NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Sept 14-18, 2015

[Pfishingruven]

A very settled week with just some exiting weather causing cautious water conditions on Monday. The week looks nice with typical late summer conditions. As the front and low pressure exits the region on Sunday, high pressure will take control for the week. It will be dry this week, which is nice, but it will also enhance the dry to drought like conditions affecting much of the Northeast. Highs will range from the low 70’s up into the mid to even upper 80’s inland with overnight lows from the 40’s to upper 60’s. Cooler highs will be at the shore and cooler lows will be across higher elevation/northern areas. The coolest highs and lows will be Sunday Night through Tuesday with the lowest humidity. Humidity will be low to moderate with some areas seeing moderate to high at times. Water conditions will be cautious for Monday with Small Craft Advisories. Winds could push 25 knots with seas inshore to 4 feet and midshore to offshore to 8 feet. Winds will decrease into Monday Night and for Tuesday with good conditions for Tuesday through the rest of the week. Midshore to offshore will still have high seas for Tuesday, but they will improve into Tuesday Night and then also be good for the rest of the week.  Surf and beach conditions will be ok to cautious on Monday with winds to 25 knots, rough surf and wave heights 2-4 feet on average, however winds will be mainly out of the northwest. Conditions will improve for Tuesday and through the end of the week and look good. Rip Current Risk will be Low to Moderate on Monday and Low for the rest of the week. Most beaches are unguarded at this point in time, so entering the water is at your own risk…be careful! Water temperatures are a couple of degrees cooler and still in the mid 70’s. UV Index will be Moderate to High at 5-7/15. 

Low pressure will lift northeastward across New England through Sunday Night. High pressure will also build in from the Mid South tonight before settling overhead through much of next week. The high will shift offshore by next weekend when a cold front is expected to pass through the Mid Atlantic.

The weekend will continue to be dry and sunny with a mix of clouds. Highs will continue in the upper 70’s to upper 80’s for some locations with overnight lows in the upper 50’s to upper 60’s. Humidity will be moderate. Water, surf and beach conditions look mainly good. Winds could increase some on Saturday to 15 knots with gusts to 20 knots and seas 2-3 feet. Other than that, right now, conditions look good.

The Tropics are active, however anything that has developed has not been able to sustain in poor conditions. Right now there are 4 areas of invest. They are all worth watching, but only 1 looks like a possible threat to the US; that invest would be in the GOM.

Have a great week and thanks for reading!

Monday
Sky:  Sunny then clear, Windy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High: Low to upper 70’s
Low:  Low to mid 50’s inland, upper 50’s to low 60’s at the shore, mid to upper 40’s across northern areas
UV Index:  5-7/15 (Moderate-High)
Sunrise: 6:36am
Sunset: 7:09pm


Tuesday
Sky:  Sunny then clear
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High: Upper 70’s to low 80’s
Low:  Upper 50’s to low 60’s with low 50’s across northern areas
UV Index:  6-7/15 (High)
Sunrise: 6:37am
Sunset: 7:07pm


Wednesday
Sky:  Sunny then mostly clear
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High: Upper 70’s to mid 80’s
Low:  Upper 50’s to mid 60’s with low 50’s across northern areas
UV Index:  6-7/15 (High)
Sunrise: 6:38am
Sunset: 7:05pm


Thursday
Sky:  Sunny then mostly clear
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High: Upper 70’s to mid 80’s
Low:  Low to upper 60’s, mid 50’s across northern areas
UV Index:  5-7/15 (Moderate-High)
Sunrise: 6:38am
Sunset: 7:04pm


Friday
Sky:  Sunny then mostly clear
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High: Upper 70’s to mid 80’s
Low:  Low to upper 60’s with upper 50’s across northern areas
UV Index:  5-7/15 (Moderate-High)
Sunrise: 6:39am
Sunset: 7:02pm


Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Sunday - Sunday



Atlantic Tropics




Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  75°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  W 15 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  W 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  W 5-10 knots becoming N after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  N 5 knots becoming S in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  S 5-10 knots becoming W after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Thursday
Wind:  W 5 knots becoming SW in the evening
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  SW 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday
Wind:   W 5-10 knots becoming SW
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                         



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  75°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: NW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: W 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  SSE 1 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: N 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  SSE 1 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: SW 4 to 6 knots
Seas:  SSE 1 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: SW 2 to 3 knots
Seas:  SE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: S 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  SE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: WSW 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  SE 1 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: S 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  SE 1 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  75°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 15 to 21 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WNW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: NW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: NW 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: N 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: ESE 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: WNW 2 to 2 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: SSE 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: W 3 to 5 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: SSE 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3  feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides
Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  75°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  WNW 15-17 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  WNW 9-11 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  NW 5-9 knots becoming variable and less than 5 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  W 6-8 knots becoming NW after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  N 7 knots becoming SE in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  S 7 knots becoming WSW after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday
Wind:  W 5-7 knots becoming S in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  SSW 7-9 knots becoming WSW after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday
Wind:  W 5-10 knots becoming SW
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  75°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  WNW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  WNW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: NNW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: NNW 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet   
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: NE 1 to 2 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: WNW 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: SE 3 to 5 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: NNW 3 to 4 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: ESE 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  75°F-78°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NW 15 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  W 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots becoming NW 5-10 knots late
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots becoming W late
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Tuesday Night
Wind:  W 5 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Wednesday
Wind:  NW 5 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Wednesday Night
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Thursday
Winds: W 5 knots becoming S in the afternoon
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Thursday Night
Winds: S 10-15 knots becoming SW 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Friday
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots becoming S in the afternoon
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Friday Night
Wind:  S 10-15 knots diminishing to 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Chicken Canyon
Water Temperature:  75°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 18 to 25 knots
Seas:  W 5 feet at 5 seconds
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  W 5 feet at 5 seconds
Tuesday Morning
Winds: NW 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  NW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Wednesday Morning
Winds: NNE 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 6 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: NNW 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  S 1 feet at 6 seconds
Thursday Morning
Winds: WNW 1 to 1 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: S 2 to 3 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Friday Morning
Winds: W 2 to 3 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Friday Afternoon
Winds: S 3 to 4 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)


 

Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
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*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)