15-18 knots
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Saturday Night
Wind:  E 17 knots
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Sunday
Wind:  E 14 knots
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Sunday Night
Wind:  E 7-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides
   
Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  72°F
Saturday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 21 to 28 knots
Seas:  ESE 7 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  5-8 feet
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 21 to 28 knots
Seas:  E 7 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  5-8 feet
Sunday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: E 21 to 28 knots
Seas:  ESE 8 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  5-8 feet
Sunday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: E 19 to 25 knots
Seas:  ESE 8 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  5-8 feet


Cape May (Ocean) Tides

Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  70°F-73°F
Saturday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  E 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  3-4 feet
Surf:  2-3 feet
Saturday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  E 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  3-4 feet
Surf:  2-3 feet
Sunday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  E 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  3-4 feet
Surf:  2-3 feet

Sunday Night
Wind:  E 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet

Delaware Bay (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware Bay Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  68°F
Saturday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 18 to 24 knots
Seas:  E 7 feet at 8 seconds
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 19 to 26 knots
Seas:  E 8 feet at 8 seconds
Sunday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: E 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  ESE 8 feet at 9 seconds
Sunday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: E 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  ESE 7 feet at 9 seconds


Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)




Ocean Currents

Surface




20 Meters (≈65 feet)









Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!



*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out!

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)


 

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