NJ Saltwater Fisherman Forums
NJ Saltwater Fisherman => Weather and Hurricane Info => Topic started by: Pfishingruven on October 27, 2011, 04:59:24 PM
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I waited to make mention of this as the models have been all over the place the last 7 days. Today at 0800 model runs were the first time any of them agreed with one another.
There will be generalized rain in the area from today through Saturday. Some areas are seeing or will see snow tonight and then again on Saturday...this is mostly in Northern NJ and west of Philly, as well as higher altitudes. Late Friday night and into Saturday a weaker to weak LOW Pressure system will move into the area off of the coast of NJ. You could call this a Nor' Easter, but a weak one at that. This will not be anywhere near what we have seen in the past around this time of the year. It will bring rain, 1-2 inches total, some wintry precipitation to some areas(snow NNJ, flakes or wintry mix elsewhere), gusty winds on land, Small Craft Advisories and Gale Warnings for the waters, and coastal flooding. Areas receiving snow tonight and Saturday will be getting a heavy wet snow and should be prepared for power loss and tree limbs falling.
By Sunday, this will all clear out and temperatures will be highs in the 50's and lows in the 30's. Halloween will be middle 50's and middle to upper 30's after sunset.
Here is a link to NWS Warnings and Watches for NJ.
NWS Warnings, Watches & Advisories (http://alerts.weather.gov/cap/nj.php?x=1)
Attached are some models and precipitation totals.
Added Snowfall Total Map for Saturday.
Any changes, I will update you.
TT^
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Great! Just what I wanted 6-10 for me. rgmn
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nosmly fcp figures
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:P
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I'm in the same boat Rick... rgmn
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you guys live up northwest jersey?
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Yep....
I'm in Chester and Rick is further north in Jefferson....
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Wow thats a haul from where i am..Sucks about the snow but you no its called white gold for a reason!!!
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I am seeing such mixed forecasts for this storm. NONE of the models can agree on anything and a lot depends on the track.
Some hope for you northwest NJ guys...seeing some numbers closer to 3-6 inches with 10+ locally. A lot depends on the track and how quickly or slowly it moves through.
Either way, heavy, wet snow in October, which does not sound like fun rgmn.
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fcp nosmly fcp nosmly fcp
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This system has already stalled a bit and the rain/snow system from last night moved quicker than anticipated. Today was supposed to be cloudy, rainy and colder. 1 out of 3 isn't bad fcp! So, today should remain sunny, now.
The slowing system that will become the Nor' Easter won't be moving in until Saturday morning now and will be here through Sunday morning. There is no change, though, in the amount of time it effects us. There is a potential change in the track, bringing it closer to the coast. Closer to the coast would mean higher snowfall amounts and wintry conditions over more of the area. The coast could also see higher winds, heavier surf, more beach erosion and coastal flooding.
:-\
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Thanks for the updates. slt I have a case of Heineken, a quart of Polish blackberry brandy and 2 big bottles of wine so I am ready. chrz thud cfzd OH, I did buy a loaf of bread and some milk for the fluke I will be cooking tomorrow this morning. BRING IT ON MOTHER NATURE!!!!!! rofla
As long as the weather cooperates for our sea bass trip on the Bingo on Friday 11/4, I will be happy. t^
Tight Lines,
Bob G
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Thanks for the updates. slt I have a case of Heineken, a quart of Polish blackberry brandy and 2 big bottles of wine so I am ready. chrz thud cfzd OH, I did buy a loaf of bread and some milk for the fluke I will be cooking tomorrow this morning. BRING IT ON MOTHER NATURE!!!!!! rofla
As long as the weather cooperates for our sea bass trip on the Bingo on Friday 11/4, I will be happy. t^
Tight Lines,
Bob G
>:D TT^ >:D
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Ready
(http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh298/dieselhp/a520033c.jpg)
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I have had it with the weather! HAD IT!!!!!! fcp fcp fcp rgmn rgmn rgmn
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Smart move, Rick!
Thanks for the updates. slt I have a case of Heineken, a quart of Polish blackberry brandy and 2 big bottles of wine so I am ready. chrz thud cfzd OH, I did buy a loaf of bread and some milk for the fluke I will be cooking tomorrow this morning. BRING IT ON MOTHER NATURE!!!!!! rofla
As long as the weather cooperates for our sea bass trip on the Bingo on Friday 11/4, I will be happy. t^
Tight Lines,
Bob G
rofla
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OK...this is hands down going to be a full blown Nor' Easter. This has been an incredibly hard storm to pin point. For the Tri State Area we are going to see a strong storm now. Track is bringing it right along the coast!! New England, is going to see a strong to powerful storm. However, it should move out and doesn't look like it is going hang around much more than 24 hours or so. If it stalls off of our coast, that is an entire different beast!
Anyone in snow predicted areas, make sure you are ready. Widespread power outages are very likely. Anyone with a boat still in the water. I would make sure you check your lines and pumps today. Gusty winds, 60+ mph are likely. Some coastal flooding as well. We might see a little more rain, 2-4 inches and it could be heavy at times. Of course, heavy surf, beach erosion and slightly higher tides. I don't see the winds pushing too much water into the back. As of this moment, the storm won't be around long enough to cause a large surge of water. Don't be surprised if you hear thunder or "thunder snow" with this system either...it is highly possible.
NWS Watches, Warnings have not really changed. There are active Winter Storm Warnings and Watches across the Tri State Area as well as Coastal Flood Watches, Small Craft Advisories and Gale Warnings!
Here is a link to some graphics from Accuweather with their updated forecast. This Meteorologist is good and reliable. Unfortunately, the best meteorologist in the world can't compete all the time with mother nature. This might be one of those events where changes are occurring so rapidly, you just need to keep and eye or ear to the latest weather updates.
I will be out later this evening for a school Halloween Party, but will be back by 9PM or so. I will keep you updated. If anyone has any questions, feel free to ask.
Accuweather Nor' Easter Forecast Fri 10/28/2011 (http://www.accuweather.com/blogs/newsstory/news/57011/crushing-cruising-snowstorm-to.asp)
rgmn rgmn rgmn
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9:30 am and snow fall just started here. At least I just got the boat covered.
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Heavy rain around 6am then up to now a steady rain.Wind is blowin pretty good. Cold. fcp snow forcasted to start around 5pm.
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Looks like the track is right on the coast and rain is changing over to snow a few hours earlier than expected with the temperatures dropping sooner. The storm is right on track, time wise...no stalling or slowing. There is also a lot of moisture from the remnants of Rina coming right up the coast and feeding this storm. The earlier change over with lowering temperatures and additional moisture means higher possibility of more accumulation of snow.
9:30 am and snow fall just started here. At least I just got the boat covered.
TT^
Heavy rain around 6am then up to now a steady rain.Wind is blowin pretty good. Cold. fcp snow forcasted to start around 5pm.
Where are you located?
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OFM...where are you located?
We live in belford,Middletown township. We are a mile from the belford seafood coop. About 4-5 miles from Atlantic Highlands Marina or 7-8 miles from sandy hook. t^
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Snowing hard here in Chester thud
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we now have rain/snow/rain it is getting colder by the hour. Ummmmm
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I'm starting to wonder if I should be worried about my boat with all this heavy snow. Coming down hard in Branchburg, not sure what it's like in Keyport.
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Its just raining now.. medium rain fall now but it does get pretty heavy at times. Tops of trees are moving about 2 feet side to side. Not sure of speed but im guessin 10-15 gusts 20-25 ???
Ok its snowing wet heavy snow at 1248pm fcp
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This is BS.. Never before have I had a need for a combo.
Lawn mower/leaf blower/snow blower fcp
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fcp nosmly crazy weather..the striper/blackfish gods better hook us up......
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This is BS.. Never before have I had a need for a combo.
Lawn mower/leaf blower/snow blower fcp
rofla rofla rofla
Just measured....I have 5 inches of really wet heavy snow....the trees are bending like crazy and the power keeps flickering thud
I better get perfect weather for the Bingo on the 5th......
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About 5" here
(http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh298/dieselhp/61fdb94f.jpg)
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WTF... fcp
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I better get perfect weather for the Bingo on the 5th......
OOOOPS, Kenny that is the 4th on the Bingo, or are you going both days. HAHAHAHA cfzd rofla
We have about 3 to 4 inches in Totowa. WHAT REALLY SUCKS is that I have DishTV and have not had a signal since noon time. rgmn rgmn >:( >:( Will have to listen to the Rutgers game on the radio as it is also blacked out on ESPN3. I am having fun though watching the cars trying to get up Union Blvd as it is a little hill. Just saw a 80 thousand dollar BMW stuck for 15 minutes. I gave him the finger from my window just to feel better. clp slt
Everyone stay safe.
Tight Lines,
Bob G chrz chrz grtn
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What snow? Rain here.
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Just had to clean the snow off the tree in the front yard. Highway 23 closed and weather channel in the next town over. Trees down all over. Never thought I would clean snow off a tree but it was pulling on the cable wire and then no football.
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I've done that same here Rick....Just measured and at 4:29 I have 8 inches ( keep the jokes to yourselves ) of super heavy wet snow....still coming down hard...
Cleaning snow from trees... thud...never done that before till today thud
Still have branches down in the yard and half of one whole tree rgmn Just missed the house...
Just got done shoveling the leaves ( did I just type that fcp )
I did stock up on beer and got it chilled for later....
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up in the poconos trees dropping left and right sitting on my porch with a cocktail watching the madness
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Sorry 2 hear about all that snow fcp....Freezing rain here now,nothing on the ground
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Amazing!
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Anyone near Keyport with an update?
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At a friends house a tree came down and hit. The ambulance can't get out of town to get him to the hospital . All roads blocked by downed trees.
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Yeah, that's bad nosmly. Need to get the FD out leading the rig with a cutting crew! Gov Christie has declared a State of Emergency.
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Drove back home yesterday...5 hours to get there....got about a foot of snow and ice...pulled in my driveway to see this.....yes, there is a car under there somewhere
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Coming to you live via generator.... ;D
Major damage here... I measured at 11:00 last night and had 12"s of super heavy wet snow... Every minute or so you could here big branches snapping all night long...had one miss my house by 10 feet cfzd...lot's of tree work in my future...Power out in almost the whole town of chester...I have never seen tree damage so bad in my life... JCP&L says power back on maybe by Friday thud
Did I mention that the weather better be nice on Fridays Bingo trip...
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holy crap buddy if you need a extra hand or a extra truck just give me a shout 570-982-7760
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Same hear Kenny, trees down all over and about 16" of snow. The only good thing is we do have power.
My friend who got hit with the tree has a broken neck, broken back and a bruise on his brain. Doc says he will never walk again. That sucks! All he was doing was cleaning a path so kids could get down the driveway so his daughters friends could get to the house for a party.
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We are sorry to hear of the damange you guys got..... fcp If you guys need a hand feel free to give us a call 908-902-2654 t^ .We are more then happy to help out...thats what we do.... chrz
not to rub salt, but we in middletown got ZERO :headscra:
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Same hear Kenny, trees down all over and about 16" of snow. The only good thing is we do have power.
My friend who got hit with the tree has a broken neck, broken back and a bruise on his brain. Doc says he will never walk again. That sucks! All he was doing was cleaning a path so kids could get down the driveway so his daughters friends could get to the house for a party.
Very sorry to hear that bad news about your friend Rick. Just terrible. nosmly
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Holly Sh^t Rick...that's horrible news about your friend...I hope the doctors are wrong about not walking again...
Thanks for all the offers for help guys...really appreciate it t^ t^ ;D
Rewired the furnace, the hot water heater and the well pump to run off the generator...should be good till the power comes back on... ::)
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Good for you Kenny. At least you'll have heat and hot water. t^
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Yep....even got the tv going for the kids ( they were going stir crazy ) ;D
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fcp nosmly
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Same hear Kenny, trees down all over and about 16" of snow. The only good thing is we do have power.
My friend who got hit with the tree has a broken neck, broken back and a bruise on his brain. Doc says he will never walk again. That sucks! All he was doing was cleaning a path so kids could get down the driveway so his daughters friends could get to the house for a party.
sorry to hear about your friend that sucks for sure..maybe the drs. are wrong...only time will tell....Again sorry
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Same hear Kenny, trees down all over and about 16" of snow. The only good thing is we do have power.
My friend who got hit with the tree has a broken neck, broken back and a bruise on his brain. Doc says he will never walk again. That sucks! All he was doing was cleaning a path so kids could get down the driveway so his daughters friends could get to the house for a party.
God Rick that's horrible! Thoughts and prayers for your friend, hope the doctor's wrong.
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Thoughts and prayers to your friend and his family!
nosmly
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Thanks guys
Found out today that there is no chance of him walking. His spinal cord is severed and there is nothing they can do for that.
Makes you think how fast your life can change.
I had a guy pick up a truck from JCP&L today at the shop and he was telling me that they have more wires down and people without power then what they had with Irene. He said it's going to be awhile before everyone gets power back.
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wow man so sorry to hear about this. Devastating im sure.
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Sorry to hear about all the trouble this Nor-easter brought to your area also thoughts and prayers for Rick's friend's recovery.
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Thanks guys
Found out today that there is no chance of him walking. His spinal cord is severed and there is nothing they can do for that.
Makes you think how fast your life can change.
I had a guy pick up a truck from JCP&L today at the shop and he was telling me that they have more wires down and people without power then what they had with Irene. He said it's going to be awhile before everyone gets power back.
Wow, some real sad news Rick. Sorry to hear.
And here I was just going to vent about all the snow, down trees, closed roads, and that I just got power and cable back today at the office and home.
Makes you remember that it could always be worse. nosmly