Author Topic: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook: Week Edition Mar 18-22, 2013  (Read 1182 times)

Offline Pfishingruven

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The week will start off wet with rain, a wintry mix and snow across the state.  By Tuesday afternoon, precipitation chances will decrease and will move out completely by Tuesday Night.  Wednesday Day will brings a low chance of showers.  The remainder of the week will be dry, with mostly sunny skies.  Temperatures on Monday will be in the low 40's and lows into the upper 30's.  The rest of the week temperatures will be slightly below normal, with highs in the 40's and lows in upper 20's.  Water conditions will vary by location, however most waters will be cautious to dangerous this week.  Small Craft Advisories are likely through the week, especially areas south of Barnegat Inlet and midshore to offshore.  Gale Warnings and Gale Force Winds are possible Tuesday through Wednesday, with winds peaking Tuesday Night.  Seas will peak around 5 feet inshore with 7-8 feet midshore to offshore.  Monday surf conditions will be moderate with 1-2 and 3-4 foot waves with gustier winds.  Tuesday Surf conditions will be elevated with 4-5 foot waves, rough surf conditions and gusty winds.  Wednesday through Friday will see a return of normal surf conditions with 0-2 foot waves.

The precipitation will begin overnight tonight into early Monday Morning.  Precipitation will continue through Tuesday Afternoon before clearing out for Tuesday Night.  Areas throughout the state will see a wintry mix or snow, changing over to rain in eastern counties first and then in southwestern, central western through central northern counties.  Areas in northern NJ could see 1-2 inches and 2-4 inches of snow accumulation as well as a 1/4 inch of ice accumulation.  Winter Weather Advisories have already been posted for Sussex, Warren and Morris Counties with Winter Storm Watches and Warnings issued for neighboring PA and NY.

High pressure centered over the Great Lakes will build into New England through Monday Morning.  Low pressure moving eastward from the western Great Lakes will spawn a new area of low pressure over the DELMARVA early on Tuesday.  This low will move north and merge with the low that was over the Great Lakes.  The merged systems will then exit New England Wednesday and drift into the Canadian Maritimes Thursday and Friday.

Monday
Sky:  Cloudy
Precipitation:  60% chance of rain/wintry mix/snow during the day, 100% chance of rain/wintry mix/snow at night
Temperatures
High:   Low 40's
Low:   Upper 30's
Sunrise: 7:03am
Sunset: 7:06pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather- Poor
Weather2Hunt.com- 30/50

Tuesday
Sky:  Cloudy becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  70% chance rain/wintry mix/snow during the day, 0% to slight chance at night
Temperatures
High:   Upper 40's
Low:   Upper 20's
Sunrise: 7:02am
Sunset: 7:07pm
First Qtr: 1:28pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather-   Poor
Weather2Hunt.com-  30/50

Wednesday
Sky:  Mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  20% chance showers during the day, 0% to slight chance at night
Temperatures
High:   Upper 40's
Low:   Upper 20's
Sunrise: 7:00am
Sunset: 7:08pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather- Poor
Weather2Hunt.com- 27/50

Thursday
Sky:  Mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  0% to slight chance   
Temperatures
High:   Low 40’s
Low:   Upper 20's
Sunrise: 6:59am
Sunset: 7:09pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather- Poor
Weather2Hunt.com- 37/50

Friday
Sky:  Mostly sunny and then mostly clear
Precipitation:  0% to slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Mid 40's
Low:   Low 30's
Sunrise: 6:57am
Sunset: 7:10pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather- Poor
Weather2Hunt-  37/50

Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Storm Track



Snowfall Totals




Ice Totals




Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  41°F
Monday
Wind:   E 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:   1 foot or less then 1-2 feet in the afternoon, visibility 1 nm or less
Monday Night
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:   E 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:   2 feet, visibility 1 nm or less increasing 1-3 nm after midnight
Tuesday
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:   NE 5 knots becoming NW 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots in the afternoon
Seas:   1-2 feet, visibility 1-3 nm
Tuesday Night
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:   W 20-25 knots with gusts to 35 knots
Seas:   2-3 feet
Wednesday
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  W 15-20 knots diminishing 10-15 knots with gusts to 25 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  2 feet

Wednesday Night
Wind:   W 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots diminishing 5-10 knots at night
Seas:   1 foot or less
Thursday
Wind:   NW 10-15 knots
Seas:   1 foot or less becoming 1-2 in the afternoon
Thursday Night
Wind:   NW 10-15 knots
Seas:   1 foot or less
Friday
Wind:   NW 5-10 knots
Seas:   1 foot or less
Friday Night
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots
Seas:   1 foot or less

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)
                             



Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  40°F
Monday Morning
Winds: E 9 to 13 knots
Seas: ENE 2 feet at 5 sec.
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: E 14 to 19 knots
Seas: E 3 feet at 5 sec.

Tuesday Morning
Winds: W 3 to 4 knots
Seas: ESE 5 feet at 7 sec.
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 12 to 16 knots
Seas: ESE 5 feet at 7 sec.
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 17 to 22 knots
Seas: SE 3 feet at 7 sec.
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 17 to 23 knots
Seas: SW 3 feet at 4 sec.

Thursday Morning
Winds: WNW 12 to 16 knots
Seas: S 2 feet at 6 sec.
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 13 to 18 knots
Seas: WNW 2 feet at 3 sec.
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 16 to 21 knots
Seas: W 2 feet at 3 sec.
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 16 to 22 knots
Seas: W 2 feet at 3 sec.


Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  41°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: E 14 to 19 knots
Seas: ENE 4 feet at 5 sec.
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: ESE 14 to 19 knots
Seas: ENE 4 feet at 5 sec.

Tuesday Morning
Winds: SW 10 to 13 knots
Seas: ESE 5 feet at 7 sec.
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WNW 15 to 20 knots
Seas: ESE 5 feet at 7 sec.
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 19 to 25 knots
Seas: WNW 4 feet at 4 sec.
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WSW 15 to 20 knots
Seas: W 3 feet at 3 sec.
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 17 to 22 knots
Seas: NW 3 feet at 4 sec..
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 18 to 24 knots
Seas: WNW 3 feet at 4 sec.
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 19 to 26 knots
Seas: WNW 3 feet at 4 sec.
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 16 to 22 knots
Seas: WNW 3 feet at 4 sec.


Cape May (Ocean) Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  41°F
Monday
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  E 10-15 knots increasing to 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots in the late morning/afternoon
Seas:  2-4 feet, visibility 1-3 nm
Monday Night
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:   SE 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots becoming S 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas:  2-4 feet

Tuesday
Wind:  W 5-10 knots increasing 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  2-3 feet
Tuesday Night
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  W 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Wednesday
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  W 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Wednesday Night
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  W 10-15 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet

Thursday
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Friday
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides


 

Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  41°F
Monday Morning
Winds: E 14 to 18 knots
Seas: E 4 feet at 12 sec.
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: E 15 to 20 knots
Seas: ENE 4 feet at 5 sec.
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SW 12 to 16 knots
Seas: ESE 7 feet at 7 sec.
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 17 to 23 knots
Seas: ESE 7 feet at 8 sec.

Wednesday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 23 to 31 knots
Seas: W 7 feet at 6 sec.

Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 21 to 28 knots
Seas: WSW 7 feet at 6 sec.
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNW 17 to 24 knots
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 6 sec.
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 17 to 23 knots
Seas: WNW 4 feet at 5 sec.

Friday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 22 to 30 knots
Seas: WNW 6 feet at 5 sec.

Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 20 to 28 knots
Seas: W 6 feet at 5 sec.


Sea Surface Temperatures



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop





Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!


*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)


Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: Wednesday Update Possible Snow/Rain Tonight
« Reply #1 on: March 20, 2013, 03:24:18 PM »
There is an increased chance, 60% or greater for rain/wintry mix/snow tonight into Thursday clearing by Thursday late afternoon/evening.  Precipitation will move in late evening with the chance of snow flurries followed by snow showers through the early morning hours before switching over to a mix or all rain.  Most areas will see less than an inch, however coastal counties from Ocean County south through Cape May County are in Winter Weather Advisories with the possibility of accumulations of an inch or more locally.

What a way to start the first day of Spring!

Snowfall Totals




 

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