Author Topic: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekend Edition: July 23-24, 2016  (Read 1856 times)

Offline Pfishingruven

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A mostly settled weekend with heat and humidity moving in and some mixed water conditions. Heat and humidity move in starting Friday and peaking on Saturday, then continuing into next week. Excessive Heat Watches have been issued for most of the state which will become Excessive Heat Warnings. There are Heat Advisories and Air Quality Alerts as well. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible with the high temperatures and dew points both days of the weekend. Highs will be in the mid to upper 90’s inland on Saturday with only low 90’s at the shore. Sunday will only be a few degrees cooler. Heat indices will exceed 100 degrees and push into the 105-110 range. Overnight lows will be in the 70’s and 60’s for northern areas. Humidity will be Moderate to High. Be safe while outdoors (or indoors without air conditioning). Remember to watch the young, elderly, and sick. Animals also feel the heat, so remember your pets. This heat wave will continue well into next week. Water conditions will be borderline to cautious on Saturday with the potential for winds to 25 knots and seas to 4 feet inshore. Midshore to offshore could see seas to 8 feet. Some areas may not see this full extent, but the potential is there for cautious conditions with Small Craft Advisories. Sunday looks better for all locations with good conditions, although Midshore to Offshore will still have cautious conditions on Sunday Day. Surf and beach conditions will be borderline to cautious on Saturday and good on Sunday. Saturday winds could be gusty and surf heights to 4 feet with a Moderate to High Risk of Rip Currents. Friday will also see a High Risk of Rip Currents as gusty winds and surf heights to 5 feet are likely! Also, any thunderstorms moving in or that pop-up could present hazards. Be aware of changing weather conditions and have a way of receiving weather alerts. Water temperatures have cooled a few degrees, but still remain in the 70’s. UV Index will be Very High at 9-10/15.

Have a great weekend and thanks for reading!

Saturday
Sky:  Mostly sunny then mostly clear
Precipitation:  0% - Slight Chance
Temperatures
High:     Mid to upper 90’s inland, low 90’s at the shore
Low:     Low 70’s inland, mid 70’s at the shore, low 60’s northern areas
UV Index:  9-10/15 (Moderate - Very High)
Sunrise: 5:47am
Sunset: 8:19pm


Sunday
Sky:  Mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  0% - Slight Chance
Temperatures
High:     Upper 80’s to mid 90’s
Low:     Low 70’s inland, mid 70’s at the shore, mid 60’s northern areas
UV Index:  9-10/15 (Very High)
Sunrise: 5:48am
Sunset: 8:18pm


Friday Night Surface Analysis



Saturday Surface Analysis



Sunday Surface Analysis



Precipitation Totals



Severe Weather Risks for Saturday



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  78°F
Saturday
Winds:    W 5-10 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Saturday Night
Winds:    NW 5-10 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet, then 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Sunday
Wind:    N 5 knots becoming W in the afternoon
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Sunday Night
Wind:     SW 5 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Sandy Hook (Bay) Tides

Sandy Hook Tides




Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  78°F
Saturday Morning
Winds:    WNW 9 to 13 knots
Seas:    S 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Saturday Afternoon
Winds:    W 10 to 13 knots
Seas:    S 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds:    N 8 to 11 knots
Seas:    S 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds:    SSW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:    S 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  72°F
Saturday Morning
Winds:    WNW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:    S 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:    2-4 feet
Saturday Afternoon
Winds:    WNW 7 to 9 knots
Seas:    S 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds:    NNE 7 to 9 knots
Seas:    S 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds:    SE 5 to 7 knots
Seas:    SSE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay at Island Beach State Park
Water Temperature:  70°F - 76°F
Saturday
Wind:     W 6-9 knots becoming SW in the afternoon
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Saturday Night
Wind:     SW 5-7 knots becoming variable and less than 5 knots in the evening
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Sunday
Wind:     N 5-7 knots becoming NE in the afternoon
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Sunday Night
Wind:     Variable winds 5 knots or less
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides
   
Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  76°F
Saturday Morning
Winds:    W 12 to 17 knots
Seas:    S 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Saturday Afternoon
Winds:    WSW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:    S 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds:    NE 7 to 10 knots
Seas:    SSE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds:    E 6 to 8 knots
Seas:    S 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides

Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  73°F - 81°F
Saturday
Wind:     SW 5-10 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf:     1 foot
Saturday Night
Wind:     S 5-10 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf:     1 foot
Sunday
Wind:     E 5-10 knots
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:     1-2 feet
Sunday Night
Wind:     S 5-10 knots
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:     1-2 feet

Delaware Bay (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware Bay Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  73°F - 75°F
Saturday Morning
Winds:    W 13 to 18 knots
Seas:    SSW 5 feet at 6 seconds
Saturday Afternoon
Winds:    WSW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:    SSW 4 feet at 6 seconds
Sunday Morning   
Winds:    NNE 8 to 11 knots
Seas:    SSW 3 feet at 6 seconds
Sunday Afternoon
Winds:    ENE 2 to 3 knots
Seas:    S 2 feet at 6 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)







Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!



*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out!

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)


Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: Potential Thunderstorms & Severe Weather for Saturday
« Reply #1 on: July 23, 2016, 01:18:59 PM »
There is a Marginal Risk for the southern parf the state and a Generalized Risk for the northern part of the state today. Showers and thunderstorms are possible and capable of heavy rains, dangerous lightning, and damaging winds. Overall, the threat is low, but still there. Right now, the radar is clear. Like yesterday, the risk is there, but it could or could not develop. Just be aware while out and about of changing weather conditions and have a way of receiving weather alerts.









 

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