Author Topic: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Sept 12-16, 2016  (Read 1617 times)

Offline Pfishingruven

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A settled week for weather, but more unsettled for water conditions. The week looks dry with more sun than clouds. Highs will start off in the 70’s and lower 80’s, midweek climb into the 80’s and low 90’s, then drop back down into the 70’s for the end of the week. Overnight lows will range from the 50’s to 60’s. Humidity will be low to moderate. There will definitely be a splash of Fall temperatures overnight. Water conditions will not be as lucky. There will be a mix of good to cautious conditions. However these conditions will only have winds to 20 knots, but seas could push more than 5 feet at times. Surf and beach conditions will be good to cautious at times, with surf heights to 4 feet or more and Rip Current Risks at Low to even High Risks. Water temperatures are steady in the 70’s. UV Index will be Moderate to High at 5-7/15.

A cold front will continue to move off the mid-Atlantic this afternoon. High pressure will build in from the Midwest tonight and settle overhead Monday. The center of the high will progress offshore Tuesday into Wednesday. The next cold front approaching
from the northwest is expected to move through the area Wednesday night. High pressure builds back into the area Thursday and Friday before moving offshore next weekend. Another cold front may move into the area later in the weekend.


The weekend looks dry for Saturday and showers and thunderstorms for Sunday. Highs will be in the 70’s and 80’s with overnight lows in the 60’s. Water, surf and beach conditions will be borderline.

There are two invest areas in the Atlantic. One looks to stay well out to sea and the other could affect Florida and the East Coast. This one needs to be watched, but right now there is very little development forecast.

Have a great week and thanks for reading!

Monday
Sky:  Sunny becoming mostly clear to clear
Precipitation:  0% - Slight Chance
Temperatures
High:   Upper 70’s to low 80’s inland, mid 80’s at the shore
Low:   Mid to upper 50’s inland, mid 60’s at the shore, low 50’s for northern areas
UV Index:  5-6/15 (Moderate - High)
Sunrise: 6:34am
Sunset: 7:11pm


Tuesday
Sky:  Sunny becoming partly cloudy to mostly clear
Precipitation:  0% - Slight Chance
Temperatures
High:   Low to mid 80’s inland, upper 70’s at the shore
Low:   Mid 60’s inland, upper 60’s at the shore, low 60’s for northern areas
UV Index:  5-7/15 (Moderate - High)
Sunrise: 6:35am
Sunset: 7:09pm


Wednesday
Sky:  Mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  0% - Slight Chance
Temperatures
High:   Low 80’s to low 90’s
Low:   Upper 50’s inland, low 60’s at the shore, low 50’s for northern areas
UV Index:  5-7/15 (Moderate - High)
Sunrise: 6:36am
Sunset: 7:07pm


Thursday
Sky:  Sunny becoming mostly clear to clear
Precipitation:  0% - Slight Chance
Temperatures
High:   Low to upper 70’s
Low:   Low to mid 50’s inland, low mid 60’s at the shore, upper 40’s for northern areas
UV Index:  5-7/15 (Moderate - High)
Sunrise: 6:37am
Sunset: 7:06pm


Friday
Sky:  Sunny then mostly clear
Precipitation:  0% - Slight Chance
Temperatures
High:   Low to upper 70’s
Low:   Upper 50’s inland, mid 60’s at the shore, low 50’s for northern areas
UV Index:  5-7/15 (Moderate - High)
Sunrise: 6:38am
Sunset: 7:04pm
Full Moon: 3:06pm


Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Monday - Monday



Atlantic Tropics





Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  77°F
 Monday
Wind:     NE 5-10 knots becoming SE in the afternoon
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Monday Night
Wind:     S 5-10 knots becoming SW after midnight
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Tuesday
Wind:     SW 5-10 knots becoming S in the afternoon
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:     SW 5-10 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Wednesday
Wind:     SW 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots in the afternoon
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:     W 5-10 knots becoming N with gusts to 20 knots after midnight
Seas:     1-2 feet

Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Thursday
Wind:     N 5-10 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:     N 5-10 knots diminishing to 5 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet, then 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Friday
Wind:     NE 5 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday Night
Wind:     NE 5 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                         



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  77°F
Monday Morning
Winds:    NE 9 to 12 knots
Seas:    SE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds:    ESE 4 to 5 knots
Seas:    SE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds:    WNW 3 to 4 knots
Seas:    SE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds:    S 8 to 11 knots
Seas:    SE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds:    SW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:    SE 2 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds:    SSW 12 to 17 knots
Seas:    SSE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds:    N 15 to 20 knots
Seas:    SE 3 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet

Thursday Afternoon
Winds:    NNW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:    SE 2 feet at 12 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Friday Morning
Winds:    NNE 9 to 12 knots
Seas:    SE 3 feet at 12 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds:    SW 2 to 3 knots
Seas:    SE 3 feet at 12 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides
Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  77°F
Monday Morning
Winds:    NE 10 to 13 knots
Seas:    E 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds:    E 7 to 9 knots
Seas:    E 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds:    WNW 3 to 4 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds:    SE 8 to 10 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds:    SW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds:    SSW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:    SE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds:    N 16 to 21 knots
Seas:    E 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet

Thursday Afternoon
Winds:    N 9 to 12 knots
Seas:    ESE 3 feet at 12 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Friday Morning
Winds:    NNE 9 to 12 knots
Seas:    ESE 3 feet at 12 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds:    ENE 4 to 5 knots
Seas:    ESE 3 feet at 12 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides
Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:
Monday
Wind:     NE 7-9 knots becoming E in the afternoon
Seas:     1 foot
Surf:     0-1 feet
 Monday Night
Wind:     ESE 5-7 knots becoming variable and less than 5 knots after midnight
Seas:     1 foot
Surf:     0-1 feet
Tuesday
Wind:     Variable winds less than 5 knots becoming S 6-11 knots in the afternoon
Seas:     1 foot
Surf:     0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:     S 11 knots
Seas:     1 foot
Surf:     0-1 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:     SSW 11-13 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:     1 foot
Surf:     0-1 feet

Wednesday Night
Wind:     SSW 11-13 knots becoming N after midnight
Seas:     1 foot
Surf:     0-1 feet
Thursday
Wind:     N 10-13 knots decreasing to 7-10 knots in the afternoon
Seas:     1 foot
Surf:     0-1 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:     Variable winds 5 knots or less
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Friday
Wind:     NE 5 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind:     NE 5 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  77°F
Monday Morning
Winds:    ENE 12 to 16 knots
Seas:    ENE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds:    ENE 10 to 13 knots
Seas:    ENE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds:    ENE 3 to 4 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds:    ESE 7 to 9 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds:    SW 10 to 13 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds:    SSW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    N 17 to 23 knots
Seas:    N 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet

Thursday Afternoon
Winds:    N 9 to 12 knots
Seas:    ESE 3 feet at 12 seconds
Surf:   2-4 feet
Friday Morning
Winds:    NE 9 to 12 knots
Seas:    ESE 3 feet at 12 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds:    E 4 to 6 knots
Seas:    ESE 3 feet at 12 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  77°F - 77°F
Monday
Wind:     E 10 knots
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:     1-2 feet
Monday Night
Wind:     E 5-10 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf:     1 foot
Tuesday
Wind:     SE 5-10 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf:     1 foot
Tuesday Night
Wind:     S 10-15 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf:     1 foot
Wednesday
Wind:     S 10 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf:     1 foot
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:     SW 10 knots becoming N with gusts to 20 knots after midnight
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf:     1 foot

Thursday
Winds:    N 10-15 knots diminishing to 5-10 knots in the afternoon
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf:     1 foot
Thursday Night
Winds:    NE 5 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf:     1 foot
Friday
Wind:     NE 5 knots becoming SE in the afternoon
Seas:     1-2 feet, then 1 foot or less
Surf:     1 foot, then 0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind:     S 10 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Chicken Canyon
Water Temperature:  75°F - 78°F
Monday Morning
Winds: ENE 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  ENE 4 feet at 5 seconds
Monday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  ENE 4 feet at 5 seconds
Tuesday Morning
Winds: E 2 to 2 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: SSE 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 11 seconds
Wednesday Morning
Winds: SSW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 11 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 10 seconds
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: N 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  NW 5 feet at 5 seconds

Thursday Afternoon
Winds: NE 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 11 seconds
Friday Morning
Winds: NE 11 to 14 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 12 seconds
Friday Afternoon
Winds: NNE 5 to 6 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 12 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!




*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)


 

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