NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition:Oct 31-Nov 4, 2016

[Pfishingruven]

Overall, not a terrible week for weather, but a mixed start and end for water conditions. As a cold front moves into the area, highs will only be in the 50’s on Monday and Tuesday with lows in the 30’s and 40’s. By Wednesday, things will warm up into the 60’s and 70’s with lows in the 40’s and 50’s before dropping back down into the 50’s with 30’s and 40’s for Friday and the weekend with another cold front. The cold front on Thursday will bring rain or shower chances as well. The rest of the week looks dry, except for maybe early Monday with some lingering showers possible. Water conditions will start and end borderline to cautious with good conditions on Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday until late. Monday, late Thursday, and Friday will have gusty winds and seas to 4+ feet inshore and 8 feet offshore. Surf and beach conditions will be the same with gusty winds on Monday, late Thursday, and Friday with surf heights to 4 feet. Water temperatures are steady in the 50’s and 60’s. UV Index will be Low to Moderate at 2-4/15.

A cold front will cross the region this evening, followed by high pressure building into the Northeast for the start of the new work week before moving into the Mid-Atlantic and Southeast by Wednesday morning. A cold front moves across the region Thursday night through Friday morning. High pressure briefly returns, but a back door cold front may impact the area next weekend.


The weekend looks dry but chilly with highs in the 40’s and 50’s and lows in the 30’s and 40’s. Water, surf and beach conditions are looking good, maybe some borderline spots, right now.

The Tropics are quiet still.

Have a great week and thanks for reading!

Monday
Sky:  Sunny, then mostly clear to clear, Breezy
Precipitation:  0% - Slight Chance
Temperatures
High:   Low to mid 50’s
Low:   Mid 30’s inland, low 40’s at the shore, mid to upper 20’s northern areas
UV Index:  2-4/15 (Low - Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:24am
Sunset: 5:56pm


Tuesday
Sky:  Mostly sunny to sunny becoming partly to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0% - Slight Chance
Temperatures
High:   Mid to upper 50’s
Low:   Upper 40’s to low 50’s inland, mid to upper 50’s at the shore, low 40’s northern areas
UV Index:  2-4/15 (Low - Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:25am
Sunset: 5:54pm


Wednesday
Sky:  Mostly sunny becoming partly to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0% - Slight Chance
Temperatures
High:   Mid to upper 60’s
Low:   Low to mid 50’s inland, mid to upper 50’s at the shore, upper 40’s northern areas
UV Index:  2-4/15 (Low - Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:26am
Sunset: 5:53pm


Thursday
Sky:  Partly sunny to mostly
Precipitation:  30% - 50% Chance of showers all day
Temperatures
High:   Upper 60’s to low 70’s
Low:   Mid to upper 40’s inland, low 50’s at the shore, low 40’s northern areas
UV Index:  2-3/15 (Low - Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:28am
Sunset: 5:52pm


Friday
Sky:   Mostly sunny to sunny becoming partly to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0% - Slight Chance
Temperatures
High:   Mid to upper 50’s
Low:   Low 40’s inland, upper 40’s at the shore, mid to upper 30’s for northern areas
UV Index:  2-4/15 (Low - Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:29am
Sunset: 5:51pm


Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Monday - Monday



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  59°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:     N winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt...diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Monday Night
Wind:     NE winds 5 to 10 kt
Seas:     1 ft or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Tuesday
Wind:     E winds around 5 kt...becoming S in the afternoon
Seas:     1 ft or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:     SW winds 5 to 10 kt
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Wednesday
Wind:     SW winds 5 to 10 kt
Seas:     1 ft or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:     SW winds 5 to 10 kt
Seas:     1 ft or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday
Wind:     SW winds 5 to 10 kt
Seas:     1 ft or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:     SW winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming NW 10 to 15 kt
Seas:     1 ft or less , then 1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday
Wind:     NW winds 10 to 15 kt
Seas:     2 ft
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday Night
Wind:     NW winds 10 to 15 kt...diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight
Seas:     2 ft, then 1 ft or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                         



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  59°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    N 18 to 24 knots
Seas:    N 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds:    NNW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:    SE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds:    ENE 4 to 6 knots
Seas:    SE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds:    SSE 6 to 8 knots
Seas:    SE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds:    WSW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds:    WSW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds:    WSW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:    ESE 1 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds:    SW 12 to 17 knots
Seas:    SE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    NNW 17 to 23 knots
Seas:    NNW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds:    NW 14 to 18 knots
Seas:    NW 2 feet at 3 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides
Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  62°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    NNW 17 to 23 knots
Seas:    NNE 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds:    N 11 to 15 knots
Seas:    NE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds:    ENE 2 to 3 knots
Seas:    ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds:    S 5 to 7 knots
Seas:    ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds:    WSW 9 to 13 knots
Seas:    ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds:    WSW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:    ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds:    WSW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:    E 1 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds:    WSW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:    E 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    NNW 17 to 23 knots
Seas:    NNE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    NW 15 to 20 knots
Seas:    NNE 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides
Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:
Monday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:     N wind 14 to 17 kt decreasing to 10 to 13 kt in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 24 kt
Seas:     1 ft or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Monday Night
Wind:     NNE wind 5 to 7 kt
Seas:     1 ft or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Tuesday
Wind:     Variable winds less than 5 kt becoming S 5 to 7 kt in the afternoon
Seas:     1 ft or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:     S wind 6 to 8 kt
Seas:     1 ft or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Wednesday
Wind:     SW wind 5 to 7 kt
Seas:     1 ft or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:     SW wind around 6 kt
Seas:     1 ft or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Thursday
Wind:     SW wind 6 to 10 kt
Seas:     1 ft or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Thursday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:     W wind 10 to 14 kt becoming NNW after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 20 kt
Seas:     1 ft or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Friday
Wind:     NW winds 10 to 15 kt
Seas:     1 ft or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind:     NW winds 10 to 15 kt...diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight
Seas:     1 ft or less
Surf:     0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  60°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    NNW 18 to 25 knots
Seas:    NNE 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds:    N 12 to 16 knots
Seas:    NE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds:    ENE 4 to 6 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds:    SSE 4 to 5 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds:    SW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds:    WSW 7 to 9 knots
Seas:    ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds:    WSW 10 to 13 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds:    SW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:    E 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    N 18 to 24 knots
Seas:    NNE 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    NNW 16 to 22 knots
Seas:    NNE 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  60°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:     N winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt... Diminishing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon
Seas:     2-3 ft
Surf:     1-2 feet
Monday Night
Wind:     NE winds 5 to 10 kt
Seas:     1 ft or less, then 1-2 ft early evening
Surf:     1 foot
Tuesday
Wind:     E winds around 5 kt...becoming SE in the afternoon
Seas:     1-2 ft
Surf:     1 foot
Tuesday Night
Wind:     S winds 5 to 10 kt
Seas:     1-2 ft
Surf:     1 foot
Wednesday
Wind:     SW winds around 5 kt
Seas:     1-2 ft
Surf:     1 foot
Wednesday Night
Wind:     SW winds around 5 kt
Seas:     1-2 ft
Surf:     1 foot
Thursday
Winds:    SW winds 5 to 10 kt
Seas:     1-2 ft
Surf:     1 foot
Thursday Night
Winds:    W winds 10 to 15 kt...becoming NW after midnight
Seas:     2-3 ft
Surf:     1-2 feet
Friday
Wind:     N winds around 15 kt
Seas:     3 ft
Surf:     2 feet
Friday Night
Wind:     NW winds 10 to 15 kt
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:     1-2 feet

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Chicken Canyon
Water Temperature:  61°F - 64°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    N 19 to 26 knots
Seas:    NNW 5 feet at 5 seconds
Monday Afternoon
Winds:    N 13 to 18 knots
Seas:    NNE 5 feet at 6 seconds
Tuesday Morning
Winds:    NE 4 to 5 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds:    SSE 2 to 3 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Wednesday Morning
Winds:    WSW 10 to 13 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds:    WSW 11 to 14 knots
Seas:    E 2 feet at 9 seconds
Thursday Morning
Winds:    SW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:    E 3 feet at 10 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    SW 17 to 23 knots
Seas:    SW 4 feet at 5 seconds
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    N 19 to 25 knots
Seas:    N 5 feet at 5 seconds
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    N 15 to 21 knots
Seas:    N 5 feet at 5 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)

Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
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*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)