NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekend Edition: Mar 15-16, 2014

[Pfishingruven]

A continuing and unsettled Winter pattern will bring precipitation this weekend and cautious to hazardous water conditions. Saturday will have a mix of sun and clouds with a lower chance of rain showers with a mix of rain and snow showers across the north/northwest. Any precipitation will be scattered and clearing out by Saturday Night. Saturday’s highs will be in the 50’s and 60’s with 40’s across the north. Overnight lows will be in the 20’s and 30’s. Sunday Day will be a mix of clouds with cloud building into the overnight and chances of snow with snow/mix/rain for southern areas. Highs on Sunday will be cooler than Saturday in the 30’s and 40’s with overnight lows in the 20’s and 30’s. Sunday Night could see a moderate to significant Winter Storm with accumulating snow into Monday and Tuesday. Timing on this system is questionable, as is track, intensity and amount of snow. Models have just come on board with this solution the last 24 hours. There are a lot of factors that go into a late season storm like this. Updates to come on this system…Water conditions will be Cautious to Hazardous to start the weekend with Small Craft Advisories likely through Saturday Afternoon. Conditions should subside until Sunday Night. Offshore waters look to be mostly cautious to hazardous this weekend. Sunday Night will see a return of winds and building seas with Small Craft Advisories and potentially Gale Warnings. Surf and beach conditions will be good to ok. Saturday could see Cautious Conditions to start, with gusty winds, rough surf and wave heights 2-4 feet. Saturday Afternoon will see improving conditions through Sunday with conditions worsening again on Sunday Night. Water temperatures are still in the mid to upper 30’s inshore with offshore waters in the mid 40’s. UV Index will be Moderate at 3-4/15.

A brief appearance of high pressure today and tonight before a weak cold front passes through early Saturday Morning. Another cold front will move into the area late Saturday Night into Sunday Morning setting the stage for a possible low pressure system passing by or through the region on Monday. High pressure then moves in for Tuesday while another low pressure moves in Wednesday into Thursday.

Next week looks wet with snow to start the week, clearing Tuesday Night and then rain chances returning for mid through the end of the week. Temperatures will be cold to start with 20’s and low 30’s, increasing by Wednesday to upper 30’s then into the 40’s by the end of the week, even some 50’s are likely. The main concern this week is the potential for a late season Winter Storm on Sunday through Tuesday. Water, surf and beach conditions will start off poor with Cautious to Hazardous conditions due to a low pressure system moving off to sea. Conditions look questionable through Wednesday before improving, hopefully, for Thursday and Friday.

Have a great weekend!

Saturday
Sky:  Partly sunny becoming partly to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  20%-40% chance of showers (rain and snow for northern areas) during the day, 0%-slight chance at night
Temperatures
High:     Upper 50’s to low 60’s inland and along the coast, low 50’s across the north
Low:     Low 30’s inland, mid 30’s along the coast, low to mid 20’s across the north
UV Index:  3-4/15 (Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:09am
Sunset: 7:02pm


Sunday
Sky:  Partly sunny to mostly cloudy becoming cloudy into the overnight
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance during the day, 30%-80% chance of snow/rain at night (rain for Southern NJ)
Temperatures
High:     Low to mid 40’s inland and along the coast, mid 30’s across the north
Low:     Upper 20’s inland, low to mid 30’s along the coast, low 20’s across the north
UV Index:  4/15 (Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:07am
Sunset: 7:03pm
Full Moon: 1:10pm


Friday Night Surface Analysis



Saturday Surface Analysis



Sunday Surface Analysis



Friday – Monday Precipitation Total



 Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts
Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  37°F
Saturday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  SW 10-15 knots becoming W 15-20 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Saturday Night
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots 
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Sunday
Wind:  NW 10 knots 
Seas:  1 foot
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Sunday Night
Wind:  NE 10-15 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm decreasing to less than 1 nm after midnight
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet increasing to 2-4 feet

Sandy Hook (Bay) Tides

Sandy Hook Tides




Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  37°F
Saturday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  SSE 5 feet at 7 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds: NW 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: NNW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  S 1 feet at 6 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet becoming 2-4 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  37°F
Saturday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds: NNW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: N 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  S 1 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay at Island Beach State Park
Water Temperature:  35°F
Saturday
Wind:  SW 11-14 knots becoming W in the afternoon
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  0-1 feet
Saturday Night
Wind:  W 7-10 knots becoming NNW after midnight
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Sunday
Wind:  NNW 8-10 knots becoming NE in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Sunday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NE 10-15 knots increasing 15-20 knots after midnight with gusts to 27 knots
Seas:  1 foot increasing to 3 feet
Surf:  0-1 feet, then 1-2 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides
   
Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  35°F
Saturday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 20 to 27 knots
Seas:  SSE 6 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: W 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds: N 12 to 17 knots
Seas:  NNE 2 feet at 3 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: NE 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  ENE 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides

Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  36°F-39°F
Saturday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  W 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Saturday Night
Wind:  W 5-10 knots becoming N after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Sunday
Wind:  NE 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Sunday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NE 15-20 knots increasing to 20-25 knots after midnight
Seas:  3-5 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet

Delaware Bay (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware Bay Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  44 °F
Saturday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 23 to 31 knots
Seas:  SSW 9 feet at 8 seconds
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  SSW 7 feet at 8 seconds
Sunday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 15 to 21 knots
Seas:  NW 4 feet at 5 seconds
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: NNW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 6 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperatures 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)

Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!

*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out!

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)