Author Topic: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition:Mar 28-Apr 1, 2016  (Read 1449 times)

Offline Pfishingruven

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A mixed week with average temperatures and mostly cautious to hazardous water conditions. Monday will continue with the rains that have been sporadic overnight. Rain is likely to be widely scattered to widespread for most of the day, tapering off late, and clearing for the overnight. Tuesday and Wednesday will be dry before showers return for Thursday and Friday Day. Friday Night will clear again and continue into the weekend. Highs will range from the 50’s to 60’s with overnight lows in the upper 20’s to 50’s. Water conditions will be mainly cautious with the movement of so many boundaries through the region. There will be some pockets of good, but mainly cautious to even hazardous with winds to 40 knots and seas to 12 feet with Small Craft Advisories and Gale Warnings possible. Surf and beach conditions will be ok to cautious, even hazardous later in the week with gusty winds and surf heights ranging from 1-3 feet all the way up to 5-9 feet. Water temperatures appears steady in the 40’s, however buoy links were down most of the weekend and were not reset probably due to the holiday.  UV Index will be Low to High at 0-6/15.

High pressure will continue to move offshore tonight. Low pressure moving through the Great Lakes will strengthen with a weaker secondary low developing off the Mid Atlantic Coast. This system is expected to bring a cold front to the area by midday Monday. High pressure moves in again on Tuesday and Wednesday. Another low pressure system moving through the Great Lakes Region will bring a warm front through the region Wednesday Night or Thursday, followed by a cold front Friday. A stronger cold front is expected to move through the area late next weekend.

The weekend is looking dry with highs in the 50’s and overnight lows in the 30’s to 40’s. Water, surf and beach conditions are borderline to cautious for both days.

Have a great week and thanks for reading!

Monday
Sky:   Cloudy becoming partly cloudy to mostly clear, Windy at night
Precipitation:  80% chance of rain during the day
Temperatures
High:    Mid 50’s to low 60’s
Low:   Upper 30’s to low 40’s inland
UV Index:  0-3/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:47am
Sunset: 7:16pm


Tuesday
Sky:  Sunny and clear, breezy during the day
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:    Low to mid 50’s
Low:   Low to mid 30’s inland and at the shore, upper 20’s northern areas
UV Index:  4-6/15 (Moderate-High)
Sunrise: 6:45am
Sunset: 7:17pm


Wednesday
Sky:  Sunny becoming mostly clear then partly cloudy, Breezy at night
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Low to upper 50’s
Low:   Low 40’s inland, mid to upper 40’s at the shore, upper 30’s northern areas
UV Index:  4-5/15 (Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:43am
Sunset: 7:18pm


Thursday
Sky:  Partly sunny to mostly cloudy becoming mostly cloudy to cloudy
Precipitation:  30%-70% chance of showers all day
Temperatures
High:   Low to upper 60’s
Low:   Low 50’s
UV Index:  1-4/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:42am
Sunset: 7:19pm
Last Qtr: 11:18am


Friday
Sky:  Mostly cloudy to cloudy becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  60%-70% chance of showers during the day
Temperatures
High:   Low to mid 60’s
Low:   Low to mid 40’s
UV Index:  1-4/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:40am
Sunset: 7:20pm


Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Sunday - Sunday



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  °F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  E 5-10 knots becoming W 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1-2 feet, Fog, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  3-6 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  W 20-25 knots with gusts to 35 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf (Ocean):  3-6 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NW 20-25 knots with gusts to 35 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf (Ocean):  3-6 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NW 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots diminishing with gusts after midnight
Seas:  2 feet, then 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  3-6 feet

Wednesday
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots becoming S in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  S 10-15 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  S 10-15 knots becoming SW 15-20 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf (Ocean):  4-8 feet
Thursday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  SW 15-20 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf (Ocean):  4-8 feet

Friday
Wind:  W 10-15 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  5-9 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  W 10-15 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  5-9 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                          



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  °F
Monday Morning
Winds: ENE 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  SE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  3-6 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  SE 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  3-6 feet
Tuesday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 23 to 32 knots
Seas:  W 5 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  3-6 feet

Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 20 to 27 knots
Seas:  WNW 4 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  3-6 feet

Wednesday Morning
Winds: NNW 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  SSE 1 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  SSE 1 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 18 to 24 knots
Seas:  S 5 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  4-8 feet

Thursday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 21 to 29 knots
Seas:  S 6 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  4-8 feet

Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  SSE 7 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  5-9 feet

Friday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 5 to 6 knots
Seas:  SSE 5 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  5-9 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  °F
Monday Morning
Winds: ENE 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: W 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Tuesday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 23 to 31 knots
Seas:  WNW 4 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet

Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 19 to 26 knots
Seas:  NW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet

Wednesday Morning
Winds: NNW 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:   1-3 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: S 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 17 to 24 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  4-8 feet

Thursday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 24 to 33 knots
Seas:  S 6 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  4-8 feet

Friday Morning
Winds: SW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  SSE 6 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  4-8 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 2 to 3 knots
Seas:  SSE 5 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  4-8 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides
Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  °F
Monday
Wind:  E 7-12 knots becoming WSW in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  W 23-25 knots with gusts to 35 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  WNW 19-22 knots with gusts to 31 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NNW 13-16 knots decreasing to 10-13 knots after midnight with gusts to 22 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Wednesday
Wind:  Variable winds less than 5 knots becoming S 5-10 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SSW 12-17 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  SSW 14-19 knots increasing to 20-25 knots in the afternoon with gusts to 33 knots
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  SSW 20-22 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet

Friday
Wind:  W 10-15 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  W 10-15 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  °F
Monday Morning
Winds: N 2 to 2 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  3-6 feet
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 20 to 26 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  3-6 feet

Tuesday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 23 to 31 knots
Seas:  WNW 5 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet

Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 19 to 26 knots
Seas:  WNW 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet

Wednesday Morning
Winds: N 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  NE 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet   
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: S 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  4-7 feet

Thursday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 23 to 31 knots
Seas:  S 5 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  4-7 feet

Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  SSE 6 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  5-8 feet
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SSW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  SSE 6 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  5-8 feet


Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  °F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  S 5-10 knots becoming 10-15 knots with gusts to 25 knots in the afternoon, then increasing to 20 knots with gusts to 30 knots late
Seas:  2-4 feet, Fog, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  1-3 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  W 20-25 knots with gusts to 35 knots
Seas:  4-5 feet
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NW 20-25 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  3-4 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  N 10-15 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet

Wednesday
Wind:  NE 5-10 knots becoming SE in the afternoon
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  S 10-15 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: S 15-20 knots increasing to 20-25 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  3-5 feet
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: S 20-25 knots diminishing to 15-20 after midnight
Seas:  3-5 feet
Surf:  2-4 feet

Friday[/]
Wind:  SW 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  W 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Chicken Canyon
Water Temperature:  °F
Monday Morning
Winds: WSW 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  SE 5 feet at 7 seconds
Monday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  SE 5 feet at 7 seconds
Tuesday Morning
HAZARDOUS
GALE WARNING
Winds: WNW 27 to 37 knots
Seas:  WNW 9 feet at 7 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
GALE WARNING
Winds: WNW 25 to 34 knots
Seas:  WNW 8 feet at 6 seconds

Wednesday Morning
Winds: NNW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  N 3 feet at 4 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: SW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 7 seconds
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 18 to 24 knots
Seas:  SW 5 feet at 6 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 19 to 26 knots
Seas:  SW 6 feet at 6 seconds

Friday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 23 to 31 knots
Seas:  S 11 feet at 9 seconds
Friday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 23 to 31 knots
Seas:  S 11 feet at 9 seconds


Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!




*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)
« Last Edit: March 28, 2016, 02:49:15 AM by Pfishingruven »


Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: Severe Weather Potential for Friday Evening/Night
« Reply #1 on: April 01, 2016, 04:48:35 PM »
While a large bulk of the storms have already exited the state, there is still potential for additional rain and thunderstorms this evening and through the overnight. Some of the storms could be strong to severe, as the sun has come out strong and is adding to instability, with many areas well into the 70's now. Storms are capable of heavy rains, dangerous lightning, damaging winds, hail and even isolated tornadoes! Be alert to changing weather conditions and have a way of receiving weather alerts.

Be safe! I am working on the weekend outlook...not great rgmn!









 

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