Author Topic: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Sep 8-11, 2015  (Read 1368 times)

Offline Pfishingruven

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Continued heat and humidity through Thursday with mixed to cautious water conditions all week. Well, in just a matter of a few days, forecasts went from dry conditions, to chances of showers and thunderstorms for most of the week. Tuesday is looking mostly dry, but an isolated or scattered shower or thunderstorm cannot be ruled out. Wednesday, Thursday and Friday will all have chances of showers and thunderstorms, as well. Thursday will have the greatest chances of widely scattered to more organized showers and thunderstorms, while Wednesday and Friday will be more isolated to scattered. Heat and humidity will continue through Thursday with some cooler and drier air slowly moving in for Thursday Night, Friday and then here by the weekend. Highs will be in the upper 80’s to low 90’s for Tuesday and Wednesday, then mid 80’s for Thursday and upper 70’s to low 80’s for Friday and into the weekend. Overnight lows will start off in the 60’s and into the mid 70’s at the shore before dropping into the mid 50’s to mid 60’s. Humidity will be high, then moderate and then low by the weekend. Water conditions will be good for rivers and bays and mixed on the ocean. A continued onshore flow will keep winds gusty at times and seas building to 5 feet. Borderline to cautious conditions are likely all week ranging from 2-5 feet. So, 2 feet is definitely possible, but so is 3 feet, building to 4 feet by midweek and then to 5 feet by Friday. Surf and beach conditions will be ok to cautious with the onshore flow creating rougher surf and dangerous rip currents. Surf heights could increase to 5 feet at times with Moderate to High Risk of rip currents. Water temperatures are steady in the 70’s and surf temperatures are the warmest they have been all summer, into the upper 70’s to even low 80’s as a strong and steady onshore flow pushes warmer waters into the coast. UV Index will range from Low to Very High at 2-8/15.

High pressure located over the Western North Atlantic will continue to influence the weather into Wednesday. A cold front is forecast to approach from the northwest and move through the region Thursday. High pressure may briefly build over the region to start the weekend, followed by a low pressure system approaching from the west by Sunday.

The weekend is looking nice with a relief from the heat of some cooler and drier air. Conditions will be dry, with a mix of sun and clouds. Highs will be in the upper 70’s to low 80’s with overnight lows in the mid 50’s to mid 60’s. Water, surf and beach conditions will be good.

The Atlantic tropics continue with Tropical Storm Grace and two areas of invest/interest. Grace is out in the Eastern Atlantic still and will make her way towards the Caribbean. She should not be a threat, as conditions should erode the system and leave nothing left. The other areas do not look like anything, but it is the peak season in the tropics, so keeping an eye on everything is always good.

Have a great week and thanks for reading!

Tuesday
Sky:  Sunny then mostly clear, Patchy fog early and late
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Upper 80’s to low 90’s inland, low to mid 80’s at the shore
Low:   Upper 60’s to mid 70’s with low to mid 60’s across northern areas
UV Index:  6-8/15 (High-Very High)
Sunrise: 6:30am
Sunset: 7:18pm


Wednesday
Sky:  Partly to mostly sunny becoming mostly cloudy, Patchy fog early and late
Precipitation:  2%-50% chance of showers and thunderstorms all day
Temperatures
High:   Upper 80’s to low 90’s inland, mid 80’s at the shore
Low:   Upper 60’s to low 70’s with mid 60’s across northern areas
UV Index:  6-7/15 (High)
Sunrise: 6:31am
Sunset: 7:17pm


Thursday
Sky:   Partly sunny to cloudy
Precipitation:  40%-60% chance of showers and thunderstorms all day
Temperatures
High:   Low to mid 80’s
Low:   Mid 60’s to low 70’s with low 60’s across northern areas
UV Index:  2-7/15 (Low-High)
Sunrise: 6:32am
Sunset: 7:15pm


Friday
Sky:   Partly sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-40% chance of showers and thunderstorms during the day
Temperatures
High:   Upper 70’s to low 80’s
Low:   Low to mid 60’s inland, upper 60’s to low 70’s at the shore, upper 50’s across northern areas
UV Index:  6-7/15 (High)
Sunrise: 6:33am
Sunset: 7:14pm


Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Tuesday-Sunday



Wednesday Severe Weather Risks



Wednesday Severe Weather Risks



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  77°F
Tuesday
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  S 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  S 10-15 knots diminishing to 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet in the evening, then 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Thursday
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-3 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots becoming W after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-3 feet
Friday
Wind:  NW 5 knots becoming SW in the evening
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-3 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  SW 5 knots becoming NW after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-3 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)
                   



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  77°F
Tuesday Morning
Winds: WSW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: S 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: SSW 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: S 14 to 18 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: ESE 3 to 4 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-3 feet
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: N 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-3 feet

Friday Afternoon
Winds: N 11 to 14 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-3 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  75°F
Tuesday Morning
Winds: WSW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: S 11 to 14 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: SSW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: S 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Thursday Morning
Winds: NW 1 to 1 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: NW 3 to 3 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-3 feet
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: N 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  NNE 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  2-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: N 12 to 17 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-3 feet


Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  76°F
Tuesday
Wind:  WSW 7-11 knots becoming S
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  SSW 7-12 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  S 5-8 knots increasing to 11-14 knots in the afternoon with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less, Patchy fog
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  S 7-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday
Wind:  S 7-11 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  SSW 5-7 knots becoming variable and less than 5 knots in the evening
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday
Wind:  Variable winds less than 5 knots becoming N around 6 knots in the morning
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  Variable winds 5 knots or less
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  78°F
Tuesday Morning
Winds: WSW 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  2-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: SSE 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  2-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: SSW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  2-3 feet   
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: SSE 12 to 17 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  2-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: WSW 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-3 feet
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NNW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  N 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  2-3 feet

Friday Afternoon
Winds: NNW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-3 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   



Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  76°F-81°F
Tuesday
Wind:  S 5 knots becoming SE in the afternoon
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Tuesday Night
Wind:  SE 5-10 knots becoming S after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet, Patchy fog after midnight
Surf:  1 foot
Wednesday
Wind:  S 5 knots increasing to 10 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Wednesday Night
Wind:  S 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Thursday
Winds: S 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Thursday Night
Winds: SW 5-10 knots becoming NW after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Friday
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Friday Night
Wind:  NW 5 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  75°F
Tuesday Morning
Winds: W 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 11 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: SW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Wednesday Morning
Winds: S 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 10 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: S 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 10 seconds
Thursday Morning
Winds: S 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 6 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: N 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: N 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  N 4 feet at 5 seconds


Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)


 





Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!




*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)


 

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