NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Sept 6-9, 2016

[Pfishingruven]

A more settled week with a return of heat and humidity with water conditions still churned up, but improving. As the unofficial end to Summer took place on Labor Day, late Summer fishing will be on hand. The last few days have felt like late Summer, but by the middle of the week, Summer heat and humidity will return. Showers and even some thunderstorms are possible on Tuesday and Wednesday. These look to be scattered, at best, although widely scattered more locally, is possible. Thursday and Friday look to be mostly dry. Highs will increase, starting in the low to mid 80’s for Tuesday, then into the mid 80’s and low 90’s. Humidity will increase to moderate the moderate to high. Overnight lows will range from low 60’s for northern areas up into the mid 70’s at the shore. Hermine really churned up the waters and beaches. Water conditions will start off cautious and hazardous for Tuesday, although southern waters will be better than northern conditions, as Hermine continues to move to the northeast. By Wednesday conditions will be good for rivers and bays and cautious for inshore ocean waters. Thursday rivers and bays will be good, but borderline during the day and cautious at night for inshore waters. Friday will have good conditions for rivers and bays and then borderline for inshore ocean waters. Midshore to offshore waters will be hazardous then cautious most of the week. Later in the week could be better. Surf conditions will be hazardous still on Tuesday with surf heights 5-10 feet with a High Risk of Rip Currents. Wednesday will have cautious surf conditions with surf heights 3-6 feet on average and a High Risk of Rip Currents. Thursday and Friday will be borderline to cautious with surf heights 2-4 feet and 1-3 feet with a Low to Moderate Risk of Rip Currents. Many beaches will be unguarded! This is not the week to swim at unguarded beaches. Be careful even in the wash. Beach conditions will likely be hazardous as well due to erosion and debris. Many beaches may not even be open yet, so check before going. Water temperatures are in the low 70’s. UV Index will be Moderate to High at 3-7/15.

The remnants of Hermine will continue to churn up the waters east of New Jersey through Wednesday and possibly Thursday. The effects of Hermine will be felt mainly at the sea shore and over the ocean waters. A weak frontal system over the area on Friday will have little effect on unseasonably warm or hot temperatures late in the week. A stronger cold front is forecast to cross the area Saturday night, followed by cooler temperatures and high pressure building in early next week.

The weekend will start off with chances of showers and thunderstorms on Saturday, then dry for Sunday. Highs will be in the mid 80’s to low 90’s with 60’s and 70’s for lows. Saturday will be the hotter of the two days. Humidity will be moderate to high. Water, surf and beach conditions will be good on Saturday and borderline for Sunday. Sunday could go either way, but winds will be gustier right now. Honestly, with a storm still affecting the forecasts, the weekend forecast could be very skewed. Also, while surf conditions may be good or back to normal, there is the high possibility that beach conditions will be dangerous with the erosion. Hermine has changed the structure of the surf and knowing that sand has shifted and changed and the possibility of debris, is important. Be careful on the sand!

Atlantic Tropics are quiet.

Have a great week and thanks for reading!

Tuesday
Sky:  Partly sunny to sunny becoming partly to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0% - 40% chance of showers during the day
Temperatures
High:   Low to mid 80’s
Low:   Upper 60’s inland, low 70’s at the shore, low 60’s northern areas
UV Index:  3-6/15 (Moderate - High)
Sunrise: 6:29am
Sunset: 7:20pm


Wednesday
Sky:  Mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  Slight Chance
Temperatures
High:   Mid 80’s to low 90’s
Low:   Low 70’s with mid 60’s northern areas
UV Index:  3-6/15 (Moderate - High)
Sunrise: 6:30am
Sunset: 7:19pm


Thursday
Sky:  Mostly sunny becoming partly to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0% - Slight Chance
Temperatures
High:   Upper 80’s to mid 90’s
Low:   Low to mid 70’s with upper 60’s northern areas
UV Index:  6-7/15 (High)
Sunrise: 6:31am
Sunset: 7:17pm


Friday
Sky:  Partly to mostly sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0% - Slight Chance
Temperatures
High:   Upper 80’s to mid 90’s
Low:   Low to mid 70’s with low to mid 60’s northern areas
UV Index:  5-7/15 (Moderate - High)
Sunrise: 6:32am
Sunset: 7:16pm
First Qtr: 7:50am


Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Tuesday - Friday



Severe Weather Threats for Wednesday



Atlantic Tropics





Current Drought Monitor



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  73°F
Tuesday
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:     N 10-15 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:     3 feet
Surf (Ocean):  5-10 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:     N 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:   2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  5-10 feet
Wednesday
Wind:     N 10-15 knots
Seas:     2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  3-6 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:     NW 5-10 knots becoming W after midnight
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  3-6 feet
Thursday
Wind:    W 5 knots becoming SW in the afternoon
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:     SW 5-10 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Friday
Wind:     W 5-10 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday Night
Wind:   W 5 knots becoming SE
Seas:   1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)
                         



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  73°F
Tuesday Morning
HAZARDOUS
TROPICAL STORM WARNING
Winds:    N 22 to 30 knots
Seas:    ESE 6 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:    5-10 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
TROPICAL STORM WARNING
Winds:    NNE 22 to 29 knots
Seas:    ESE 5 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     5-10 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    N 16 to 22 knots
Seas:    ESE 5 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:     3-6 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds:    N 11 to 15 knots
Seas:    ESE 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:    3-6 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds:    NNW 5 to 6 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds:    SSW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Friday Morning
Winds:    WNW 8 to 10 knots
Seas:    ESE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds:    WSW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:    ESE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  73°F
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
TROPICAL STORM WARNING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    N 21 to 28 knots
Seas:    E 7 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:     5-10 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
TROPICAL STORM WARNING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    N 20 to 27 knots
Seas:    ENE 6 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     5-10 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    N 17 to 23 knots
Seas:    E 5 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:   4-6 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds:    NNW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:   E 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:     4-6 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds:    NNW 3 to 4 knots
Seas:    E 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds:    SSE 7 to 10 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds:    WNW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:    ESE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds:    W 3 to 3 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature: 
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:     N 18 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:     1 foot
Surf:     0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:     N 14 knots or less
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Wednesday
Wind:     NW 8-13 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:     NW 6 knots becoming W after midnight
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Thursday
Wind:     W 5-9 knots becoming SSW in the afternoon
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:     SSW 1 knots becoming WSW after midnight
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Friday
Wind:     W 8 knots becoming SW in the afternoon
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind:     SSW 6 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  72°F
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    NW 16 to 22 knots
Seas:    E 5 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:     4-8 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds:    NW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:    ENE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     3-5 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds:    NW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:    ENE 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:     3-5 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds:    NW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:    ENE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds:    WNW 6 to 9 knots
Seas:    E 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds:    WSW 4 to 5 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds:    WNW 10 to 13 knots
Seas:    ESE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds:    W 7 to 9 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   



Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  72°F - 77°F
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:     NW 10-15 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:     3 feet
Surf:     1-2 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:     NW 5-10 knots
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:     1-2 feet
Wednesday
Wind:     W 5-10 knots
Seas:     2 feet
Surf:     1 foot
Wednesday Night
Wind:   W 5-10 knots
Seas:     2 feet
Surf:     1 foot
Thursday
Winds:   SW 5-10 knots
Seas:     2 feet
Surf:     1 foot
Thursday Night
Winds:   SW 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots after midnight
Seas:     2 feet
Surf:     1 foot
Friday
Wind:     W 5-10 knots
Seas:     2 feet
Surf:     1 foot
Friday Night
Wind:     SW 5 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Chicken Canyon
Water Temperature:  71°F
Tuesday Morning
HAZARDOUS
TROPICAL STORM WARNING
Winds:    NNW 26 to 36 knots
Seas:    ENE 11 feet at 9 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
TROPICAL STORM WARNING
Winds:    N 27 to 37 knots
Seas:    NNE 10 feet at 8 seconds
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    N 22 to 30 knots
Seas:    ENE 7 feet at 6 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    NNW 20 to 28 knots
Seas:    NNE 6 feet at 6 seconds
Thursday Morning
Winds:    NW 7 to 10 knots
Seas:    ESE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
Winds:    WSW 4 to 6 knots
Seas:    ESE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Friday Morning
Winds:    WNW 10 to 13 knots
Seas:    ESE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Friday Afternoon
Winds:    W 7 to 9 knots
Seas:    ESE 4 feet at 9 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!

*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)