Author Topic: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Sept 15-19, 2014  (Read 1160 times)

Offline Pfishingruven

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A mixed week again, with unsettled boundaries moving through the state all week. Monday will continue dry during the day with increasing clouds. Showers are possible tonight, continuing into Tuesday Morning and Tuesday Day before clearing out for Tuesday Night. Then the rest of the week looks dry with more sun than clouds. Wednesday could see very low chances of showers. High temperatures will be in the upper 60’s to mid 70’s with overnight lows in the low to mid 50’s. Along the coast will see warmer lows into the 60’s as warmer ocean waters influence the air and northern areas could see lows dip down into the low to mid 40’s. Water conditions will continue to be good for Monday. Tuesday could see some gustier winds and seas building. By Wednesday conditions will be borderline with seas building to 3-5 and 4-7 feet through Friday with a longer period swell towards 15 seconds. This is from passing fronts and systems and some long reaching affects of Edouard. Friday could see cautious conditions inshore and Thursday and Friday could see cautious conditions midshore to offshore. Surf and beach conditions look good to ok. Gustier winds the end of the week are likely and some rougher, higher surf around 2-4 feet are possible also. Rip Current Risk is Low to Moderate. Water temperatures have dropped a few degrees into the mid to upper 60’s with low to mid 70’s for Southern and Offshore waters. UV Index will be High.

High pressure across the region will gradually shift offshore by Monday Evening, allowing a cold front to cross the area late Monday Night into early Tuesday. More high pressure from the Plains and Midwest will build east into the Mid Atlantic later Tuesday through Wednesday. A weak cold front may pass through the area late on Wednesday Night into early Thursday, followed by another area of high pressure settling over the region Thursday through Friday. This high pressure will move offshore Saturday, allowing a cold front to approach the region from the west on Sunday.

Edouard is out in the Atlantic heading to the northeast and is not a threat to the US. The Eastern Pacific is active again, with Hurricane Odile making landfall near Cabo San Lucas, Mexico and affecting the entire Baja California Peninsula as a strong Category 3 Hurricane. There are also 2 other invest areas being watched in the Pacific.

The weekend will be mostly dry with more sun than clouds. Sunday could see a slight chance of showers. Temperatures will continue in the 60’s and 70’s with overnight lows in the 40’s to 60’s. Humidity will be low to moderate. Starting to get that cooler, drier Fall air moving in, although Summer is not letting go of the daytime temperatures quit yet. Water conditions could be borderline on Saturday and good for Sunday. Surf and beach conditions will be good, possibly some gustier winds on Saturday with normal surf around 1-3 feet and a Low Risk of Rip Currents.

Have a great week, thanks for reading and sorry for the delay!

Monday
Sky:  Sunny becoming increasingly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance during the day, 30%-60% chance of rain at night
Temperatures
High:   Upper 60’s to low 70’s
Low:   Upper 50’s inland, low 60’s along the coast, upper 40’s across the north
UV Index:  7/15 (High)
Sunrise: 6:37am
Sunset: 7:07pm
Last Qtr: 10:06pm


Tuesday
Sky:  Cloudy becoming mostly clear
Precipitation:  30%-60% chance of rain during the day, 0%-slight chance at night
Temperatures
High:   Low to mid 70’s
Low:   Low 50’s inland, mid to upper 50’s along the coast, mid 40’s across the north
UV Index:  4-6/15 (Moderate-High)
Sunrise: 6:38am
Sunset: 7:05pm


Wednesday
Sky:   Sunny then mostly clear
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Upper 60’s to low 70’s
Low:   Low 50’s inland, Upper 50’s to low 60’s along the coast, mid 40’s across the north
UV Index:  7/15 (High)
Sunrise: 6:39am
Sunset: 7:03pm


Thursday
Sky:  Sunny to mostly sunny then mostly clear to partly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Upper 60’s to low 70’s
Low:   Low 50’s inland, low 60’s along the coast, low to mid 40’s across the north
UV Index:  7/15 (High)
Sunrise: 6:40am
Sunset: 7:02pm


Friday
Sky:  Sunny to mostly sunny then mostly clear to partly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Upper 60’s to low 70’s
Low:   Low to mid 50’s inland, low 60’s along the coast, mid 40’s across the north
UV Index:  7/15 (High)
Sunrise: 6:41am
Sunset: 7:00pm


Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Sunday - Sunday



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  69°F
Monday
Wind:   N 5 knots becoming SW in the afternoon
Seas:    1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  W 10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  N 10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  N 5-10 knots becoming W in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots becoming W after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots becoming NE in the evening
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  NE 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less, then 1-2 feet after midnight
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday
Wind:  E 10-15 knots
Seas:  2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  E 10-15 knots
Seas:  2 feet subsiding to 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                         



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  69°F
Monday Morning

Monday Afternoon
Winds: N 5-10 becoming W then SW
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: WSW 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: N 3 to 5 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: N 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 15 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: NNE 2 to 3 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 14 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: WNW 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 13 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: NW 1 to 2 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 12 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: NE 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  66°F
Monday Morning

Monday Afternoon
Winds: N 5-10 becoming SW
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: SW 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 15 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: N 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 15 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: N 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 15 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: NE 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 15 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: NW 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 13 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: NNW 1 to 2 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 12 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: NE 14 to 18 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: ENE 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  ENE 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet


Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  68°F
Monday
Wind:  Variable winds 5 knots or less
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  S 5-8 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  W 9-12 knots becoming NW in the afternoon
Seas:  2 feet subsiding to 1 foot or less in the afternoon
Surf:  1 foot
Tuesday Night
Wind:  N 11 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  NNW 5-9 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  Variable winds 5 knots or less
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday
Wind:  N 8 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  Variable winds less than 5 knots becoming NE 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday
Wind:  NE 11-13 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet t
Friday Night
Wind:  NE 11-13 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  72°F
Monday Morning

Monday Afternoon
Winds: N 5-10 knots becoming SW then S, increasing to SW 10-15 knots tonight
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  4-6 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: WSW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  4-6 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: NNW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 15 seconds
Surf:  4-6 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: NNE 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 15 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet   
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: NE 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 15 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: NNE 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 13 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 5 to 6 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 12 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: NE 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: ENE 15 to 21 knots
Seas:  ENE 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet


Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  74°F
Monday
Wind:  NW 5 knots becoming SW late
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Monday Night
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet

Tuesday Night
Wind:  N 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:   1-2 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  N 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  NE 5 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday
Wind:  NE 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  NE 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots after midnight
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday
Wind:  E 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  E 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  75°F
Monday Morning

Monday Afternoon
Winds: Variable winds less than 5 knots becoming SW tonight
Seas:  2-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: SW 6 to 9 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 15 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: NNW 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 16 seconds
Wednesday Morning
Winds: NNE 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  ESE 5 feet at 15 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: NNE 8 to 10 knots
Seas:  ESE 6 feet at 15 seconds
Thursday Morning
Winds: N 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 13 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: NNW 5 to 6 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 12 seconds
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT AD VISORY
Winds: ENE 18 to 24 knots
Seas:  ESE 5 feet at 11 seconds
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT AD VISORY
Winds: ENE 18 to 24 knots
Seas:  ENE 6 feet at 6 seconds


Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)


 





Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!




*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)


 

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