NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook: Week Edition June 10-14, 2013

[Pfishingruven]

The bulk of the rain has moved offshore.  The severe weather stayed just south of NJ with two possible tornadoes in Delaware yesterday, one causing some significant damage.  Today will be partly cloudy with a chance of scattered or isolated showers or thunderstorms.  There is still a cold front sitting to the west of the area and the warm front has lifted to the northern part of the state.  Highs in the upper 70's along/on the water and low to mid 80's inland with lows only into the mid 60's tonight.  Moderate to high humidity will continue.  There are still Flood Warnings for Ocean County, Burlington County & Morris County for minor river flooding.  Small Craft Advisories are in effect until 5 PM for Long Island through Delaware excluding Raritan Bay and Delaware Bay.  SW winds will continue at 15-20 knots with seas at 4-6 feet.  These conditions should improve over the day, with winds and seas subsiding by afternoon to late afternoon.  Surf conditions will be moderate with moderate risk of rip currents with SW winds 10-15 knots and waves around 4 feet.  UV Index is Very High at 8/10.

Tomorrow's forecast looks the same.  A chance of showers and thunderstorms all day, Inshore water conditions good, Midshore to Offshore water conditions cautious, surf conditions good.  Thursday now has a chance of severe weather across most of the state and showers have moved into the forecast for Friday.

Have a good day!

[Pfishingruven]

Mostly sunny morning so far with some clouds moving in today.  South breeze around 5 knots with some gusts to 10 knots.  Low chance of scattered or isolated showers/thunderstorms today with chances increasing later in the evening into the overnight.  Highs in the mid 80's inland and mid to upper 70's along/on the water.  There is a Flood Warning still for Burlington County for the Rancocas Creek.  A Flood Watch has also been issued for Sussex, Warren, Hunterdon, Somerset, Middlesex, Monmouth, Mercer, Salem, Gloucester, Camden, Burlington & Ocean Counties from Thursday Morning through Thursday Night.  Inshore water conditions are rated good, however S winds are pushing 15-20 knots with seas 3-4 feet at 8 seconds.  There is currently a Small Craft Advisory for New York Harbor/Raritan Bay through 6PM today with NW winds 15-20 knots, gusts to 25 knots and seas 1-2 feet.  Winds will switch to the east later today.  Midshore to Offshore has cautious conditions with Small Craft Advisories for NW winds to 25 knots and seas 5-6 feet at 8 seconds.  Surf conditions are moderate with moderate risk for rip currents.  W winds 10-15 knots and wave heights at 3 feet.

There is a chance of Severe Weather across the Upper Central US through the Mid Atlantic (see map).  Widespread damaging winds, hail, severe thunderstorms with heavy rains, dangerous lightning and tornadoes cannot be ruled out.  For Southern and Western NJ the main risk if going to be damaging winds and hail.  All of NJ should be alert to this today!

Our area has a Moderate Risk for Thursday.  I will have a complete Outlook on the Severe Weather coming up within next few hours.  I am just reviewing some data, models and forecasts.  Tomorrow is a day to be Weather Alert and not take your chances that the weatherman is wrong!

Have a good day!

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
358 AM EDT WED JUN 12 2013

...ANOTHER PERIOD OF HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED FOR THURSDAY INTO
THURSDAY NIGHT...

.STRONG LOW PRESSURE FROM THE WEST IS FORECAST TO BRING ANOTHER
ROUND OF HEAVY RAIN TO EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA, NEW JERSEY, DELAWARE
AND NORTHEASTERN MARYLAND FROM THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT.

DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ001-007>010-012>020-026-027-PAZ054-055-060>062-
070-071-101>106-122100-
/O.NEW.KPHI.FA.A.0002.130613T1400Z-130614T1000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-
MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-
GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER-
WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...ELKTON...NEWTON...
WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...
NEW BRUNSWICK...FREEHOLD...SANDY HOOK...TRENTON...PENNSVILLE...
GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...
JACKSON...LONG BEACH ISLAND...WHARTON STATE FOREST...JIM THORPE...
STROUDSBURG...READING...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...EASTON...MEDIA...
PHILADELPHIA...HONEY BROOK...OXFORD...WEST CHESTER...
KENNET SQUARE...COLLEGEVILLE...POTTSTOWN...NORRISTOWN...
LANSDALE...CHALFONT...PERKASIE...MORRISVILLE...DOYLESTOWN
358 AM EDT WED JUN 12 2013

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WATCH FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES. IN DELAWARE...NEW
  CASTLE. IN MARYLAND...CECIL. IN NEW JERSEY...SUSSEX...WARREN...
  MORRIS...HUNTERDON...SOMERSET...MIDDLESEX...MERCER...
  MONMOUTH...OCEAN...BURLINGTON...CAMDEN...GLOUCESTER AND SALEM.
  IN PENNSYLVANIA...CARBON...MONROE...NORTHAMPTON...LEHIGH...
  BERKS...CHESTER...MONTGOMERY...BUCKS...PHILADELPHIA AND
  DELAWARE.

* FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT

* RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED FROM THURSDAY
  INTO THURSDAY NIGHT WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. RIVERS AND
  CREEKS ARE RUNNING HIGH DUE TO THE HEAVY RAIN THAT OCCURRED ON
  FRIDAY AND ON MONDAY. AS A RESULT, IT WILL NOT TAKE MUCH RAIN TO
  PRODUCE NEW FLOODING IN OUR REGION.

* THE GREATEST THREAT FOR FLOODING ON THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT
  IS ALONG SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS AS WELL AS IN AREAS OF POOR
  DRAINAGE. AREA ROADWAYS THAT TEND TO FLOOD EASILY WILL ALSO BE
  IMPACTED. MINOR FLOODING ALONG SOME OF THE MAIN STEM RIVERS,
  SUCH AS THE PASSAIC, THE RARITAN AND THE SCHUYLKILL IS POSSIBLE.
  SIGNIFICANT RISES ARE ANTICIPATED ON THE DELAWARE RIVER, BUT AT
  THIS POINT IT APPEARS AS THOUGH THE DELAWARE SHOULD REMAIN
  WITHIN ITS BANKS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING
BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS.

PLEASE CHECK FOR UPDATED FORECASTS TODAY AND TONIGHT AND BE ALERT
FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS ON THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT. IF YOU
LIVE IN AN AREA THAT IS PRONE TO FLOODING, BE PREPARED TO TAKE
ACTION IF FLOODING DEVELOPS.

&&

$$

MEOLA/IOVINO

Small Craft Advisory
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
634 AM EDT WED JUN 12 2013

MONTAUK POINT NEW YORK TO SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY OUT 20 NM OFFSHORE
INCLUDING LONG ISLAND SOUND...LONG ISLAND BAYS AND NEW YORK HARBOR

ANZ338-122215-
NEW YORK HARBOR-
634 AM EDT WED JUN 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM
EDT THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. WAVES 1 TO
2 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT. WAVES
1 FT OR LESS. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.THU...SE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. WAVES 1 TO 2 FT. SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE
MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND SCATTERED TSTMS IN THE AFTERNOON WITH
VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS AROUND 15 KT...BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT.
WAVES 1 TO 2 FT. SHOWERS. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.FRI...N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. WAVES 2 TO 3 FT.
SHOWERS LIKELY...MAINLY IN THE MORNING.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WINDS AROUND 10 KT. WAVES 1 TO 2 FT.
.SAT...W WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. WAVES 1 FT OR LESS.
.SUN...SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. WAVES 1 FT OR LESS. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
THROUGH THE NIGHT.

WINDS AND WAVES HIGHER IN AND NEAR TSTMS.

$$


Small Craft Advisory
URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
445 AM EDT WED JUN 12 2013

...GUSTY WINDS ON THE WATERS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

ANZ338-121645-
/O.EXB.KOKX.SC.Y.0059.130612T1400Z-130612T2200Z/
NEW YORK HARBOR-
445 AM EDT WED JUN 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM
EDT THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW YORK HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM EDT
THIS EVENING.

* LOCATION...NEW YORK HARBOR.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* TIMING...HIGHEST WINDS WILL BE FROM THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY
  AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

[Pfishingruven]

Small Craft Advisories have been issued by NWS PHI for Sandy Hook to Delaware including Raritan Bay and Delaware Bay from Thursday Afternoon to Friday Night.  Small Craft Advisories are also in effect for all of Long Island.  Gale Watches have been issued by NWS NYC for New York Waters and Gale Warnings have been issued for Offshore Waters bordering NY.

Small Craft Advisory
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
407 PM EDT WED JUN 12 2013

SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE TO 20 NM OFFSHORE AND DELAWARE
BAY

ANZ452-453-131000-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
407 PM EDT WED JUN 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING SE. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. MAINLY
IN SE SWELL WITH A DOMINANT PERIOD OF 8 SECONDS. A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF TSTMS MAINLY LATE.
.THU...S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT...BECOMING SW
15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 TO
4 FT...BUILDING TO 4 TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. MAINLY IN S SWELL
WITH A DOMINANT PERIOD OF 8 SECONDS. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
TSTMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS WITH A CHANCE OF TSTMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. TSTMS...SHOWERS. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.FRI...NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT...BECOMING N
15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 TO
5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. SEAS
2 TO 4 FT.
.SAT...NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. GUSTS UP TO 25 KT IN THE MORNING.
SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS AROUND 2 FT.
.SUN...SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO
3 FT...BUILDING TO 4 TO 7 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS THROUGH THE
NIGHT. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.MON...SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT...SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 4 FT. A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND TSTMS. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM IN THE MORNING.

WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN AND NEAR TSTMS.

$$
URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
407 PM EDT WED JUN 12 2013

ANZ450>455-131000-
/O.NEW.KPHI.SC.Y.0059.130613T1600Z-130615T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
407 PM EDT WED JUN 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON THURSDAY TO 8 PM EDT
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON THURSDAY TO 8 PM
EDT FRIDAY.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP TO
  30 KT THURSDAY, THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST.

* SEAS...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
407 PM EDT WED JUN 12 2013

ANZ431-131000-
/O.NEW.KPHI.SC.Y.0059.130613T1600Z-130613T2200Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
407 PM EDT WED JUN 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 6 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 6 PM EDT
THURSDAY.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25
  KT.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
407 PM EDT WED JUN 12 2013

SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE TO 20 NM OFFSHORE AND DELAWARE
BAY

ANZ450-451-131000-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
407 PM EDT WED JUN 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...

.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING SE LATE THIS EVENING
AND OVERNIGHT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. MAINLY IN SE SWELL WITH A DOMINANT
PERIOD OF 8 SECONDS. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
TSTMS LATE.
.THU...SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT...BECOMING S
15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN
BECOMING SW LATE. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT...BUILDING TO 4 TO 6 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. MAINLY IN S SWELL WITH A DOMINANT PERIOD OF 8 SECONDS.
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND TSTMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS WITH A
CHANCE OF TSTMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. SEAS
4 TO 7 FT. TSTMS. RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN SHOWERS AFTER
MIDNIGHT WITH VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.FRI...NW WINDS 25 TO 30 KT...BECOMING N 20 TO 25 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. SEAS
3 TO 4 FT.
.SAT...NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. GUSTS UP TO 25 KT IN THE MORNING.
SEAS 2 TO 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS AROUND 2 FT.
.SUN...SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT... BUILDING TO 4 TO
7 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.MON...SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT...SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 4 FT. A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND TSTMS. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM IN THE MORNING.

WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN AND NEAR TSTMS.

$$
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
407 PM EDT WED JUN 12 2013

SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE TO 20 NM OFFSHORE AND DELAWARE
BAY

ANZ454-455-131000-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
407 PM EDT WED JUN 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING SE. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT.
MAINLY IN SE SWELL WITH A DOMINANT PERIOD OF 8 SECONDS. A CHANCE
OF SHOWERS WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF TSTMS ESPECIALLY LATE.
.THU...S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT...BECOMING SW
15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 TO
5 FT. MAINLY IN S SWELL WITH A DOMINANT PERIOD OF 8 SECONDS.   A
CHANCE OF TSTMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY WITH A CHANCE OF TSTMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.THU NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...BECOMING W 20 TO 25 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. TSTMS... SHOWERS. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.FRI...NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...BECOMING N 15 TO 20 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. SEAS
2 TO 4 FT.
.SAT...NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS AROUND 2 FT.
.SUN...SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO
3 FT...BUILDING TO 4 TO 6 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS THROUGH THE
NIGHT. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.MON...SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND TSTMS. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM IN THE MORNING.

WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN AND NEAR TSTMS.

$$
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
407 PM EDT WED JUN 12 2013

SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE TO 20 NM OFFSHORE AND DELAWARE
BAY

ANZ431-131000-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
407 PM EDT WED JUN 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING SE. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF TSTMS ESPECIALLY LATE.
.THU...S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT...BECOMING SW
15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 TO
4 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND TSTMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS
WITH A CHANCE OF TSTMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
.THU NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. SEAS
2 TO 4 FT. TSTMS...SHOWERS. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.FRI...NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. GUSTS UP TO 30 KT IN THE MORNING.
SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT.
.SAT...NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT.
.SUN...SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
THROUGH THE NIGHT. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.MON...SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND TSTMS. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM IN THE MORNING.

WINDS AND WAVES HIGHER IN AND NEAR TSTMS.

$$

[Pfishingruven]

Severe warned storms have already moved through the state with damaging winds, hail, prolific dangerous lightning, and heavy rains causing flash flooding the state.  Any remaining rain will move out within the next hour or so.  Cloudy conditions with possible sun will return with highs into the upper 70's inland.  Scattered and/or isolated storms could pop up all day.  More scattered and organized storms will start in the afternoon anytime between 2 PM and into the overnight.  Storms could be strong or severe causing damaging winds, hail, possible tornadoes, dangerous lightning and heavy rains.  Depending on how much sun we get this afternoon will really depend on how unstable the atmosphere gets.  However, there is still a lot of wind shear forecast, so spin up storms could still happen.  This is more of a nowcast then a forecast.  Flood Watches and Warnings are likely due to River Flooding and flash flooding conditions.

Water conditions will be cautious to hazardous with Small Craft Advisories for all coastal waters and bays.  Some of the worst atmospheric conditions are forecast over coastal waters, so storms entering coastal waters could intensify rapidly!  Inshore waters will have SE winds around 25 knots with higher gusts and seas 4-6 feet at 6 seconds.    Midshore to Offshore will have SE winds to 30 knots and seas 6-8 feet at 6 seconds.  Winds and seas within thunderstorms will be higher than this.  Surf conditions are Moderate with moderate rip currents and wave heights 2-4 feet with SE winds to 25 knots and higher gusts.

Tomorrow will have a chance of showers and water conditions will be worse than today.  I will get around to updating tomorrows forecast later today!

Lots of weather going on...be alert and stay safe!

Matt

[Pfishingruven]

Anyone sick of this crazy weather yet?

So, here is the update for Friday.  Cloudy with a chance of showers earlier in the day.  Eventually clearing out by afternoon, once the Low is off to the northeast.  Then mostly sunny with highjavascript:void(0);s only into the 70's and an overnight low of mid to upper 50's with cooler temperatures along/on the water and in northwestern NJ.

Inshore water conditions will start off cautious to hazardous with NE/NNE winds to 30 knots and seas 5-6 feet.  As the low lifts northeast winds and seas will diminish to N at 5 knots and seas 5 feet at 8 seconds.  Winds make increase some, however seas will continue to diminish into the overnight and weekend.  Midshore to Offshore will be hazardous and then cautious with winds to 30+ knots and seas to 10 feet.  Conditions will take longer to improve in this area than inshore.  Both locations will have Small Craft Advisories, Inshore through later afternoon and Midshore to Offshore into the overnight or early Saturday.  This will also be the same for Raritan Bay and Delaware Bay, however seas will not make it much above 4 feet max.  Areas east of Sandy Hook along southern Long Island will continue Gale Warnings through most of the day before changing to SCA's.  Surf conditions will be moderate with moderate risk of rip current and some higher, rougher surf around 3-4 feet with NNE/NE winds averaging 15-20 knots with some gusts to 30 knots.  Again, these conditions will improve as the day progresses.

Friday Night and into the weekend through Sunday Evening look good right now, with some high pressure taking over.  I will have a full Weekend Outlook coming up.

Have a good night!

[Pfishingruven]

Some scattered showers across most of the state.  These will move out within the next couple of hours and then mostly cloudy skies with some sun are possible through tonight.  A scattered or isolated shower or thunderstorm are possible during the afternoon into the evening.  Clouds will gradually clear into tonight.  The Low is east of New England already.  This is good as it will stop influencing our weather, winds and water conditions.  Highs will only get into the low 70's today with overnight lows into the mid 50's.  Water conditions are cautious across all coastal waters including New York Harbor, Raritan Bay, Delaware Bay into the Delaware River with Small Craft Advisories.  N/NW winds will approach 30 knots with seas 5-6 feet.  Surf is Moderate and elevated with moderate risk for rip currents with waves around 5 feet and NW winds at 25 knots.  These conditions should start clearing about  this afternoon.

Have a good day and looking forward to a decent weekend!