NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Oct 12-16, 2015

[Pfishingruven]

A mixed week for weather and water conditions. Showers are possible on and off all week with lower to moderate chances on Monday Night, Tuesday Day and Friday. Showers will be isolated to widely scattered. The rest of the days will be mostly dry with a mix of sun and clouds. Highs will be in the 50’s to 70’s with overnight lows in the 40’s to 60’s and even some 30’s by the end of the week. Friday will be the coolest of the days as dry and cooler Canadian air moves into the region. Water conditions will be mixed as well. Good on Monday and then borderline to cautious the rest of the week. Conditions will be right around 20-25 knots max with seas to 3 feet inshore and 5 feet midshore to offshore. So, while conditions will be borderline or cautious, there will be days and pockets of good conditions. Surf and beach conditions will be good to ok with some gusty winds to 25 knots and wave heights to 2-4 feet. Water temperatures are steady in the 60’s. UV Index will be Low to Moderate at 0-5/15.

A high pressure system over the forecast area will move offshore tonight and Monday. A cold front is forecast to cross the region Tuesday, briefly followed by a high pressure system on Wednesday. Then a weakening trough should pass through the Northeast on Thursday followed by a stronger cold front later Friday. A Canadian High Pressure system will then build toward the East next weekend.

The weekend will be dry as cooler air moves in. Highs will be in the upper 50’s to low 60’s with overnight lows in the 30’s and 40’s. There is a chance for the first freezing or below freezing temperatures at night. Water, surf and beach conditions will be borderline to cautious with winds to 25 knots and seas to 4 feet.

The tropics are quiet again.

Have a great week and thanks for reading! Sorry, for the delay.

Monday~Columbus Day
Sky:   Mostly sunny to sunny becoming partly to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-20% chance of showers
Temperatures
High:    Upper 60’s to mid 70’s
Low:   Mid to upper 50’s with upper 40’s across northern areas
UV Index:  4-5/15 (Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:03am
Sunset: 6:23pm
New Moon: 8:07pm


Tuesday
Sky:  Partly sunny to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  20%-40% chance of showers during the day
Temperatures
High:   Upper 60’s to low 70’s
Low:   Low to mid 50’s with upper 40’s across northern areas
UV Index:  0-4/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:04am
Sunset: 6:22pm


Wednesday
Sky:  Mostly sunny becoming partly to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  Chance of sprinkles during the day
Temperatures
High:   Low to upper 60’s
Low:   Upper 40’s to low 50’s with low 40’s across northern areas
UV Index:  2-4/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:05am
Sunset: 6:20pm


Thursday
Sky:   Mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy to mostly sunny
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Low to upper 60’s
Low:   Mid 40’s to low 50’s with upper 30’s across northern areas
UV Index:  3-4/15 (Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:06am
Sunset: 6:19pm


Friday
Sky:   Partly to mostly sunny becoming partly to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-40% chance of showers
Temperatures
High:   Upper 50’s to mid 60’s
Low:   Low to upper 40’s with upper 30’s across northern areas
UV Index:  3-4/15 (Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:07am
Sunset: 6:17pm


Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Sunday - Sunday



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  63°F
Monday
Wind:  SW 5 knots becoming S in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  S 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less, Patchy fog in the morning, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  W 10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  W 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Thursday
Wind:  W 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  W 10-15 knots diminishing to 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday
Wind:   W 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday Night
Wind:   W 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                         



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  63°F
Monday Morning
Winds: WSW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: SW 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: W 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: W 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: WNW 9 to 13 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: W 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: W 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  SSE 1 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: SW 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  SSE 1 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  65°F
Monday Morning
Winds: W 6 to 9 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: S 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: SW 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: WNW 14 to 18 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: W 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: WNW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: W 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: W 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  SSE 1 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: SW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  SE 1 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3  feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides
Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  63°F
Monday
Wind:  Variable winds less than 5 knots becoming S 5-7 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  SSW 7 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  SW 8-12 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  WSW 8-11 knots becoming WNW in the evening
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  W 9-13 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  WNW 9-11 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday
Wind:  W 9-12 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  W 9-11 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday
Wind:  W 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  W 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  1 foot

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  65°F
Monday Morning
Winds: NNW 2 to 3 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: ESE 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: SW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  SE 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WNW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet   
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: W 12 to 17 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: WNW 11 to 14 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WNW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  W 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: WSW 9 to 13 knots
Seas:  SE 1 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: SW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  SW 2 feet at 3 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  64°F-67°F
Monday
Wind:  NW 5 knots in the morning becoming light and variable, then becoming S 5 knots early in the afternoon, then SE
Seas:  2 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  S 5-10 knots becoming SW 10-15 knots late
Seas:  2 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  SW 10-15 knots
Seas:  3-5 feet
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  W 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  3-5 feet
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  W 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  3-4 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday
Winds: W 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday Night
Winds: SE 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Friday
Wind:  W 10-15 knots increasing to 15-20 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  W 15-20 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Chicken Canyon
Water Temperature:  64°F
Monday Morning
Winds: WNW 4 to 6 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Monday Afternoon
Winds: S 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Tuesday Morning
Winds: SW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 18 to 25 knots
Seas:  SSE 6 feet at 8 seconds
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  S 5 feet at 7 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: W 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  S 5 feet at 8 seconds
Thursday Morning
Winds: WNW 11 to 16 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 8 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: W 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 7 seconds
Friday Morning
Winds: SW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 20 to 27 knots
Seas:  SW 4 feet at 5 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)




NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface





20 Meters (≈65 feet)

Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!

*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)