NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook: Weekend Edition Aug 18-19, 2012

[Pfishingruven]

This weekend will start off wet with rain and thunderstorms starting on Friday with the approaching cold front and ending sometime Saturday, likely in the afternoon.  Rain will likely be widespread on Saturday moving just ahead of the front.  Sunday will be much drier and sunnier with just a slight chance of scattered or isolated rain and/or thunderstorms.  The front will bring cooler temperatures with highs in the low 80’s and even into the upper 70’s with overnight lows in the lows 60’s and even upper 50’s.  These lower temperatures will remain for most of next week. Water conditions are rated good both inshore and midshore to offshore, except for Saturday morning in southern areas from Atlantic City south.  Saturday will have higher winds and seas and Small Craft Advisories could be issued Friday through sometime on Saturday.

Tropical Storm Gordon has formed in the Atlantic to the Northeast of Bermuda.  This storm is no threat to the US at this time.  There is no other current activity at this time.

A cold front will move into the region late Friday and move offshore by Saturday afternoon.  A wave of low pressure will form along the front on Sunday, passing offshore to our southeast by Sunday Night.

Saturday
Sky:  Mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  30% chance of showers/thunderstorms
Temperatures
High:  Low 80’s
Low:  Mid 60’s
Sunrise: 6:11am
Sunset: 7:49pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather-3/10
Weather2Hunt.com-47/50

Sunday
Sky:  Partly sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0% to slight chance showers/thunderstorms
Temperatures
High:  Low 80’s  
Low:  Mid 60’s
Sunrise: 6:12am
Sunset: 7:48pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather-6/10
Weather2Hunt.com-47/50

Friday Night into Saturday Morning Surface Analysis



Saturday’s Surface Analysis



Sunday’s Surface Analysis



HPC Friday - Saturday Quantitative Precipitation Forecast



HPC Thursday - Tuesday Quantitative Precipitation Forecast



Tropics



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  80F
Saturday Morning
Wind: N 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Saturday  Afternoon
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots becoming W at night and N after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Sunday Morning
Wind:  NE 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Sunday Afternoon
Wind:  N  5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less

Sandy Hook (Bay) Tides



Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  77F
Saturday Morning
Winds: N 11 to 14 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 9 sec.
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: NNW 5 to 7 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 9 sec.
Sunday Morning
Winds: NE 8 to 11 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 9 sec.
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 7 to 10 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 8 sec.

Manasquan Inlet Tides



Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  76F
Saturday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: N 14 to 19 knots
Seas: ESE 3 feet at 9 sec.
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: N 9 to 13 knots
Seas: ESE 3 feet at 9 sec.
Sunday Morning
Winds: ENE 5 to 7 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 9 sec.
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 10 to 13 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 8 sec.

Cape May (Ocean) Tides



Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  76F
Saturday Morning
Wind:  N 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet  
Saturday  Afternoon
Wind:  N 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Sunday Morning
Wind:  NE 10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Wind:  N 10 knots diminishing to 5 knots after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet

Delaware Bay (Ship John Shoal) Tides



Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Saturday Morning
Winds: N 12 to 16 knots
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 6 sec.
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: N 10 to 14 knots
Seas: ESE 3 feet at 9 sec.
Sunday Morning
Winds: ENE 9 to 12 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 9 sec.
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: ESE 8 to 10 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 8 sec.



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperatures 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather…The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!

*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out!

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)

[fluke - u]

 ..Thanks......

[Ms Fish]

K so we are looking at 30% on the rain thus far....I hope that we can fish both days...I am greedy liked that! 

[Pfishingruven]

Small Craft Advisories are being posted at 5PM through 1AM Saturday morning.  There is a 60% chance of rain/thunderstorms tonight and a 50% chance Saturday morning through the afternoon.  This is going to be more widespread moving in from out of the area as the cold front moves in.  The front has stalled a bit and rain/storms will not begin until later this evening and then throughout the night.  Lingering rain/storms will be scattered or isolated and end completely by Saturday afternoon, but overall the day should be nice, with cooler temps and mostly to partly sunny skies.

 

[Ms Fish]

Solid!!!  That's what I heard too...and when it does stall it will be over LI/Conn. I think... either way, I have fished in the rain before, even recently, and shall again!! Thanks for the updates...it sure nice of you! 

[Mr Limpett]

So the offshore storm (Gordon) will bring some choppy seas next week? I wonder what effect that will have on Fluke fishing in the ocean.

[Pfishingruven]

Hurricane Gordon is 2000 miles from the coast of NJ right now and moving due east.  I don't think we will see too many affects from this storm at all.  There is no reflection of any affects of Gordon in any Marine Forecasts or Forecast Discussion from the NHC, either.


Now, the current area off of Africa is the storm to be watching since the models are hinting at a East Coast Path in 10-12 days.