NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekend Edition: Oct 18-19, 2014

[Pfishingruven]

Not a bad weather weekend, but cautious to hazardous conditions across the boards for water conditions. The weekend looks dry, except for some very low chances of showers on Saturday mainly across the northern part of the state. It will be sunny with a mix of clouds. Highs will be in the 60’s and 70’s on Saturday with overnight lows in the 40’s and on Sunday temperatures will only be in the 50’s with 30’s overnight. Northern areas could possibly see the first freezing temperatures depending on how cloudy and how calm the winds become on Sunday Night. Other areas will definitely have chances of frost for Sunday Night. Saturday and Sunday will be windy as well and humidity will be low. Water conditions are poor for this weekend with Small Craft Advisories posted already for Saturday. Even rivers and bays will see 15-25 knot winds with gusts to 25-30 knots. Ocean seas will be 5-10 feet with a long period swell from Hurricane Gonzalo passing well to the east. Conditions will be cautious to hazardous. Surf and beach conditions will be ok to cautious. Gusty winds, rough surf, high seas and high rip current risks will make for some sporty conditions. Winds could gust to 30 knots and wave heights could reach 10+ feet on Saturday and slightly better at 4-8 feet or so on Sunday. Localized beach erosion is likely as well. Water temperatures have warmed by a few degrees, still in the mid 60’s to low 70’s. UV Index will be Moderate.

A cold front will cross the area early Saturday with high pressure building in over the rest of the weekend. High pressure will then move across the region on Monday. A frontal boundary will cross the area on Tuesday with another system developing along it as it moves to our east. The second system will be slow moving and will impact the area through at least Thursday before moving well to the north and east. High pressure will then start to build in for the end of the week.

Next week will start off dry on Monday Day with rain chances moving in for the rest of the week. Things could clear out for Friday. Temperatures will be in the 50’s and 60’s with 30’s and 40’s, some 50’s overnight. Water, surf and beach conditions look to improve on Monday and remain good for the week, at this point.

Hurricane Gonzalo is close to making landfall on Bermuda. It was a Category 4 in the Atlantic and has weakened to a Category 3 with 130 miles sustained winds. It has been battering Bermuda for most of the day.

http://portbermudawebcam.com/

Tropical Storm Ana in the Pacific will likely become a hurricane and will pass very close to the Hawaiian Islands again, bringing some impacts to the region.

Have a great weekend and thanks for reading!

Saturday
Sky:  Mostly sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance except for a 20% chance of showers all day for northern areas
Temperatures
High:  Low 70’s with low to mid 60’s across the north
Low:  mid 40’s inland, mid to upper 40’s along the coast, low 40’s across the north
UV Index:  3-4/15 (Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:09am
Sunset: 6:14pm


Sunday
Sky:  Mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:  Mid to upper 50’s with low 50’s across the north
Low:  mid to upper 30’s inland, low to mid 40’s along the coast
UV Index:  3-4/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:10am
Sunset: 6:12pm


Friday Night Surface Analysis



Saturday Surface Analysis



Sunday Surface Analysis



Friday – Monday Precipitation Total



Atlantic Tropics



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts
Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  65°F
Saturday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  W 10-15 knots increasing 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot then 2 feet in the afternoon
Surf (Ocean):  4-7 feet
Saturday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  W 15 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf (Ocean):   4-7 feet
Sunday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NW 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-5 feet
Sunday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NW 15-20 knots becoming W 10-15 knots after midnight
Seas:  2 feet, then 1 foot or less after midnight
Surf (Ocean):  2-5 feet

Sandy Hook (Bay) Tides

Sandy Hook Tides




Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  65°F
Saturday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  SE 4 feet at 14 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  4-7 feet
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  SE 4 feet at 14 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  4-7 feet
Sunday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 13 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  2-5 feet
Sunday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 12 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  2-5 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  65°F
Saturday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  SE 5 feet at 15 seconds
Surf:  5-10 feet
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  SE 5 feet at 14 seconds
Surf:  5-10 feet
Sunday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 13 seconds
Surf:  4-8 feet
Sunday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 12 seconds
Surf:  4-8 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay at Island Beach State Park
Water Temperature:  64°F
Saturday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  W 11-14 knots, increasing to 15-18 knots in the afternoon with gusts to 26 knots
Seas:  2 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Saturday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  WNW 15-18 knots with gusts to 24 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Sunday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NW 19-21 knots with gusts to 28 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Sunday Night
Wind:  NW 10-14 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides
   
Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  68°F
Saturday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 15 to 21 knots
Seas:  SE 6 feet at 14 seconds
Surf:  5-10+ feet
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  SE 5 feet at 14 seconds
Surf:  5-10+ feet
Sunday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 21 to 28 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 12 seconds
Surf:  4-7 feet
Sunday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 18 to 25 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 12 seconds
Surf:  4-7 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides

Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  65°F-71°F
Saturday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  W 10-15 knots increasing to 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  3-4 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet
Saturday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NW 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  3-4 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet
Sunday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NW 15-20 knots increasing to 20-25 knots in the late morning, then decreasing to 15-20 knots late in the day
Seas:  3-5 feet
Surf:  2-4 feet
Sunday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NW 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots, diminishing to 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet

Delaware Bay (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware Bay Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  70°F
Saturday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  SE 9 feet at 15 seconds
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  SE 8 feet at 14 seconds
Sunday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 21 to 29 knots
Seas:  ESE 7 feet at 13 seconds
Sunday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 20 to 28 knots
Seas:  ESE 7 feet at 12 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperatures 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)

Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!

*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out!

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)