Author Topic: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekend Edition: Jan 16-17, 2016  (Read 1334 times)

Offline Pfishingruven

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Another unsettled weekend with rain or snow and mostly cautious water conditions. Rain will carry over from Friday Night into Saturday. Rain could be heavy at times and some northern and western areas could see snow or a wintry mix. Accumulations look to be no more than an inch or two. Rain will clear for Saturday Night, with some lingering showers for Saturday Evening. By Sunday Morning, showers will return and again, some rain and snow showers. These showers will be more scattered and should end for later Sunday and Sunday Night. Highs will be in the 30’s and 40’s with overnight lows in the teens to 30’s. Water conditions look to be mostly cautious with some good conditions and hazardous conditions as well. Inshore ocean waters will be cautious, mainly from gusty westerly winds to 35 knots and seas to 7 feet. Midshore to offshore waters will have seas to 15 feet again. Rivers and bays will see gusty winds, but conditions could be good during periods of time during the day. Surf and beach conditions will be ok to cautious. Winds will be the biggest issue gusting to 35 knots, however mainly out of the west. Wave heights will be 2-5 feet. Water temperatures are steady in the 40’s and 50’s. UV Index will be Low at 1-2/15.

 
High pressure builds in for Thursday Night and Friday. Low pressure will then develop off of the Southeast Coast on Friday and move across the offshore waters on Friday Night and Saturday. A cold front will cross the area on Sunday, followed by high pressure which will build in for Monday and persist into the middle of the week.

So far the week looks dry and cold. Highs will only be in the 20’s and 30’s with lows in the teens to 30’s. Water, surf and beach conditions will be mainly cautious to hazardous.

The large mid-latitude cyclone was extratopical, then subtropical, and is now a tropical hurricane likely transitioning to an extratropical system again. It poses no threat to land right now. It is the earliest forming hurricane since 1938.

Have a great weekend and thanks for reading!

Saturday
Sky:  Cloudy becoming partly to mostly cloudy, Breezy
Precipitation:  50%-80% chance of heavy rain/snow (northern areas) during the day, chances continue to decrease during the day
Temperatures
High:     Upper 40’s inland and at the shore, low 40’s northern areas
Low:     Upper 20’s to low 30’s inland and at the shore, mid 20’s northern areas
UV Index:  1-2/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:16am
Sunset: 4:55pm
First Qtr: 6:27pm


Sunday
Sky:  Partly sunny to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-20% chance of rain/snow (western and northern areas) showers during the day
Temperatures
High:     Upper 30’s to low 40’s inland and at the shore, mid 30’s northern areas
Low:     Low to mid 20’s inland and at the shore, upper teens northern areas
UV Index:  1-2/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:16am
Sunset: 4:56pm


Friday Night Surface Analysis



Saturday Surface Analysis



Sunday Surface Analysis



Friday – Monday Precipitation Total



Atlantic Tropics



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  38°F
Saturday
Winds: NW 10-15 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-5 feet
Saturday Night
CAUTIOUS
Winds: W 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  1-3 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-5 feet

Sunday
Wind:  W 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Sunday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  W 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots after midnight with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less, then 1-2 feet after midnight, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet


Sandy Hook (Bay) Tides

Sandy Hook Tides




Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  38°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: NNW 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  2-5 feet
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 16 to 21 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  2-5 feet

Sunday Morning
Winds: WNW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 10 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 8 to 10 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  51°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: NNW 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  2-5 feet
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 18 to 24 knots
Seas:  SE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-5 feet

Sunday Morning
Winds: WNW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: W 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay at Island Beach State Park
Water Temperature:  41°F
Saturday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  N 16-18 knots becoming W in the afternoon with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Saturday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  WNW 14-18 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Sunday
Wind:  W 10-12 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Sunday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  W 11-16 knots increasing to 16-21 knots after midnight with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet


Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides
   
Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  48°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: WNW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  SE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 18 to 25 knots
Seas:  SE 5 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Sunday Morning
Winds: NW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides

Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  42°F
Saturday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NW 15-20 knots
Seas:  3-4 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  2-3 feet
Saturday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NW 15-20 knots diminishing to 10-15 knots after midnight
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet

Sunday
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Sunday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  W 15-20 knots becoming NW 20-25 knots after midnight with gusts to 35 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet


Delaware Bay (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware Bay Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  54°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: ENE 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 21 to 28 knots
Seas:  SSE 7 feet at 9 seconds

Sunday Morning
Winds: NW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  S 5 feet at 10 seconds
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 10 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



Ocean Currents

Surface




20 Meters (≈65 feet)







Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!



*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out!

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)


 

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